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Taylor Marsh has been writing on line since 1996, with the archives provided here a representation of that work.

Archive | January, 2010

Dems Should Be Winning in a Walk in Massachusetts

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Nate Silver weighs in, also the provider of the graph here.

Democrats should be asking themselves how they let this happen, because it’s turned into a run away train. Just take a look at Memeorandum this morning. With the right energized and moving into Massachusetts because they smell political blue blood.

At stake is health care, which is part of what is driving the Scott Brown upsurge, not to mention some Democrats who are disgruntled. But in a National Journal new media poll, Obama’s also getting poor grades on the economy, from the left and right. Average voters feel this even more intensely, including in Massachusetts.

Helping Scott Brown’s troops, the Boston Herald puts Brown ahead.

But all of this is just noise to fill the interminable waiting now.

Massachusetts has elected many Republicans statewide. The Kennedys, contrary to popular belief, have never had strong coattails, as Lawrence O’Donnell reminded people on “Countdown” last night. But this is Kennedy’s seat, which has been in the Democratic family for decades. The other thing to remember is that Hillary Clinton beat the Kennedy machine, with Kerry’s endorsement of Obama meaning little, back during the primaries.

But the big thing, win or lose, is that the Massachusetts race, as I said earlier this week (thanks Marc Ambinder for taking note of it), gives real power to what Tea Partiers are trying to build. An anti-Obama, anti-Democratic movement that they can push over the finish line this year. Because people don’t like to vote for far flung losers, but with Tea Partiers mounting serious challenges that come closer and closer to big upsets, there is evidence the Tea Party tipping point is near. If the moment comes in Massachusetts, all 2010 bets are off.

Why top officials in both parties tell us Tuesday’s special election in Massachusetts could produce one of the biggest upsets in political history, with Republican Scott Brown on a track to beat Democrat Martha Coakley for Senator Kennedy’s seat, shattering the Dems’ filibuster-proof majority: Trajectory, momentum like this rarely turn around. Voter intensity is too low for the machine to work its magic. She has run a clumsy campaign, taking time off, neglecting retail politics, and holding a fund-raiser with D.C. lobbyists in the closing days of the campaign. (Who could have thought the optics of that would be bad?) Some top Dems remain irked that she did not wait longer after Senator Kennedy’s death (Aug. 25) to announce (Sept. 3). Women candidates have trouble in Massachusetts — Rep. Niki Tsongas, elected in 2007, was the first woman from Massachusetts elected to the U.S. Congress in 25 years. Some in the White House believe the race stabilized yesterday, in part because of an ad attacking Brown. Dems say Brown’s opposition to Obama’s bank fee is ‘a game-changer.’ And the GOP has limited turnout machinery in the Bay State. Charlie Cook and Stu Rothenberg both moved the race to ‘toss-up’ yesterday. – Mike Allen’s Playbook

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LIVE REPORT: TV Show Causes Diplomatic Crisis Between Israel and Turkey

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Daniel Levy, Director of the Middle East Task Force at the New American Foundation, conducted a “short-notice” conference call today, with Alon Liel, former Israel Ambassador to Turkey, and Bülent Aras, Professor of International Relations at Istanbul Technical University and the Foreign Policy Coordinator of the SETA Foundation in Ankara. At issue: Can these relations be pulled back from the brink, and what is the fallout likely to be?

The New York Times provides the backdrop to the current crisis between these two nations:

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… Two days earlier, Israel’s deputy foreign minister, Danny Ayalon, summoned Celikkol to complain about ”The Valley of the Wolves,” a Turkish television drama that shows Israeli security forces kidnapping children and shooting old men. During the meeting, Ayalon forced Celikkol to sit on a low sofa without a handshake and explained to cameramen that the humiliation was intentional.

The incident further strained the complex relations between Israel and Turkey, its closest Muslim ally. Their close military alliance and economic ties already had been hurt by the fury that Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyid Erdogan expressed about Israel’s war in Gaza a year ago and by what he considers Israel’s aggressive treatment of its neighbors. …

CONFERENCE CALL NOTES: Conference call notes are a good faith effort to capture as much as possible from the call.

Bülent Aras: Turkey’s transformation has changed the relationship with Israel, joining the European Union emphasizing that changing dynamic. There is a “new confidence” that comes with this transformation. Turkey’s security depends on that of its neighbors. “Security for all,” citing security of Palestinians means security for Israel, as it’s all “inter-related.” Back in 1998, Turkey and Syria were on the brink of war. But “Turkey doesn’t blame its neighbors for it’s own domestic problems.” Turkey isn’t just isn’t focused on regional issues, but is globally focused. … What happened in Gaza very much impacted Turkey’s mood. “Just imagine you have concrete,” walls, moving towards to a national security state… The Israeli’s policy is not helping the problem that Turkey is trying to solve. … “This is a humanitarian crisis… what Israel is doing in Gaza… is leading to a real tragedy.” In the past one year we didn’t have one achievement towards a solution. “There is no anti-Semitism in Turkey.” First, Israel must stop what’s happening in Gaza.

Alon Liel: Israel will soon celebrate “61 years” of diplomatic relationships with Turkey, the first Muslim country to engage Israel. Unbelievable “ups and downs” in that time. The relations kept deteriorating until the mid-1980s, including Turks in Tel Aviv, then with the withdrawal of Israel from Lebanon, things got better. Continues talking abut history of diplomacy between the nations, also noting the importance of tourism. … .. Admits war in Gaza has exacerbated tensions. “Relations were.. damaged in 2009.” The overview of the 61 years, Turkey is the one who always decided if the relationship was to be good or bad (paraphrase of statement), “usually for regional reasons.” Gaza is such a “sensitive nerve” among Turks. Doesn’t see anti-Semites in Turkey leadership, but the blame on Israel always for Gaza, peace process not moving, Palestinians… “so 2010 is going to be another difficult year for relationships.”

Daniel Levy: How close were we to a recall of Turkey’s ambassador? How much of a meltdown has taken place this week?

Bülent Aras: “Not as pessimistic as Alon.” Still believes with Europeans and Obama administration, peace process can improve.

Alon Liel: “The crisis we are having is an on-going crisis that has a lot to do with basic attitudes toward policies in Israel.” That he was sitting on a low sofa isn’t a real crisis. What Ayalon did was a shame. “As a former diplomat, I’m ashamed. … We are totally dependent on the peace process.” Turkey created this dependence. I hope the Obama administration isn’t tired and doesn’t give up (paraphrased quote). If we live another year, in 2010, without one day of direct talks, I’m willing to bet that Celikkol won’t be here after that.

Daniel Levy: The line above is the news breaker of the call.

Bülent Aras: Just think about Obama coming into office trying to reverse George W. Bush, but then you get Gaza.

