Shocking, right? The above video seemed appropriate considering the morning
nonsense out of Major Garrett’s mouth. Via
Greg Sargent:
I just reached Carville on his cell. Here’s what he had to say about this:
“Fox was, is and will continue to be an asinine and ignorant
network. I have not spoken to anyone in the Clinton campaign about this. I
have not done domestic political consulting since President Clinton was elected.
I’m not getting back into domestic political consulting. If I do go back,
it would be safe to say that I’m the biggest liar in America.”Asked if he knew whether Begala would be coming back, Carville continued:
“To the extent that I know anything, as of nine this morning, no he
is not.” … ..
Now let’s turn to the New Hampshire horserace. Read Jerome at MyDD:
Obamafans will be quick to point out that Michigan and Florida don’t count,
which is ludicrous. Yes, the DNC has weighed in, but at this point that’s
largely symbolic. If it matters, there will be a battle and a convention vote
of whether those delegates from Michigan or Florida will be allowed, and I
will bet on the side that argues voters from Florida should not be disenfranchised-
especially if not allowing them allows one candidate to win over the other
(akin to a stolen nomination).Edwards is the real loser in dropping out of Michigan, a state with a lot
of pissed off voters, strong in labor, a democratic voter primary. Obama knew
it was a potential drag to his Independent-Republican base for winning in
the first four key states, and wisely cajoled Edwards into pulling out too.
Given two first victories in IA and NH, if Obama had stayed on the ballot
for Michigan, he could have continued his path to the nomination via Michigan
and its delegates while doing nothing, which is why I’ve called it a blunder.
You can argue all you want about the DNC committee’s position on MI, the fact
is that Clinton will get a symbolic win– and pad her real delegate lead with
real supporters that will be heading to the DNC convention.… .. … That’s Jan, then on Feb 5th, Clinton is going to win a lot more
states and their delegates. So will Edwards. They will both ensure that Obama
does not have enough delegates to win the nomination on his own.So there it is. This certainly isn’t a new scenario that I’ve laid out, and
is right in line with the expectation that Clinton would stumble out of the
gate. I realize that now is the time to get swept away by the media swoon
for a sensationalized moment of declaring it’s over, but it’s not. We can
check back to this post at the end of the month to see who’s right. … ..
Edwards dropping out of Michigan to court Iowa voters was just stupid, as I
said at the time. His rationale in order to place a very, very slim
second place in Iowa was unintelligible. The “status quo” was rejected.
Well, coming barely one point ahead of Clinton, I’d say so was he. The good
news for Edwards fans is he has never sounded better.
Many predictions today, Markos
sees a blow out: 45 Obama – 26 Clinton.
I don’t do predictions. I have no idea of the final outcome. Truth is we are
all wildly clueless on what will actually happen today, but the turnout is reported
as gigantic, with independents flocking to vote for Obama, which looking to
the general election is great for Democrats. But Obama will win today. The question
and the real issue is by how much.
WSJ points
to another issue looming after New Hampshire, which we’ll find out about
tomorrow:
The road may get harder immediately after New Hampshire. The all-important
Culinary Workers union in Nevada, the next state to vote on Jan. 19, is considering
backing Sen. Obama a day after a New Hampshire win, say some high-ranking
Democrats. The support of the state’s largest union by far would virtually
hand him a victory in the labor-dominated caucuses there, Democrats say. And
the Clinton campaign is considering effectively ceding South Carolina, which
votes a week later. Her once-strong support in the state’s large black population
eroded and Sen. Obama opened a big lead in polls after Iowa’s caucus results
energized many blacks with the prospect that a man of their race stands a
realistic chance of being nominated.
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