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Taylor Marsh has been writing on line since 1996, with the archives provided here a representation of that work.

Archive | July, 2009

Sarah, Don’t Leave

If Palin wants to run in 2012, why not do exactly what she announced today? It’s an enormous gamble – but it could be a shrewd one. – Bill Kristol

Frankly, it’s just too depressing to think we won’t have Sarah Palin to kick around anymore.

It’s hard to accept when looking forward. Mark Sanford’s heartbroken and readying a move to Argentina. Huckabee’s too self righteousness, and Romney’s too self aware. Palin is just right.

But she’s got her reasons for checking out, lots of them.

1. The malicious national press:

“Political operatives descended on Alaska last August, digging for dirt. The ethics law I championed became their weapon of choice. Over the past nine months I’ve been accused of all sorts of frivolous ethics violations – such as holding a fish in a photograph, wearing a jacket with a logo on it, and answering reporters’ questions.”

2. She needs to make money to pay her legal bills:

“And this political absurdity, the ‘politics of personal destruction’ … Todd and I are looking at more than half a million dollars in legal bills in order to set the record straight.”

3. Sarah being Sarah is distracting her staff:

“…my staff and I spend most of our day dealing with THIS instead of progressing our state now. I know I promised no more ‘politics as usual,’ but THIS isn’t what anyone had in mind for ALASKA.”

4. Sarah’s got a right to choose (even if she doesn’t want the rest of us to have one):

“LIFE is about choices!”

5. Sarah isn’t a dead fish:

“It would be apathetic to just hunker down and ‘go with the flow’. …dead fish ‘go with the flow’.

6. Sarah isn’t a lame duck either, or into milking things:

“And then I thought – that’s what’s wrong – many just accept that lame duck status, hit the road, draw the paycheck, and ‘milk it’.”

7. Sarah’s a good point guard, so she’s passing the ball:

“And I know when it’s time to pass the ball – for victory.”

8. This has been in the works for a while:

I think much of it had to do with the kids seeing their baby brother Trig mocked by some pretty mean-spirited adults recently.

9. Kosovo made her do it:

“My decision was also fortified during this most recent trip to Kosovo and Landstuhl, to visit our wounded soldiers overseas, those who sacrifice themselves in war for OUR freedom and security.”

10. um….

“Don’t explain: your friends don’t need it and your enemies won’t believe you anyway.”

11. Sarah’s in over her head and has been since John McCain tapped her as his running mate.

“…have enough common sense to acknowledge when conditions have drastically changed and are willing to call an audible and pass the ball when it’s time so the team can win! And that is what I’m doing!

I’m still hoping this is all a big fake out.

That Andrea Mitchell’s been had.

That Bill Kristol, for once, is right.

…and Palin’s family continues to play their parts as her political props.

That there won’t be that rumored scandal that will take her away from us forever.

That Sarah Palin will go away in an awkward fade to reinvent and ready herself for her grand re-entrance that will start the second book in Sarah Palin’s Great National Political Adventures and this will all turn out to be a brilliant bit of stagecraft that will have Sarah returning for another supreme diva tour.

I just can’t imagine the Sarah Palin Soap Opera ending. I just can’t.

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Sarah Bails on Governorship

–updates below–


Buchanan analyzes; Palin’s statement

Sarah Palin is not only not seeking re-election, but she’s stepping down as governor at the end of July, not finishing her first term.

This is the latest wacky turn for Sarah Palin whose explosive entrance on to the national scene has been anything but graceful.

What’s the back story?

“Faith and family are more important to her at this time in her life,” was the quote offered by MSNBC.

Many people have been analyzing openly that she needs to step off the national stage and go study. This reads to me for the moment as her version of just that, but doesn’t preclude another road in politics down the line. She’ll now become the mystery person everyone wants to interview, as she selectively chooses where she turns up. I see nothing but calculation here, but that’s because I believe Palin has an ego of a big show politician. Time will tell.

But bailing the governorship?