Alon Liel: (Asked about domestic ramifications from what’s happening now.) You get a very gloomy picture of what’s going on in Israel, but it doesn’t impact the stability of this gov. “It is a very stable support that Netanyahu is having…” He can also “steal members from Kadima.” Nobody is thinking this gov. can be toppled. No political change in Israel, or in content. “We still have a hawkish Prime Minister with a hawkish coalition.” If someone is “dreaming” in the U.S. that there will be any changes in the peace process it won’t happen.

Bülent Aras: We expect Israel to be on the constructive side. “We live together.”

UPDATE: see MJ Rosenberg who is calling for an end to Gaza blockade.

Photo: Gil Yohanan

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R&B Soulman Salute

So long, Teddy. Thanks for the sounds of soul. Teddy Pendergrass was one of the best, until a car crash landed him in a wheelchair. It takes a whole body for a chirp to be able to make full sounds. Here’s to Teddy.

Consider this a topic free for all.

Of course, the big news is that Democrats have forced unions to buckle, as a deal on a health care bill nears, ratcheting down yet another level their effectiveness to the average worker. Some would call it bowing to reality of 21st global economics. I’d say the Democrats are about to levy a whopping middle class tax. You decide.

I’ll offer Dylan Ratigan’s piece over at Huffington Post as a jumping off point for discussion. For me, Ratigan is the newest cable talking head worth watching. He’s actually a grown up, with the bonus that he talks about our financial crisis with guts and honesty, afflicting the comfortable every opportunity he gets.

Recently, Ratigan turned his rhetorical guns on Lloyd Blankfein, CEO of Goldman Sachs. It’s a dirty job, but someone’s got to do it:

Look at just the past few years of compensation for some of the CEO’s testifying today. Numbers that don’t even include the expected record-breaking 2009 bonuses.

* $410 million for Goldman Sachs CEO Lloyd Blankfein over 3 years

* $195 million in that timespan for JP Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon

* $132 million for just two years work at Morgan Stanley for John Mack

Brian Moynihan has just stepped into his role as CEO of bank of America. But he stands to do just fine… His predecessor Ken Lewis made 150 million for 5 years before stepping down.

Unfortunately for the rest of us, their man-made money-making hurricane has devastated this country.

Oh, and get a load of this new attack ad by Brave New Films. Harold Ford’s going to need his friend Joe Scarborough to stay afloat in New York.

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The Stupid of Harry Reid

I’m sorry about the headline, but I’ve just had it.

It’s hard to know what to do with the daily embarrassment that has become Sen. Majority Leader Harry Reid’s misadventures. But this week we’ve got multiple mishaps from which to choose.

Reid says Joe Lieberman “double-crossed” him on health care. From the New York Times magazine preview:

“He double-crossed me,” Reid said stiffly, associates later recounted. “Let’s not do what he wants. Let the bill just go down.” – Adam Nagourney

Seriously, any Democrat claiming they were “double-crossed” by Joe Lieberman is simply unfit to lead school boys through a candy store, let alone the United States Senate.

But wait! There’s more. Brian Beutler reported yesterday that Reid said it was “a waste of time” dealing with Olympia Snowe, also in the magazine preview. Brian saying of Reid’s assessment: Still, that’s unusually blunt language. It could easily raise eyebrows. Oh, please, “raise eyebrows”? Honestly.

What Beutler should have pointed out is that Reid was wrong to have ever followed Obama’s lead of bipartisanship over the cliff. Turning the reader’s gaze towards the ringleader of the health care debacle playing out, Barack Obama, who has conducted the bipartisan waltz the entire first year of his presidency only to end up with a disgruntled nation and a near mutiny in his party.

Reid’s position in Nevada is as close to untenable as you can get without being kicked out of your majority leader position before votes are cast. But even if he pulls out a miracle, he should be done as leader.

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AP: Gov. Officials Fear 500,000 Dead

What word hasn’t been used for the awful aftermath in Haiti?

The usual suspect, Pat Robertson, waded in with his signatured insulting, tone deaf rantings of a mad old man (video), this time invoking some Satanic pact, who even with Joe Scarborough’s compassionate tweets, couldn’t be saved from himself. However, Robertson got company when Rush Limbaugh reduced the tragedy in Haiti to a voting block exercise for Obama.

White House Deputy Director of Political Affairs is Haitian-American, Patrick Gaspard, and as Ben Smith wrote about yesterday, there is a significant number of Haitians in SEIU, with a real effort going on in Miami to give undocumented Haitians TPS (temporary protected status), which is being led by Miami Republican Reps. Lincoln and Mario Diaz-Balart and Ileana Ros-Lehtinen.

I’m not sure why Politico chose not to cite the Obama administration in their title, also choosing “scrambled” to describe the Administration’s efforts, even when reviews have been all good for their quick efforts and immediate reaction, including Secretary Clinton, but this is what they did.

The Obama administration scrambled to face its first overwhelming international disaster Wednesday — the devastating earthquake in Haiti — and emergency relief experts gave the White House high marks for its initial steps. With the prospect of more than 100,000 people dead in an impoverished nation bedeviled by natural disasters and political chaos for years, the administration was quick off the mark on multiple fronts. …- U.S. responds swiftly to help Haiti

It’s just overwhelming to look at the carnage.

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So, You Want to Be a New York Senator?

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The Politico headline is the jumping off point. The subtitle the lede: Harold Ford’s political weakness may be his high-paid job at Merrill Lynch and a gilded Manhattan life.

Yeah, because we all know how much the American electorate is ready to sign on to that this year.

Mr. Ford declined to discuss what he is paid by the bank, but publicly available data suggests that he earns at least $1 million a year. Asked what role outsize pay packages played in fueling the financial crisis, Mr. Ford said he objected to capping executive compensation on Wall Street. “I am a capitalist,” he said. “I believe that people take risk, and there are rewards if they do well; they should lose if they don’t.” – Senate Hopeful in New State Airs Evolving Views

Hey, I’m a capitalist, too, but people who take risks don’t expect to be dumped into an unregulated market of greed and irresponsibility, where they’re the only ones who lose, while the gamblers who took their money are made whole by big fed.

Glenn Greenwald unloads on Ford before his first sentence is finished: The incomparably horrific Harold Ford…

All I want to hear is if Mr. Ford has “evolved” on women’s civil rights like he says he has on gay marriage.

Hey, but good luck, Harold. Looks like you’re going to need it.

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How Clueless Is The Democratic Leadership?

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The headline here is from Talking Points Memo, to which I reply DUH. Though I’m not picking on TPM, but instead utilizing the headline to make a larger point.

Democrats remain clueless as to what they’re facing in 2010.

This includes Pres. Obama, who obviously doesn’t get it either. You’d think what happened on health care, especially that ugly part about getting beat on message by none other than Sarah Palin’s “death panels” squeal, would have been the last wake up call that was needed.

