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New Zogby numbers
for Iowa shows Clinton at 27%, Obama at 24%, Edwards at 21%.
Clinton leads the Democratic race here with 27%, followed closely by Barack
Obama of Illinois at 24% and John Edwards of North Carolina with 21%. There
has been very little movement in the Democratic race here since last month,
as the front–runners essentially stood still and two lower–tier
candidates – Senator Joe Biden of Delaware and Congressman Dennis Kucinich
of Ohio – gained two points each.… .. Since last month, however, Clinton was able to solidify her standing
among some likely caucus–goers by increasing the number of people who
said she would be their second choice. This is a critical factor in the Democratic
caucus in Iowa. In the caucuses, a first round of “balloting”
is conducted, and those candidates who do not win at least 15% support are
ruled “unviable” and supporters are directed to a second choice
among those who remained “viable” before a second round of “balloting”
is conducted.Last month, Obama and Edwards were much more preferred as a second choice
among those candidates who appear to be unviable under Democratic caucus rules.
Clinton appears to be gaining ground among those who might consider experience
to be an important factor in choosing a nominee – she wins the lion’s
share of support among those who make Biden their first choice, and she does
well among those who would first choose New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson. …
..
It’s a dead heat, but the news for Clinton in this poll is good. It comes right
before Obama’s big Oprah appearance this weekend.
The PoliticalWire thinks Clinton’s lead in New Hampshire "appears
solid."
Grain of salt applies.
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