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GOP Tea Party Takes 10-Point Lead in Generic Poll



Very bad news for Democrats in latest Gallup poll, which they’re headlining as “unprecedented.”

Republicans lead by 51% to 41% among registered voters in Gallup weekly tracking of 2010 congressional voting preferences. The 10-percentage-point lead is the GOP’s largest so far this year and is its largest in Gallup’s history of tracking the midterm generic ballot for Congress.

On “enthusiasm” the Republican Tea Party has a 25-point lead on Independents and Democrats who are at 28% and 25% respectively.

This is not a daily poll, it’s a weekly tracking poll, which should send a chill down the Democrats spine, wherever they’ve hidden it.

About Taylor Marsh

Veteran political analyst and author of "The Hillary Effect - Politics, Sexism and the Destiny of Loss," now available in print at Amazon.com, and 1 of 4 books chosen by Barnes and Noble to launch their "NOOK First" Featured Authors Selection program. Former Miss Missouri, Broadway dancer, & relationship consultant at LA Weekly, produced & wrote one woman show "Weeping for JFK."

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40 Responses to GOP Tea Party Takes 10-Point Lead in Generic Poll

  1. Lake Lady 30 August 2010 at 6:37 pm #

    “……which should send a chill down the Democrats spine, wherever they’ve hidden it.”

    That about sums up the problem.

  2. Lake Lady 30 August 2010 at 6:39 pm #

    On the other hand it is pretty frightening that that many people think the Republicans have shown any evidence at all of having a clue!

    You know this is starting to make me really angry with Obama.

  3. dsue 30 August 2010 at 7:06 pm #

    Well he blew off such a huge win just 20 months ago and now we are looking at those horrid retugs again…there is no hope for the middle class…we will be lucky if there are any jobs, social security, or anything else if they get back in….why, why, did you all vote this guy in…he wasn’t my choice.
    We finally had a handle on the republicans and now in just 20 short months they’ve turned completely around…Obama better pull a rabbit out of a hat soon or we are sunk..AGAIN!

    • Ga6thDem 30 August 2010 at 7:10 pm #

      There is no rabbit for Obama to pull out of his hat. The only reason he’s survived this long is because he has been completely coddled. If the press had given him the same treatment they gave Hillary back in ’08, he would have wilted like a hot house flower.

  4. Ga6thDem 30 August 2010 at 7:08 pm #

    Taylor,
    Remember when I predicted that Obama’s weakness would lead to the radical right taking over the county? Well, here is the first warning shot. It should send a chill down Democrats spine and if they had one the first thing they would be doing is trying to get Obama to step down from the Presidency for the good of the country. If these radicals take over, you know Obama is not strong enough or experienced enough to handle this situation and that is very bad news for the country.

  5. Lake Lady 30 August 2010 at 7:34 pm #

    Biden would be much better. Of course that will never happen.

    • rickroberts 30 August 2010 at 9:12 pm #

      By way of a well aimed bullet, perhaps?

      • Lake Lady 30 August 2010 at 9:33 pm #

        Hey! Uncalled for….take that back,it’s bad luck,people could think you are serious ):

      • dafederalist 30 August 2010 at 11:32 pm #

        “By way of a well aimed bullet, perhaps?”

        Well, the way all these teabaggers are talking about “take our country back”…we all know what they mean…can’t win elections so lets start picking people off….never mind that that republicans caused this mess, never mind that we keep giving tax cuts without reducing any spending…especially military…..oh, and lets make sure that the murdocks of the country keep getting tax cuts to by fancy yatchs while they continue to give the middle class and the poor the shaft….None of the teabaggers were talking about taking the country back and controlling spending when Bush was in office….21 months ago….it’s all bullshit…but in the end…President Obama is to blame…all this reaching out to republicans..lettem’ have a seat at table when we should have pulled the chair from under them…I just don’t see how Obama is going to turn this thing around.

  6. Sally 30 August 2010 at 7:44 pm #

    After BO ensures his policies give the repugs the majority in one or both chambers of Congress, he will continue to prettily orate on and on and on about what he would do if he only had Dim majorities. Many of his supporters will sigh and wring their hands in sympathy while willingly forgetting the fact that he had majorities in both chambers and did diddly squat except help his repug soul mates.

    He should go the Palin route and quit the next time around. That will leave him with plenty of golf time and corporate spending money, not to mention the good it might do for our country providing his replacement practices true progressive values. Oh, wait, are there any establishment Dims who would allow that to happen? Not if the past is prologue.

  7. texan4hillary 30 August 2010 at 9:25 pm #

    scary. scary. scary. damned scary. is it a good idea for obama to have a address on iraw and then try peace talks in the middle of a jobs crisis? those peace sound screwed as usual and i expect we will turmoil in the middle over it. it happens every time.i get trying to talk peace is improtant but now? knowing bibi i bet not

    • masslib 30 August 2010 at 10:47 pm #

      I hear what you are saying, but arn’t the negotiations mostly the work of State, and isn’t that what they are supposed to do?

      • texan4hillary 30 August 2010 at 11:30 pm #

        yes. but obama will be directly involved daily in these from ive read so far. this is high stakes here. bibi is someone i dont think you can trust. and hamas cant wait to spark a crisis like they always do. bibi says he will allow settlements to go up spet 26th- no more freeze which renders these negotiations as pure theatre unless bibi extends the freeze. but if he does extend it his govt may fall. which in the end may be the aim here- push bibi to concede something and cause a israeli govt cirisis and collapse. maybe im wrong!

        the only reason we may feel a little more secure about these talks is hillary and biden from i read will be really operating the negotiations with obama involved. i hope something good comes out of these talks. something. we are starved for good news!