Evidently not, because we now find out that Democrats have been caught flat footed by the “frightening” ramming speed of Martha Coakley’s challenger State Sen. Scott Brown. After all, Republicans couldn’t possible take away “Teddy’s seat,” now could they?

They missed what happened in NY-23. Democrats were too busy gloating back when the seat was won by a Dem for the first time in 100 years, as the PR went, to take away the other lesson, which I wrote about incessantly. That the Tea Partier who came within a hair of winning was a very late entry, untalented rube that couldn’t string two sentences together on camera.

Commenters chimed in after I wrote about the Coakley-Brown battle going on, all of whom seem more aware of what’s going on and the foreshadowing for 2010 than Pres. Obama and the Democratic leadership.

nzanh commented, in part: “…Is this such a shocker that this looks increasingly like a horserace? For months the writing has been on the wall. Independents have moved away from Obama and his programs. Many Democrats have expressed reservations about the Obama agenda. …. I don’t expect Coakley to lose but if she does, I won’t be heartbroken. If that is what it takes to shake the Democrats out their arrogance, so be it.”

guyski commented, in part: Complacency, arrogance and perhaps out of touch? A day after the final debate Coakley zips off to Washington for a fundraiser at a wine bar. … It would seem that a week before a election, that someone in a close race would be staying in her state and doing retail politics; shaking hands, kissing babies, trying to get on every single TV and radio station. I hope that she wins, but if politicians can’t understand the current political environment, then well…. And I won’t mention (too much, since I mentioned it several times) the use of Bush/Cheney in the debate, let alone her Bush/Cheney/Limbaugh political ad. It is no longer effective, if Democrats can’t understands this either, then well…

Noogan commented, in part: “Coakley just thought she was going to coast to a quiet victory; she was so out of touch with the mood of the country and even her state, that she, and the Democrats have been blindsided. It’s a very sad statement about this administration. The mood is decidedly anti-Democrat right now around the country–Harry Reid and Nancy Pelosi are almost universally derided on both sides in comments sections. …”

Imhotep comments, in part: Does anyone sense Party fatigue setting in? If you elect a Democrat and he follows the same war plan and foreign policy as his Republican predecessor what difference does it make who you vote for? When you vote for the Democrat who promises to “reform” the health care system and what you end up with is a bill written by big Pharma and the insurance industry, who cares who you vote for? When you vote for a Democrat who promises to close the Guantanamo military prison and signs an executive order to that effect and then reneges on that promise, who cares who you vote for? Does it really matter who you vote for if the same policies and plans are carried out by whomever, Democrat or Republican, is elected to office?

Reader “Imhotep’s” last comment repeats a theme I’ve been writing about for months.

It just might be that the fallen promises of Barack Obama’s first year could be the tipping point making loyalty to party extinct, including among Democrats, who are not being given any good reason to support the current politicians, who are not exactly delivering what we want. It also illustrates how important the first year is to a president, especially when people are hurting so badly.

There is another angle not being talked about. The tenuous support Obama had after the primaries from Hillary supporters was solidified further when he picked her for secretary of state. However, that was a long time ago and many Clinton Democrats and activists who jumped on board have now soured on Obama’s presidency, with the compromises on health care, especially on women’s reproductive health issues, but also on DADT, making loyal Clinton Democrats think again, some even registering as an independent or saying to me they won’t vote for him again. They’ll simply leave the presidential option blank the next time they vote, which is said out of anger, no doubt, but illustrates how dangerous health care compromises could be to Obama going forward. (I am not talking about myself, as there is no other choice beyond Obama when it comes to foreign policy.)

Unfortunately for Obama, he’s also losing original supporters that worked hard for him, who are also disillusioned, including unions. A potential 2010 strike isn’t out of the question.

So imagine how independents and non-partisans feel, with Republicans now gone from Obama’s wing for good.

Danger signs for 2010 abound. Democrats missing them all illustrates just how clueless they are.

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Teddy Kennedy’s Seat

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I wanted to add something about this race. I’m 100% behind Ms. Coakley, but the scene outside Sonoma restaurant the other night, an upscale, wonderful wine bar that I’ve been to many times, is indicative of the heat right now coming from the right. A video of a “reporter” getting pushed to the ground by someone on Coakley’s staff, which means to me the point was to get something just like this captured on tape. But the race’s most important moment recently came in the debate from State Sen. Scott Brown’s, which I believe channels the mood of voters across the country right now. When David Gergen asked if Brown was ready to scuttle health care for the next 15 years, because that’s what is believed to be the fate if it’s not passed now, Gergen also invoked the Massachusett’s Senate seat currently in play as “Teddy Kennedy’s seat.” Brown countered that it wasn’t Kennedy’s seat it is “the people’s seat.”

The headwind Coakley is currently feeling has its foundation in that very sentiment. In off-year elections there is always an ambivalence about incumbents, but this year it goes to anyone who is seen as part of the Democratic establishment. With the economy and the thought of a giant health care bill, especially one as bad and to most people, mysterious as the Democrats have currently concocted, it’s making people turn away from anyone with connections to who’s responsible. Coakley is establishment and it’s playing against her.

This quote, via Greg Sargent, who has the memo on the emergency in Massachusetts:

“It’s a little frightening how much traction he’s been able to get so quickly…” – Martha Coakley

Democrats are “having trouble moving independents.”

The other issue is that conservative groups are moving in and spending big money on negative ads. One group is Club for Growth. In this atmosphere, the economic message could be deadly in the last days. There will be massive political indictments if Scott Brown continues to close.

The title of this post has been changed, the post edited with an update up front.

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Dear NBC, I Watch Letterman

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Conan’s statement begins People of Earth. Shorter: You can screw me, but I’m not going to be party to you screwing The Tonight Show.

Now, I’m not a Conan fan, because when he was on late at night, that’s the time I’m usually reading or doing research into the wee hours when it’s quiet.

As for Leno, I met him once and had a long chat with his wife, Mavis, at a Christmas tree lot back in the 1990s, where we found ourselves talking about the Taliban and their treatment of women. Weird, I know, but that’s what we both had in common.

The NBC drama starring Jay Leno and Conan O’Brien was something I was waiting for the moment Jay Leno went to 10 pm. As a creature of culture, including TV, I enjoy it. Only after a program’s taped, now, and there’s no comparison between Jay Leno or “The Good Wife,” and you can’t tape or watch everything. Because there are only so many hours in the day for leisure, especially these days, when I find myself buried in research all day long.

I remember the drama between Dave and Jay back when Johnny left. NBC made a mess of that one too. If I were Conan I’d do the same thing.

Doesn’t matter to me, though, because (when I can) I watch Dave. But I always watch Jon Stewart.