UPDATE VII: Bill Kristol, one of her big fans from the start, someone who said she’d be a great veep pick, thinks it’s a “high wire act.” …or is it denial?

UPDATE VI: The wackiest post of them all, from where? “Conservatives4Palin,” of course.

UPDATE V: From Andrew Mitchell, the most surprising take of all. Mitchell’s sources have to be very good, because she’s way out there all alone.

“…She has told her supporters that she is out of politics, period. Shes fed up with politics. She doesn’t like her life. … She’s sick of the commute…. She really does not want to run for higher office. This is not a case where she’s stepping down to clear the way for a presidential run. In fact she’s told some her biggest backers in the national Republican Party that they are free to choose other candidates for 2012. …” – Andrea Mitchell

UPDATE IV: Rumbling from the rumor mill: Did a Scandal Sink the U.S.S. Palin? However, at this point there is no hard evidence of anything except another wacky Palin performance. (Brad Blog also runs with it.) But here’s the gist of the scuttlebutt:

Many political observers in Alaska are fixated on rumors that federal investigators have been seizing paperwork from SBS in recent months, searching for evidence that Palin and her husband Todd steered lucrative contracts to the well-connected company in exchange for gifts like the construction of their home on pristine Lake Lucille in 2002.

UPDATE III: Another reaction, from djjl’s “In the News” diary:

It’s refreshing to hear someone speak without the use of a telepromter. She speaks from the heart which so many polititions have forgotten how to do. – marilyn538

UPDATE II: Some are suspecting a scandal. The reaction from some adoring fans has been swift, in my email box, but also re: the video posted above. Here’s just one:

Wow! Did not expect that! Sarah is selfless and fearless! I bet Washington is very scared right now not knowing what this means! – kmartingirls

UPDATE I: Presser from Palin was a stump speech, pressing the point that this isn’t politics as usual. After talking about Trig being the brunt of jokes, her family being all for her leaving the governorship, Palin brought up Kosovo and the troops. Then she talked about McArthur, then said “We’re advancing in another direction.” To the study room. Oh yeah, she’ll be back. Bet on it. Last day will be July 26th.

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Syria’s al-Assad Moves Against ‘Honor Killings’

On this Independence Day weekend, we here at TM.com acknowledge the decree of President Bashar al-Assad as a small step forward for women in the Middle East.

Syria has scrapped a law limiting the length of sentences handed down to men convicted of killing female relatives they suspect of having illicit sex.

Women’s groups had long demanded that Article 548 be scrapped, arguing it decriminalised “honour” killings.

Much more is required, starting with a ban and severe punishment for “honor killings,” but we have to start somewhere. Acknowledging movement serves a greater purpose. Women of the world are watching.

The subject also gives me another reason to tout the video of a film about an Iranian woman who represents inconvenient wives who, in some parts of the world, have no independence at all.

As for al-Assad’s invitation to Obama to visit Syria, I would like to see the first shuttle move made by Secretary Clinton. She could acknowledge al-Assad’s decree, while paving the way for a larger dialogue. Long past time we engaged the Syrians.

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Yosemite Bolton Still Spinning Israeli Strike

“We see how coverage has gone down since Michael Jackson died.”Trita Parsi

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Before the conversation today with Trita Parsi on Iran, the small group assembled couldn’t resist talking about John Bolton’s op-ed on Iran in the Washington Post today. It starts with a stunning premise, as the headline reveals: Time for an Israeli Strike? Seriously, since it’s coming from Yosemite Bolton, why the question mark?

Iran’s nuclear threat was never in doubt during its presidential campaign, but the post-election resistance raised the possibility of some sort of regime change. That prospect seems lost for the near future or for at least as long as it will take Iran to finalize a deliverable nuclear weapons capability.

Accordingly, with no other timely option, the already compelling logic for an Israeli strike is nearly inexorable. Israel is undoubtedly ratcheting forward its decision-making process. President Obama is almost certainly not.

The call with Trita Parsi from the National Iranian American Council was wide ranging. Here are some notes about what’s going on in Iran (see Iran 101 for the basics).

