Can Clinton Get 24% of Republican Women to Vote for
Her?
Mark
Penn with Tom Schaller are having a chat over at FDL.
This was my question just a few minutes ago.
… .. But I’m very interested in your prediction that IF Hillary Clinton
is the nominee she could peal off as much as 24% of Republican women in the election. I’ve often pictured Republican suburban women voting secretly
for her without telling their husband, especially if a hardliner, anti choice
Republican candidate is their nominee. Voting for the first woman would be
hard for many to resist.Thoughts?
Mark’s answer:
Mark Penn says:
October 27th, 2007 at 2:24 pm
To: TaylorI gave the prediction that if Hillary is the nominee the big surprise on
election day would be the defection of up to a quarter of Republican women.
Our own polling shows she has gobe from 6% with them in June to 13% today
with 11% saying undecided (13 11=24). And her unfav with them has dropped
from 87 to 75. And there is still a lot of time to go.The LA Times poll that just came out showed her at 18% with Rep women and
9% undecided. I think this prediction is showing a lot of underlying support
even as early as today.
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