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Health Care Test for Unions

“It could well be” a recipe for disaster in 2010, Trumka told a group of reporters. “I just came back from southern California. I was in five or six places out there… it is amazing the number of people that come up to you unsolicited and say, ‘I’m really worried about this health care bill.’”Sam Stein, Huffington Post

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At issue: the Democratic excise tax on the premiums of some health plans, which would hit unions hard, which Pres. Obama, the Senate caucus and the House all support. So, it’s clear that unions won’t get them to give in, but can they get the people they helped put in office to compromise?

This is a defining moment for unions. The question, whether Obama and the Democratic majority will support the millions of middle class workers and their leaders, the foundation of liberal political success going back decades. Or whether the unions will either move Democrats to compromise on the excise tax which hits their members, or hold them accountable by making them pay for the betrayal.

If Obama and the Democrats sell unions out through the “Cadillac” excise tax, and unions decide to go along to continue supporting Dems simply because the other guys are far worse, their power will go pfft! There won’t be a good enough excuse to keep backing Dems, because unions will have seen Dems won’t back their play, proving they’ve lost their leverage with everyone watching.

The other side of it is Republicans don’t care about unionization at all.

Economics is squeezing unions, with long-time allies now all in it for themselves. Globalization hitting was a tough enough challenge for unions, but to now be pitted against the political party you helped make and is now deserting you is a catastrophic development.

From Jake Tapper and ABC, Schaitberger unloads:

A source familiar with the meetings tells ABC News that “the president reiterated his support for the excise tax but also reiterated his commitment to protect working men and women,” perhaps an indication the president is willing to raise the threshold.

While the meeting was going on, International Association of Fire Fighters President Harold Schaitberger — who was not present — issued a statement saying that “The core political principle of this union is we support those who support us. If you make promises to us, we will hold you accountable. … In 2008, then-candidate Obama promised three things. First, he would not raise taxes on folks making less than $250,000 a year. Second, he vowed not to tax your health insurance benefits. Third, he promised that under his health reform plan that people would be able to keep their existing coverage.

“Now the administration is supporting a misguided excise tax on the premiums of some health plans that is in the bill passed by the Senate. This excise tax will affect many of the health plans covering our members. The Senate bill will either impose a tax on health care premiums provided to thousands of America’s fire fighters, or to avoid the tax those benefits will be slashed.”

Schaitberger said that “under this bill every special interest seemed to get something good – the insurance companies, the doctors, the drug companies all get something. But, in the Senate bill, many of our members who have sacrificed for years to build solid health plans to protect their families will get screwed.” …

That’s exactly correct. Now, what are unions prepared to do about it if it happens, which is where it’s heading right now?

Everyone needs to answer this question for him- or herself, because rewarding politicians who betray you with continuing support, thinking that you’ll eventually get a bone thrown your way, is for suckers. It’s also what politicians, regardless of party, count on.

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In Gillibrand v. Ford, Women’s Civil Rights at Stake

Who knows, maybe New York will make Harold Ford, Jr. lean left. But that simply hasn’t been his record, regardless of his protestations in the New York Post, of all papers, today.

Recently, Mr. Ford said he’d “evolved” on gay marriage (“Today” show video), having voted against it in Tennessee, supporting the Defense of Marriage Act, he now supports civil unions and gay marriage.

But on women’s civil rights he’s yet to, using his word, evolve.

After what we’ve seen unravel for women on the health care debate, we cannot afford one new member of the Senate or House who thinks compromising women’s civil rights, the basic freedom to control one’s body, to be bargained away further. Speaker Pelosi and the Democratic leadership, including Pres. Obama who remained mute, have done enough damage, with their compromises on our rights about to become law in sweeping health care legislation that backtracks on what’s already been won in law, going back to 1963, well before Roe v. Wade.

Via the New York Post, where Ford says his piece today:

It’s true: I am strongly considering running for the United States Senate.

I do so because our best as a nation has always come when we test our ideas and ourselves, and when we trust competition to refine the steel of our convictions and the truth of our arguments.

Some have already questioned whether I should be running.

Others are falsifying my record in public life.

New Yorkers deserve a free election. …

This is obviously up to New Yorkers. It’s an important race and even though I’m not an advocate for any candidate and won’t be, it’s clear that there is much at stake.

As long as Democrats are allowed to bargain women’s civil rights away, giving states more power and control over our reproductive health care, which has always been the right’s goal, even if they can’t get it done via the courts. With Congress now willing to assist the right, we will remain forever locked in an abortion debate, instead of a prevention debate. The degree to which our lawmakers keep us tied to a notion that full reproductive health care must be held hostage by the Hyde amendment, and that poor women don’t deserve what wealthier women can provide themselves, the longer it will take us to employ educational, scientific and pharmaceutical discoveries to their fullest extent to finally wipe the majority of abortions from the “choice” menu. Because if women have full means to prevent pregnancy there will simply be fewer unwanted ones.

Right now none of our leaders have the kind of courage it requires to really take this issue on. The Caseys and Stupaks of our party certainly aren’t the answer, and Harold Ford, Jr. isn’t either unless he proves to Democratic voters that he will champion women’s civil rights all the way.

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Prop 8 in Court

Ted Olson and David Boies partner up. Opening statement today, with one small section below:

First – Marriage is vitally important in American society.

Second – By denying gay men and lesbians the right to marry, Proposition 8 works a grievous harm on the plaintiffs and other gay men and lesbians throughout California, and adds yet another chapter to the long history of discrimination they have suffered.

Third – Proposition 8 perpetrates this irreparable, immeasurable, discriminatory harm for no good reason. … read on

Nothing is more basic than being able to commit to your partner. It doesn’t matter the gender or sexual persuasion. It’s fundamental to our very soul nature to reach out and have the choice of this emotional, physical and spiritual realization. It’s flatly un-American to deny it to anyone.

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Sarah Palin to Fox News

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In case you thought ratings over at Fox News Channel couldn’t get any better, get ready for the next bump. Palin goes pundit. Jim Rutenberg reports:

The network confirmed that Ms. Palin would appear on the network’s programming on a regular basis as part of a multiyear deal. Financial terms were not disclosed.

Ms. Palin will not have her own regular program, one person with knowledge of the deal said, though she will host a series that will run on the network from time to time.

The New York Times did a nice, big profile on Ailes yesterday, today they get the scoop.

In an alternate universe, “60 Minutes” was quite something last night, with more revelations from the campaign trail via, once again, the new book “Game Change,” by New York Magazine‘s John Heilemann and Time magazine’s Mark Halperin. Sarah Palin a big topic of discussion, none of it good for her. But as usual, her fans don’t care. One comment over at CBS:

I’d take Sarah Palin’s word over any of these guys, anyday. As far as MCCain’s top strategist, that was the worst campaign I have ever seen. Palin was the only bright spot. …

That may be true, but she’s yet to prove herself on foreign policy, which has always been the big hurdle for her. Until you remember that George W. Bush did it… beating well versed foreign policy Democrats (Gore and Kerry), twice. Still, Bush never had anything this frightening (said about him) before his run for president:

“Her foreign policy tutors are literally taking her through, ‘This is World War I, this is World War II, this is the Korean War. This is the how the Cold War worked.’ Steve Schmidt had gone to them and said, ‘She knows nothing,’” Heilemann told Cooper. “A week later, after the convention was over, she still didn’t really understand why there was a North Korea and a South Korea. She was still regularly saying that Saddam Hussein had been behind 9/11. And, literally, the next day her son was about to ship off to Iraq. And when they asked her who her son was going to fight, she couldn’t explain that.”