“This is not a one trick pony,” especially with Khatami referring to what happened as a coup d’état. “This movement has not ended,” just because you don’t see people in the streets. Much smarter to regroup and think of “alternative ways to manifest their dissent,” because there’s a “killing off” of demonstrators.

Ahmadinejad and Khatamei have lost “a significant amount of legitimacy” with the people.

Mousavi camp and supporters concerned about Obama engagement if it comes “soon,” with Ahmadinejad seen less and less on the international scene the goal, as it will help the cause of the “green wave.” Ahmadinejad’s cancellation of the African summit is good news.

Obama has helped through his anti Bush rhetoric, by not talking about regime change. He’s reduced the threat level, extended a hand, as well as talked about “mutual respect” that “did reduce if not eliminate” the hardliners effectiveness inside Iran. Obama also helped inspire dissenters to come to the surface. “What he has done has been very positive,” said Parsi.

Anyone who has followed Iran or knows anything about the history knows that women have always played an important role in Iranian society. I asked about how Ahmadinejad and Khamenei were going to deal with the women rising up, particularly with the very visible leadership role of Zahra Rahnavard, Mousavi’s wife, leading the way. Trita emphasized that women have always had a strong role in Iranian society, but it was now fully visible this time. No answer as to how the regime will deal with it. The rise of women in the Middle East, but particularly how they will impact the leadership in Islamic countries, remains unknowable, with change inevitable.

Ahmadinejad trying to “decapitate” the opposition at this time, with many stuck in house arrest or arrested. When they can’t imprison people, they attack through character assassination.

As for the regime’s response post election?

“It was not particularly well planned. … .. … They did not expect people to rise up in this manner. … The dust has yet to settle.” – Trita Parsi

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Washington Post Marketing Ploy Implodes

I’ve been watching this unravel since it was announced, waiting for the cancellation of this horrific idea, because otherwise I was going to quit my subscription and never rely on the WP again. Howard Kurtz has Washington Post Publisher Katharine Weymouth’s comments on the matter, but also some of the gory details.

The fliers, circulated by the paper’s parent company, offering an “intimate and exclusive Washington Post Salon, an off-the-record dinner and discussion at the home of CEO and Publisher Katharine Weymouth.” The fliers, which said participants would be charged $25,000 to sponsor a single salon and $250,000 to underwrite an annual series of 11 sessions, were reported this morning by Politico. … One such flier said: “Bring your organization’s CEO or executive director literally to the table. Interact with key Obama Administration and Congressional leaders . . . Spirited? Yes. Confrontational? No. The relaxed setting in the home of Katharine Weymouth assures it.” That flier said a July 21 session would involve “Health-care reporting and editorial staff members of The Washington Post . . . An exclusive opportunity to participate in the health-care reform debate among the select few who will actually get it done.”

This horrendously embarrassing episode follows many other twists that has the Post turning itself inside out to remake itself into something no one should embrace. Of course, I’m talking about the sharp right turn of the op-eds that have turned up on a daily basis as if they’re trying to compete with Bill Kristol’s group.

In trying to save themselves they’ve succeeded in shooting themselves in the masthead.

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Biden in Iraq

with Stephanopoulos in tow.

From the White House:

Vice President Biden in Iraq to Meet with Iraqi Leaders and Visit U.S. Troops

Vice President Biden has arrived in Iraq to visit U.S. troops and to meet with Iraqi leaders, including President Jalal Talabani, Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki and Speaker of the Council of Representatives Ayad al-Samarrai. The Vice President will reiterate the United States’ commitment to fully implement the Security Agreement and the Strategic Framework Agreement and to carry out President Obama’s plan to draw down U.S. forces. He will discuss with Iraq’s leaders the importance of achieving the political progress that is necessary to ensure the nation’s long-term stability. This is Vice President Biden’s second trip to Iraq this year and his first as Vice President.

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Dems Get Hit at Home on Health Care

–updated–

Can there be any doubt what these job loss numbers mean? More people will be struggling to keep their health care insurance.

However, when you’re getting big money from insurance companies, which includes many Democrats, it seems you’re willing to ignore the needs of million and millions of people.

Mary Landrieu is getting hit hard at home.

Kay Hagan, who was pushed by Emily’s List and Hillary Clinton is, too. Breast cancer survivors are sending her a simple message: Senator Hagan support a strong public insurance plan, available nationwide from day one and accountable to Congress and the voters. Sign your name so she knows how you feel and that you stand with these breast cancer survivors.

Even Wal-Mart gets what this is about.

Why don’t some Democrats?

TO ADD… As for the HELP legislation and costs (see Ezra on CBO numbers), Johnathan Cohn writes the cost at around $1-1.3 trillion, higher than the CBO numbers. The good news, it’s a much better bill, which is worth the cost.

UPDATE II: From what I’m hearing from impeccable sources is that Dodd is making clear that the bill would have to be combined w/ the Finance bill to cover Medicare, etc. We’re talking *only* the cost of the HELP bill ($611 billion) in the CBO numbers.

Additionally, from what I’m also hearing, Hagan is now on board, as ALL members of the HELP committee have signed on. Post on it.

UPDATE: Read HELP legislation (bring food & drink, it’s long).

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Let Ahmadinejad ‘Fret and Sweat’

That’s Roger Cohen’s prescription now on Iran, after what we’ve seen the last weeks.

The slow arc of moral justice is fine but Iran is gripped by the fierce urgency of now. Obama, the realist on whom idealism is projected, is obliged to make a course correction.

I say all this with a heavy heart. Non-communication between America and Iran is bad for both countries and the world. It complicates and undermines every U.S. objective from Gaza to Afghanistan. It’s dangerous and it’s unnecessary.

I’ve argued strongly for engagement with Iran as a game-changer. America renewed relations with the Soviet Union at the time of the Great Terror and China at the time of the Cultural Revolution. Operation Jackboot has not, as yet at least, involved mass killings.

But the Iran of today is not the Iran of three weeks ago; it is in volatile flux from without and within. Its Robespierres are running amok. Obama must do nothing to suggest business as usual. Let Ahmadinejad, he of the bipolar mood swings, fret and sweat. Let him writhe in the turbid puddle of his self-proclaimed “justice” and “ethics.”

That’s not what realists do; engagement is. The tricky part is the timing.

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Sarah’s Soap Opera Continues

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Illustration by Risko via MSNBC screen capture

Sarah “little shop of horrors” Palin continues to be fueled by drama. You can say a lot of things about Gov. Palin, as Todd Purdum’s delicious Palin take down proves. But playing the political victim has certainly gotten Sarah a long way. But with Gov. Sanford’s meaning of “is” is meltdown, someone who was considered the conservative’s darling for 2012, Palin looks positively serious.

However, make no mistake about it, the last thread on the McCain team straight jacket has been pulled and with it full tilt warfare has broken out.

It begins with Palin’s pal Bill Kristol, who was not content on taking the Republicans down over Iraq, but has widened his lock and load leveling gaze on past grievances he has on why McCain-Palin went down, not able to let Steve Schmidt off the hook for his part:

…Perhaps Steve was nervous someone would finger him for the Purdum piece. One reason people might do so is this passage in Purdum’s article: “All the while, Palin was coping not only with the crazed life of any national candidate on the road but also with the young children traveling with her. Some top aides worried about her mental state: was it possible that she was experiencing postpartum depression? (Palin’s youngest son was less than six months old.)” In fact, one aide who raised this possibility in the course of trashing Palin’s mental state to others in the McCain-Palin campaign was Steve Schmidt.

Steve Schmidt on Kristol:

Asked about the accusation, Schmidt fired back in an e-mail: “I’m sure John McCain would be president today if only Bill Kristol had been in charge of the campaign. … After all, his management of [former Vice President] Dan Quayle’s public image as his chief of staff is still something that takes your breath away,” Schmidt continued. “His attack on me is categorically false.”