Steve Schmidt talking with Anderson Cooper last night validated the reporting in “The Change” on Sarah Palin, even saying Couric was not unfair in the devastating interviews. Interesting that even though he thinks a Palin nomination would be “catastrophic,” as Anderson Cooper put it, for Republicans, Schmidt believes that without Palin on the ticket in ’08 Republicans would have lost by even bigger margins.

That is the conundrum for Republicans, who will be battling Tea Partiers all the way through the primary season. And they still have to contend with the emotional attachment voters feel towards Palin, which few others in the party can match. But as I’ve said before, including in this new media poll from National Journal, I still think the big worry for Democrats remains Mitt Romney.

There are a lot of people trying to downplay “The Change,” criticize the gossipy nature of it. However, the authors are not selling it as anything but what they got from people on the inside, which means anonymous sources will be replete, because insiders rarely go on the record, unless they have nothing to lose. Sen. Ben Nelson went on the record last night on “60 Minutes” to verify what was written about Clinton regarding some in the Democratic establishment being worried. A few of those stories leaked at the time. So, for now, there hasn’t been anyone who has disputed what’s being reported in the book, though Reid reportedly felt betrayed by the authors revealing the gaffe he made about Obama, even though what they reported was true. With Halperin and Heilemann interviewing more than 200 people “on background,” which means that you won’t identify the source, but you’re going to use the information. Though critics on the outside don’t like the Beltway feel of the quotes and teases being offered so far, which is valid, until you realize that this book is about the insider politics of a national election that revolves around taking power in Washington, D.C., which is all about who’s inside and who’s out.

It may be political porn to some, a political junky’s guilty pleasure, but it sells.

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Reid, Hume and Political Correctness Run Amok

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sheriff-politicalcorrection

Sen. Harry Reid made a ridiculously embarrassing statement about Barack Obama. He apologized. Pres. Obama accepted. End of story? Hardly. Because everyone must get their scalp. In fact, even using the phrase with the word “scalp” in it, I’m likely to get hate mail. But one ray of light, the Congressional Black Caucus backs Reid. Too bad Trent Lott didn’t have such support. After all, it’s not like Harry Reid channeled George “macaca” Allen.

UPDATE INSERTJosh Marshall is making an exercised defense of what’s different between Reid and Lott’s statements. Yes, we all jumped on Lott, but that was because he was vulnerable, as his statement simply reinforced GOP’s whiteness. Listening to Lott’s tribute to Thurmond could just as easily have been interpreted as Lott saying something nice about the old man, even if it was politically tone deaf. If Lott had a Republican Congressional Black Caucus to get his back things might have turned out very differently. Marshall’s overtly partisan opining is no doubt appreciated, but reality lies elsewhere.

The Reid revelation coming just a week after Brit Hume’s Tiger bomb. You remember, Hume said Tiger should switch to Christianity, because he wasn’t certain Buddhism offered a real path towards redemption. People, especially on the left, went berserk.

There is no law against saying something stupid. Thank goodness or most of us who talk and write for a living would be in jail. The punishment from there is what the American people can stand, except when advertisers get targeted for what pundits say, as Glenn Beck found out, even if his show remains on the air. The campaign against Beck heart felt and targeted, but in the end didn’t work.

Taking out people who say impolitic things is now an American sport.

Something tells me Hume’s comment didn’t hurt him with Fox’s viewership, which is why he felt safe to say what he did. Doesn’t that count? Being on a network and actually talking to your audience.

This rush, along with the vitriol of the attacks, to take down someone because he or she says something impolitic, embarrassing or worse is starting to impinge on everyone’s free speech. I say apply the Jon Stewart rule. Instead of dissecting someone’s gaffe in self-righteous indignation simply make fun of it. It’s the best teacher.

The politics of petty just makes people sound petulant, but also decidedly un-American, because nothing is more foundational to our democratic republic than free speech.

But now we have the likes of Liz Cheney, with her back and forth with George Will on “This Week” yesterday making the rounds. Cheney leading the Republican machine calling for Reid’s resignation. So much for supporting freedom and liberty, which for Republicans is always situational.

True liberals don’t have this problem.

Whether it’s Reid or Hume, political correctness has run off the wheels in this country. While free speech recedes further and further into the distance with everyone afraid of what will happen if they say something controversial like Hume, or in Reid’s case, just plain dumb.

But seriously, who cares if Hume believes Tiger would benefit from Christianity, and what’s wrong with him stating his opinion in an opinion segment on a news show? Hume may be guilty of pundit overreach, but so what?

Last time I looked, free speech was #1 on the hit parade in the Bill of Rights.

UPDATE II: Reid talking points, via MSNBC’s First Read.
UPDATE: Tucker Carlson’s “The Daily Caller” launches today. This is their contribution to the discussion, including a headline that is just priceless, which includes a link to the liberal Washington Independent.

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The McDonnell Economic Model

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CoakleyBrown

Bob McDonnell won the Virginia governorship because he was running against a pitifully weak Democratic candidate, but also because he used economic discontent, something Frank Rich talks about today, which extends to health care, while utilizing Democrats in Washington as the target model, tapping into what independents are feeling right now, while simultaneously capitalizing on a demoralized Democratic base and an energized Republican electorate out for political blood. Nowhere to be seen was McDonnell’s Pat Robertson, right-wing past, with his economic message even able to overcome his disastrous thesis that basically branded women as only good to be barefoot and pregnant. It’s the McDonnell model, which I talked about in psychodrew’s “In the News” diary, this quote from a conservative blog the key:

I heard Brown on a few talk shows and he is smart to not uncork too much rabid conservative issues, keeping with the economic angles and staying away from the hot social issues that got the GOP in hot water in 2006 and 2008.

I know I’m a broken record on this, but without right-wing radio, the McDonnell model’s success isn’t possible. That Fox News is thriving while other networks are dying is another example of how the stage is being set. Just read the profile about Ailes in the New York Times today.

In Massachusetts against Martha Coakley, someone who I’ve interviewed and know is as strong a female senator as we’re ever going to get, the McDonnell model is being used again, with the current trend very confused at this point, with PPP showing Scott Brown, her Republican opponent, ahead, the Boston Globe reporting otherwise. Brown is focusing on the economic issues, including negative talking points against “Obamacare,” to pummel Coakley senseless. From the Globe:

Democrat Martha Coakley, buoyed by her durable statewide popularity, enjoys a solid, 15-percentage-point lead over Republican rival Scott Brown as the race for US Senate enters the homestretch, according to a new Boston Globe poll of likely voters.

Half of voters surveyed said they would pick Coakley, the attorney general, if the election were held today, compared with 35 percent who would pick Brown. Nine percent were undecided, and a third candidate in the race, independent Joseph L. Kennedy, received 5 percent.

Coakley’s lead grows to 17 points – 53 percent to 36 percent – when undecideds leaning toward a candidate are included in the tally. The results indicate that Brown has a steep hill to climb to pull off an upset in the Jan. 19 election. Indeed, the poll indicated that nearly two-thirds of Brown’s supporters believe Coakley will win.

Democrats shouldn’t take any chances, as PPP is not Rasmussen.

As an aside and looking ahead, the McDonnell model is Mitt Romney’s playbook.

As for the final days in the Massachusetts race, Democrats should mobilize hard, poll later. Because losing Massachusetts, Ted Kennedy’s seat no less, would have catastrophic reverberations, including on health care. It would inspire a collective cave in from congressional Democrats that would leave us with only the Senate bill, which is a disastrous gift for Republicans that could be utilized as a rallying cry, that when coupled with the McDonnell it’s the economy model, with cultural issues left untouched could be real trouble for Democrats going forward, as well as for policy, if they succeed. Because “cultural” issues, aka civil rights for women and gays to mention just too, but also DADT, would be the first policy victims if Republicans gain power.

The Republican in to the voters’ hearts is the economy, of which health care is a huge part, mainly due to the disastrous leadership of Obama and the Democrats, who let the right hijack the message and sew talking points into the broader electorate that allows the economy to be a cudgel. Massachusetts now a bell rung on what’s at stake, as well as what else will be in jeopardy if we lose Teddy’s seat.

UPDATE (1.11): Polling today shows Coakley with solid lead, so whatever the PPP polling revealed, it sure jolted everyone awake.

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A Side of Dish from Election 2008

updated below

Jackie Collins, eat your heart out.

The teases from John Heilemann and Mark Halperin’s new book, ‘Game Change: Obama and the Clintons, McCain and Palin, and the Race of a Lifetime’, are deliciously salacious. Check out New York Magazine, whose excerpt on John and Elizabeth Edwards is a reputation killer for all time, for both of them. A more benign section:

The Democratic Establishment agreed that there would be—and certainly should be—a viable challenger to Clinton. The party’s pooh-bahs on Capitol Hill were privately terrified about the prospect of Hillary rolling to the nomination. They feared that she was too polarizing to win, that she would drag down House and Senate candidates in red and purple states; and they worried, too, about Bill’s putative affairs. But while the Clintons themselves regarded Edwards as Hillary’s most formidable rival, there existed a deep wariness about the North Carolinian among his fellow Democrats. In the Senate, in particular, Edwards was regarded almost universally by his former colleagues as a callow, shallow phony. Quietly, the Establishment began a quest to find a different alternative, eventually settling on the unlikely horse that was Obama—with Harry Reid personally, and secretly, urging the Illinois senator to run against Clinton. – An Excerpt From John Heilemann and Mark Halperin’s ‘Game Change: Obama and the Clintons, McCain and Palin, and the Race of a Lifetime’ — New York Magazine

One “revelation” from the book, written about today by Marc Ambinder, got an immediate apology from Harry Reid, who is having some really bad days right now. But Reid has a wide, very deep infrastructure inside Nevada. It’s not over yet, though it’s by no means inconceivable that he could lose. (I just hope he doesn’t take down his son, Rory Reid, who is a cut above.)

Dishing on 2008, of course, requires some Clinton news, which is provided in Ambinder’s piece:

The war room within a war room dismissed or discredited much of the gossip floating around, but not all of it. The stories about one woman were more concrete, and after some discreet fact-finding, the group concluded that they were true: that BIll was indeed having an affair — and not a frivolous one-night stand but a sustained romantic relationship. …. For months, thereafter, the war room within a war room braced for the explosion, which her aides knew could come at any moment.

This was whispered about. Not just that WJC was fooling around, but that he had a relationship outside his marriage, and now someone found enough details to actually write it and make it interesting. As an aside, there were also tales of investigative journalists being sent to Las Vegas to investigate, uncover and get someone on the record, preferably one of the women, about what was allegedly going on there, too, with WJC. There was plenty of noise out there about Bill Clinton’s antics during the primaries, with people just waiting for it to bust out. If somebody had gone on the record it would have.

We are intimately familiar with the male political icons who stray, especially John F. Kennedy, who made being a louse sort of chic. He couldn’t have survived today’s media, because they won’t hide the dirt, nor should we.

Women caught in the political meat grinder, wives, and mistresses who find out or who are found out, even who bust out on their own with the story, are something we didn’t have to deal with much, the most famous in modern time being Jennifer Flowers… then Monica Lewinski… wannabe Paul Jones… now Reille Hunter.

It’s hard to say how the hangers on fans of Elizabeth Edwards will take the latest dish about this most protected of Democratic darlings. When I wrote candidly about Mrs. Edwards last year her fans went berserk. From the New York Magazine piece:

One day, she was on a conference call with the staffers of One America, the political-action committee that was being turned into a vehicle for John’s 2008 bid. There were 40 or 50 people on the line, mostly kids in their twenties being paid next to nothing (and in some cases literally nothing). Elizabeth had been cranky throughout the call, but at the end she asked if her and her husband’s personal health-care coverage had been arranged. Not yet, she was told. There are complications; let’s discuss it after the call. Elizabeth was having none of that. She flew into a rage.

If this isn’t dealt with by tomorrow, everyone’s health care at the PAC will be cut off until it’s fixed, she barked. I don’t care if nobody has health care until John and I do! – New York Magazine

That’s not the worst one either.

When it comes to seeing portrayals of Elizabeth Edwards like this, along with yet more salacious tidbits about Hillary’s latest ordeal with her husband, it causes uneasiness. In this day and age, smart, capable, but especially, financially comfortable women shouldn’t find themselves in these situations. They have a choice. Whether it’s being caught in the eye of a love child story that reveals a dying wife gripping her man and his fame long after he’s humiliated her, or the never ending, decade after decade serial philandering husband that you continue to protect, for your own sake you rationalize, but which is actually to your own detriment, these two stories defy rational analysis. Hey, but love isn’t rational, it’s emotional.