Randy Scheunemann goes after Schmidt as well:

“Steve Schmidt has a congenital aversion to the truth,” Scheunemann said. “On two separate and distinct occasions, he speculated about about Governor Palin having post-partum depression, and on the second he threatened that if more negative publicity about the handling of Governor Palin emerged that he would leak his speculation [about post-partum depression] to the press. It was like meeting Tony Soprano.”

At the foundation of all this spit flying sits Todd Purdum. The same response towards Purdum happened when he let fly on Bill Clinton. He’s an equal opportunity political star shooter, having the impact of disabusing anyone of the notion that our political hot shots are anything other than human. That’s a very good thing, especially with the likes of Sarah Palin taking narcissism to a new level.

When Trig was born, Palin wrote an e-mail letter to friends and relatives, describing the belated news of her pregnancy and detailing Trig’s condition; she wrote the e-mail not in her own name but in God’s, and signed it “Trig’s Creator, Your Heavenly Father.”

Smelling salts, please.

Purdum’s piece points to many troubling bits of behavior that defy defense, with one getting a lot of attention from all angles.

But there were ominous signs—indications of an erratic nature. This is the third thing McCain could have discovered about Palin—a woman, after all, who kept a pregnancy secret for seven months, flew all the way home from Texas to Alaska with a near-full-term baby while leaking amniotic fluid, and then finally drove the 45 minutes from Anchorage to a hospital in Wasilla, all so that the child could be born in the 49th state.

Who reacts like this in such a dangerous point in your pregnancy?

With all sorts of other points discussed, including aides wondering whether Palin’s erratic behavior was due to “postpartum depression.” Purdum doesn’t stop there, however:

Several told me, independently of one another, that they had consulted the definition of “narcissistic personality disorder” in the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders—“a pervasive pattern of grandiosity (in fantasy or behavior), need for admiration, and lack of empathy”—and thought it fit her perfectly.

Now it’s official. Sarah’s a narcissist. She’s got lots of company.

Drama queen is the title that fits her most aptly at this point, but that’s not her main problem. Sarah’s real trouble is she’s lugging around way too much stupid that still hasn’t been dispelled.

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It’s Sestak v. Specter

Rep. Joe Sestak is in:

“I am going to get into the race against Arlen Specter … for senator,” said Sestak in his first media interview as part of a three-week tour through all of the Commonwealth’s 67 counties.

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Clinton on Iran in Washington Times

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There’s a curious article in the Washington Times that Secretary Clinton was the one who urged Obama to “toughen his language on Iran.” This is interesting on multiple levels, not coincidentally coming after the Politico story describing Clinton’s role through “toils in the shadows… grindstone leadership” at State. Nothing will ever convince me that Secretary Clinton is looking for a second billing to anyone but President Obama, which is what the placement of this story in the Washington Times is all about.

Behind the scenes, the officials, who spoke on the condition that they not be named because they were discussing internal deliberations, said Mrs. Clinton had been advocating the stronger U.S. response, but the president resisted. When he finally took her advice, the aides said, he did so without informing her first.

There’s broader play on the reason Obama likely didn’t feel like “informing her first” was the right move.

On cue, Townhall takes the bait, too: “Clinton urged Obama to talk tough on Iran.” For Clintonites at State, that’s way to go, as in job well done.

On a dueling front, Steve Clemons wrote a piece the moment Obama’s Iran language toughened another notch, which coincided with the violence ratcheting up in Iran, citing Biden’s influence:

Sources report to me that recently the Vice President made comments that Obama needed to speak in support of the Iranians in the streets demanding that their votes count. Biden has not wanted to inject the United States into the fray — but he has wanted the White House to express admiration and support for the risks Iranian citizens are taking to secure democracy.

Obama’s foreign policy team is stacked with what was known in 20th century language as “hawks,” of which Biden and Clinton are just two. It’s important to note that on Afghanistan policy, Biden argued against more troops there, while Clinton (along with Gates) reportedly ordered for more, if limited in nature, and won. Now on Iran we have them both not surprisingly weighing in on the side of the big stick of rhetorical messaging.