It makes you ask whether even Elizabeth and Hillary, as powerful and educated as two females can be, still feel self-defined by the famous, handsome, charismatic man they each married, unable to let go of the image of the man they first met, as well as the young woman they were, because their own identity and sexuality are so intertwined and fixed with his that their sense of self disappears without him. Sounds crazy, I know. Neither of these two strong women give an impression of being so emotionally dependent, but it’s clear they won’t let go. It’s tragically pathetic that marriage and love are wrapped so tightly in such packages of betrayal and co-dependency, which both wives accept and enable, even as they’re the only ones holding their marriage together. For what reason? Love?

John Heilemann and Mark Halperin have created quite the buzz. Who won’t read this book?

UPDATE: From Ambinder, some more damaging details on the Clintons that are really tough to take. But to Hillary Clinton’s reaction to Shaheen’s remarks, of course she’s right it would have been fair game in other elections. But this remark, as reported, illustrates that Hillary just didn’t get the nature of the race she was in and the mood of people. Penn’s remarks illustrate the same tone deafness to the time, but also how ill served Clinton was; but then again, that’s her fault, as she could have fired them at any time. As for the alleged remarks from WJC to Ted Kennedy below, it was certain that whatever former Pres. Clinton said had broken a tie with his former friend, as it was reported at the time. It had to have been very serious to get such a reaction from Kennedy. The one reported in the new book would have done it, if he indeed said it, though former Pres. Clinton obviously has no intention of commenting. This stuff is ugly, no other way to cut it.

Why Sen. Kennedy was offended about his conversation with Bill Clinton: (Page 218):

“Recounting the conversation later to a friend, Teddy fumed that Clinton had said, A few years ago this guy would have been getting us coffee.”

Clinton senior strategist Mark Penn boasted to his staff how many times he managed to say “cocaine” on that famous Hardball segment. (Page 163.)

Hillary Clinton was initially pleased when her New Hampshire campaign chairman, Billy Shaheen, mentioned Obama’s previous use of drugs: (Page 161):

“Hillary’s reaction to Shaheen’s remarks was, “Good for him!” Followed by “Let’s push it out.” Her aides violently disagreed, seeing what Shaheen had said as a PR disaster. Grudgingly, Clinton acquiesced to disowning Shaheen’s comments. But she wasn’t going to cut him loose. Why should Billy have to fall on his sword for invoking something that had been fair game in every recent election?”

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The Only Choice Left Is Mutiny

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I’m a liberal. “Progressive” was adopted because the right had made the word “liberal” radioactive and activists didn’t want to fight to change the persona. So, they simply adopted a new name. That’s fine, but it’s indicative of the battle, though there are strains of liberal fight in the movement progressives, seen in the economic and health care battles, but also from those who believe Obama’s words on terrorism yesterday could have been written by conservatives, which isn’t exactly shining a liberal light. Hey, but John F. Kennedy wouldn’t embrace the word either until he needed liberal firebrand Eleanor Roosevelt, so this is nothing new. It does point to the larger problem on the left, which can be better understood by looking at conservatives. The right never gets embarrassed about the tactics they use to get ahead or the labels they employ. Consider the Tea Partiers. Progressives have a natural tendency towards self-righteous earnestness and just aren’t good at scorched earth. The right, Tea Partiers, conservatives and Republicans, are experts in the tactic, especially when they’re fighting for power, as they are now, and once they get it they know how to use it. The left, progressives and Democrats, don’t. They need to learn or lose it, even if it’s their own who take them down.

Lots of discussion right now about what’s going wrong politically, especially after Obama’s first year, looking at what has and has not been accomplished by the Dem majority. Meyerson wrote a piece this week, to which I responded. Don Hazen writes the intro for Alernet’s discussion, which is followed by Les Leopold and Bruce E. Levine articles on the subject.

Alternet’s headline reads: Are Progressives Depressed or Too Privileged to Produce Social Change? Or Are We Just Failing to Organize Effectively? From Hazen:

Are progressives collectively depressed and incapable of action, depleted by the relentless corporate machine? How much of progressive inaction is a consequence of how comfortable the progressive elite is, and the gap between affluent progressives and younger, less prosperous progressives; especially those who do not work in the nonprofit sector? [...] Like most important debates, there is no one truth, and Leopold and Levine both make important and provocative arguments. On the one hand, resources are not going to be more fairly distributed and corporations are not going to be held accountable unless there is more effective mobilizing with both grassroots pressure and in the electoral arena. But at this point what is the path to change? Especially when disenchantment with Obama seems to breed cynicism and withdrawal, rather than anger and action? …

In Bruce E. Levine’s article, “Comforting the Afflicted, Afflicting the Comfortable”, responding to Les Leopold, Levine writes the following:

The good, smart people I know who are caught up in this state of helplessness are not moved to action by lectures about the history of successful movements and advice to pull themselves up by their bootstraps.

I wonder how Mr. Levine then accounts for the entire right-wing radio juggernaut, with Rush Limbaugh and Sean Hannity’s daily “pull yourself up by your bootstraps” rants leading a horde of people who kept Bush-Cheney in office in ’04, and have now coalesced into the Tea Party contingent that is doing exactly what Levine, but also Leopold, rail isn’t happening on the left.

He can’t, because the left is stuck in word quicksand instead of seeing what’s right before their eyes.

Levine continues:

I am surprised that Les minimizes the value of small victories: “Levine’s analysis offers a way forward that involves building ‘morale’ through ‘small victories.’ That’s not good enough. The pursuit of the little ball right now, I believe, is a colossal organizing mistake.”

While Les, thankfully, sees some value in small victories, he feels we have more important needs. He says, “We need more information, more truth, and I intend to do all I can to share what I can with you.”

Obama for America did the work, the activism, the organizing, which resulted in Barack Obama and many more Democrats being put into power. This is not a small victory. Clintonites helped make it happen, working diligently to bring 18 million aboard, most of whom did it gladly. This wasn’t a small victory either. Nothing was more important than getting a Democratic president and Congress, which Americans across the country did, mostly in reaction to the misadventures of George W. Bush and Dick Cheney. But yet just one year later Democrats are as restless as they are worried and disaffected; disappointment too lame a word for the power of many people’s anger at what’s not manifesting under total Democratic rule.

Les Leopold responds to Bruce E. Levine:

Take the 2000 election that Levine uses as an example. The response from the Democrats and the Republicans was quite different. The Republicans flooded Florida with their top dogs who participated actively in the recounts. I can still recall Bob Dole glowering as he challenged every Democratic hanging chad. The Republicans also concocted faux demonstrations by flying in staff.

Meanwhile the Democrats relied on the legal process even though they could have organized massive demonstrations all over Florida. What did Al Gore, the leader of the entire party, do after the Supreme Court decision against him? Nothing. He meekly accepted the results and moved on. He refused to call us to join him for mass protests at the steps of the Supreme Court because he believed in the judicial process, however flawed. He refused to rock the system because he was so much a part of it.

You weren’t there and neither was I because of choices made by Gore and the Democratic Party, including its major constituent organizations. But I find it difficult to blame us or the American public for Gore’s lack of will. You know full well the Republicans would have fought to the bitter end. (Why don’t they suffer more from abuse syndrome?) …

Leopold also addresses the point I’ve been making for months, while progressives across the spectrum make fun of Sarah Palin, as well as the Tea Party activists:

The Tea Party folks got it together in a hurry, but progressives seem at a loss.

The obvious comes from one Alternet commenter:

Posted by: Perry Logan on Jan 7, 2010 2:52 AM

How can any discussion of the morale of progressives ignore the fact that we have just been betrayed by the Obama Administration? Earth calling progressives. We did organize. We did rise up as a group. It was just a few months ago–remember? And then we got shot down! We are ignoring the elephant in the room. …

Though I’d take issue with the word “betrayed,” as Barack Obama was never what people scripted, at least not in ideology or policy prescriptions. We’re seeing through health care Obama’s true political north, for good or ill, which isn’t close to “socialism” or anything similar, regardless of the overlaid “socialism” tag from the right. But Perry Logan has it right: the organizing was done, people rose to elect Democrats, but then they decided not to deliver, and aren’t worried about any consequences for their ineptitude and inaction.

Tea Party people are “bootstrap activists” who don’t care if they take down the comfortable, to use Levine’s terminology and suggestion that they need to be afflicted, with Republican politicians scared of the wrath of their base, because Tea Party activists and other conservative brethren are loud and helped out by an entire network of radio hosts singing their praises and backing their cause all day long across this country.

The rebellion on the right also comes at a moment in history where conservatives have nothing to lose.

There’s no one more dangerous.

As for the left, they’ve got all the power and put people there who believe their supporters have no place else to go. Besides, what’s so wrong with being in power? Beats the alternative, right? Not if the people who put you there aren’t getting their share of the rewards and glory for their grunt work, with the policies being floated by the politicians they helped elect not close to what was fought to achieve.

Levine’s got it right: afflict the comfortable. After all, the people in power who are leading us nowhere can’t stay there if we don’t follow.

In a highly developed society, the Establishment cannot survive without the obedience and loyalty of millions of people who are given small rewards to keep the system going: the soldiers and police, teachers and ministers, administrators and social workers, technicians and production workers, doctors, lawyers….They become the guards of the system….If they stop obeying, the system falls. – “A People’s History of the United States,” by Howard Zinn

Buy some bootstraps.

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Palin Knows Exactly What She’s Doing

The GOP establishment may not like her, but she doesn’t seem to care. Sarah Palin knows that whatever shot she’s got at the big job won’t come through traditional means. She’s mapped out another strategy, which Politico’s Andy Barr explains today:

Palin is declining an invitation to address the Conservative Political Action Conference next month because, a source said, she does not want to be affiliated with the longtime organizer of the traditional movement confab.

At issue is the role of David Keene, head of the American Conservative Union which organizes CPAC. In September, POLITICO reported that Keene asked FedEx for between $2 million and $3 million to get the group’s support in a bitter legislative battle with rival UPS.

CPAC was one of the first events I attended after arriving in DC last spring. Back then Rush Limbaugh was sporting 90 more pounds and bouncing like a bobble head on stage, clearly nervous, caffeined up to give a speech way too long and uninteresting even for someone of his stature. Rush’s darling, Sarah Palin, want’s none of it.

Chris Cilizza writes something else revealing today, which is just going to make the Republican hierarchy even more annoyed.

Former Alaska governor Sarah Palin’s decision to attend — and speak at — the Southern Republican Leadership Conference in New Orleans in April transforms that event into the first legitimate cattle-call of the 2012 Republican presidential sweepstakes.

Sarah Palin’s presence is what defines the Republican horse race for 2012 for traditional media like Cilizza. She’s got the juice. If her non-traditional event picking continues, can the Tea Party base and conservative voters be far behind?

Or a better question, if Palin isn’t part of the Republican president party will anyone tune in?

While I keep wondering… The GOP establishment took a trip to Crawford to hand pick George W. Bush, who was then tutored and spoon fed Paul Wolfowitz’s and Dick Cheney’s neoconservatism. Why don’t Republicans do that with Sarah Palin, especially since she’s already emotionally connected with a loyal following of voters? She’s certainly no dumber than Bush.

Sarah Palin simply isn’t as pliant.

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OBAMA: ‘We are at war. We are at war against al Qaeda.’

–updated–


(Part of Obama’s statement today.)

Pres. Obama gave conservatives what they wanted in the words they wanted to hear. In fact, they could have scripted them.

Then he channeled a little Harry S. Truman. “Ultimately, the buck stops with me,” Obama said today.

The security review is now online, with the summary telling the story.

Pres. Obama’s demeanor, tone and message stronger than anything we’ve heard from him since this latest U.S. governmental, bureaucratic, dot connecting failure began ricocheting across Washington. He was also highly partisan.

“We will not succumb to a siege mentality,” he stated firmly, clearly sending a shot over Cheney’s bow. “We will never hand them that victory,” he continued. It’s “not time for partisanship, it’s time for citizenship,” a good line for its own sake, regardless that it will fall on deaf ears.


TM note: Due to a technical hiccup, parts of this post had to be reconstructed after posting.

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Jones: ‘A Certain Shock’ Coming Over Missed Clues in Latest Terrorism Report

This one makes me queasy. From USA Today:

White House national security adviser James Jones says Americans will feel “a certain shock” when they read an account being released Thursday of the missed clues that could have prevented the alleged Christmas Day bomber from ever boarding the plane.

President Obama “is legitimately and correctly alarmed that things that were available, bits of information that were available, patterns of behavior that were available, were not acted on,” Jones said in an interview Wednesday with USA TODAY.

“That’s two strikes,” Obama’s top White House aide on defense and foreign policy issues said, referring to the foiled bombing of the Detroit-bound airliner and the shooting rampage at Fort Hood, Texas, in November. In that case, too, officials failed to act when red flags were raised about an Army psychiatrist, Maj. Nidal Hasan. He has been charged with killing 13 people.

Jones said Obama “certainly doesn’t want that third strike, and neither does anybody else.”

The Obama administration is taking my “Jack Ryan” advice, which I wrote about just last week: “Give them no place to go, nothing to report, no story.”

When you can’t hide bad news coming unload it. The openly honest transparent talk on terrorism from Jones in direct contrast to what we’ve seen from Republicans. We’ll have to wait to see if Pres. Obama and his team get credit for it.

That said, given the current atmosphere and critical mass on Democratic political incompetence, seen most readily through the health care debate. It’s worth mentioning that nobody ever got elected, let alone re-elected, by overestimating the American public’s intelligence on matters of national security, let alone tolerance on the nuances of candor. See George W. Bush v. John Kerry, circa 2004, with Carter v. Reagan the political foundation.

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