In contrast to the Politico story earlier, this new Washington Times piece goes out of its way to make clear Clinton is very much in the mix, giving advice the President is taking, which no one doubts.

As for this news story on Clinton and Iran, are you hearing her now, oh Israel?

It’s all very subtle. Brilliant, even.

“It was a happy surprise,” one administration official said. “It was echoing the line the secretary had been pushing for a couple of days.”

Vice President Joe Biden and Secretary Clinton are the best of friends, but neither is going to give up their place in the foreign policy spotlight, as they both have their eyes on what comes AO, after Obama.

TM NOTE: A sentence about the rumored arrival of Sidney Blumenthal to State has been removed, as the hire was stopped by the White House.

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‘WTF’ in Afghanistan Means No More Troops

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Bob Woodward writes the must read article of the day from Camp Leatherneck, which has NSA chief James Jones stating what Secretary Gates has said many times before. Obama is capping troops levels in Afghanistan, at least for the short term but maybe indefinitely, where they are today, which is still high, but it does send a message. It also drives home the decision to put Gen. McChrystal in charge. Woodward:

Jones delivered his message after a 30-minute briefing by Marine Brig. Gen. Lawrence D. Nicholson, who commands 9,000 Marines here, nearly half the new deployments Obama has sent to Afghanistan.

The day before in Kabul, Jones delivered the same message to Gen. Stanley A. McChrystal, the new overall commander in Afghanistan. McChrystal has undertaken a 60-day review designed to address all the issues in the war. In addition, Jones has told Secretary of Defense Robert M. Gates and Adm. Michael Mullen, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, that they should focus on implementing the current strategy, completing the review and getting more Afghan forces involved in the fight before requesting additional U.S. troops for Afghanistan.

Obama has upped troops levels this year, which Jones reminded the current commander Marine Brig. Gen. Lawrence D. Nicholson, who stated he felt they were “a little light” on forces. That’s when Jones drilled down, getting very personal.

Well, Jones went on, after all those additional troops, 17,000 plus 4,000 more, if there were new requests for force now, the president would quite likely have “a Whiskey Tango Foxtrot moment.” Everyone in the room caught the phonetic reference to WTF — which in the military and elsewhere means “What the [expletive]?”

Nicholson and his colonels — all or nearly all veterans of Iraq — seemed to blanch at the unambiguous message that this might be all the troops they were going to get.

Message received? Well, it’s been sent, though Nicholson clarified to say that what they need are more Afghan forces, which is the nut of the problem wherever we find ourselves, post Bush-Cheney, now isn’t it? It’s the challenge with an interventionist foreign policy.

Which brings us to Woodward’s Obama book and a little nugget that comes via the New Republic:

This time around, speculation is that Woodward will turn to national security adviser Jim Jones, whom Woodward forged a relationship with. In my piece, I reported that Jones was a guest of Woodward at his wife Elsa Walsh’s fiftieth birthday party held at Sally Quinn and Ben Bradlee’s house. “He and Elsa were glued to Jones at the cocktail party before the dinner started,” one attendee told me. Jones is proving to be a valuable Woodward source already. …

Meanwhile, Obama continues to push back on Karzai, this time having Jones publicly embrace Gov. Gulab Mangal, someone who Karzai is reportedly trying to oust as he makes deals to keep himself in the presidency.

First, Jones publicly embraced Mangal’s leadership and said he was there “on behalf of the president, who is committed to a new strategy. I know of no place in Afghanistan that has more potential.”

He said “the cornerstone is the Afghan people, the Afghan military and the Afghan police,” adding, “We want to make sure Afghans control their own destiny.”

Obama is trying to play hard ball in Afghanistan, which remains a tough slog, with Jones saying there’s “urgency but not panic.” At least not yet.

Woodward’s article comes under the heading cover of “preventing another Iraq.”

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