        • masslib 30 August 2010 at 11:33 pm #

          Wow. Ok, I agree. He chouldn’t be involved on a daily basis.

  8. fairmindedindependant 30 August 2010 at 9:56 pm #

    Wow, I knew it was bad for democrats but from the Gallop Poll, oh goodness !! I still just don’t understand why the democrats had the majority and they passed waterdowned bills. If this was any other year, people would not elected some of these tea party candidates, but this year, people are so angry and the democratic base which is attacked by some in president Obamas administration aka “Robert Gibbs” that its no wonder people are angry at Washington period !!

  9. getty1206 30 August 2010 at 10:08 pm #

    The Republicans have one more shot at fixing this country or they are just as toast as Democrats and a third party will emerge.

  10. Marie205 30 August 2010 at 10:08 pm #

    What everyone is seeing in this poll showing Republicans with a huge lead…mounts to one hell of a comeback for a party void of ideas…lol
    I have predicted for a while that at the most Republicans would win the House back but loss the senate. It seems my theory is becoming truer everyday. Ah..so where all looking at Speaker Boehner in November…Damn!!! Why did we get stuck with a President who refuses to show leadership?!…I voted for Hillary in the primaries…and was forced to go with Obama in the general do to my distrust of the McCain/Palin ticket.
    When Republicans take over in November its going to get non-stop investigations for Obama, just like they did Bill Clinton…

    • getty1206 31 August 2010 at 1:52 pm #

      Let’s hope so. The American public needs to know what has been going on behind closed doors for two years.

  11. dsue 30 August 2010 at 10:37 pm #

    I certainly hope so…I don’t feel sorry for Obama….he should have waited his turn. We could of had 16 years, now we barely got two and he didn’t even use those wisely. He played right into the wingnuts hands and he continues to do so…well I was willing to give him a change for 2012′ but he hasn’t earned my vote.
    We are the ones who are going to suffer the consequences of his ineptitude…he just needs to retire PDQ!

    • Marie205 30 August 2010 at 11:47 pm #

      I agree about not feeling sorry for Obama…he but this on himself by allowing the Republicans to get the upper hand. However, I certainly do hope for the down fall of his Presidency. Because if he fails…the VOTERS suffer. Obama may end up a one term president but his life will go on for the better financially…he’ll have huge book deals, job offers etc…While you and I the regular folk will have to deal with Republican policies and a President Palin. The Obama family will be safe in Hawaii living the good life.

      • Marie205 30 August 2010 at 11:50 pm #

        correction:
        I agree about not feeling sorry for Obama…he bought this on himself by allowing the Republicans to get the upper hand. However, I certainly do not hope for the down fall of his Presidency. Because if he fails…the VOTERS suffer. Obama may end up a one term president but his life will go on for the better financially…he’ll have huge book deals, job offers etc…While you and I the regular folk will have to deal with Republican policies and a President Palin. The Obama family will be safe in Hawaii living the good life.
        :)

  12. masslib 30 August 2010 at 10:38 pm #

    I’d rather lose the Senate than the House. The House actually passed some good things only to see them stacked up in the Senate with Harry Reid unwilling to move on anything. Pelosi is a better leader than Reid and she’ll go down while he will probably still stand. Ah well.

    One thing is, the Republicans won’t retain power. They still have the same garbage ideas they had before, and they’ll overreach with their investigations.

    • texan4hillary 30 August 2010 at 11:23 pm #

      true. this tea party gop-with their anti latino, anti gay anti etc cmapaign will backfire horribly. the gop isnt trying fo r inclusion anymore. you are right- much rather lose the senate. much. the senate has proven worthless anyway. nothing moves there. the house has 300 pieces of legislation- most of it stuff people voted for. in december they pass another stim bill of 200 bil- incl inner city jobs programs, green jobs programs, and much needed funds for the states. how tragic would it be- despite my lack of love for pelosi- if the senate had passed the several jobs bills the house got through, energy bill etc we would be better off. that jobs bill money would have been fully kicking in right when the 1st stim faded- which would be right now. what fools in the senate to kill this bill yet its the hosue that will pay. the senate is so freaking white and old they didnt give a damned what the tri caucus int he house got passed- a jobs bill with funds to get inner city minority young folks working. this is beyond ciritcal.

      and the fools of the senate scoffed- hell they have no clue these old white dudes. the senate has become something the founders didnt intend. the house has been at least responsive to all communities ie the aa community etc..

      and yes the wh simply gives up if the votes dont simply surface. but i also blame some of these members of congress who never ask- “is this stim bill big enough?”"im up for election in 2yrs- will this bill create enough jobs?” and very few asked the question. well rep obey did, cbc did, cpc . its all a game.

      • masslib 30 August 2010 at 11:37 pm #

        Yeah, the WH totally screwed up the stimulus, which should have been about 1.6 trillion, not 750 billion, and should have included DIRECT WPA-wtyle hiring, and they should not have insisted on 40% for unstimulative tax cuts( a payroll holiday for workers would have been a stim tax cut, not the bs the WH wanted). But the Senate was complicit.

        • texan4hillary 30 August 2010 at 11:47 pm #

          yes. pelosi and obey pushed for a much larger package. snowe, collins and specter saw their chance and the obama folks went along. dems so rarely govern with all 3 branches no wonder they screw it up. between that and the money buying off so many here we are. again.

          • masslib 30 August 2010 at 11:52 pm #

            Obama from the very beginning said he wanted a stim under 1 trillion despite Christine Romer, one of his key econ advisors running the numbers and telling him it needed to be around 2 trillion. Obama didn’t “go along with it”, he started it. He prenegotiated to look very bipartisan. he forgot the central rule of politics, good policy is good politics.

      • masslib 30 August 2010 at 11:40 pm #

        Oh, but any GOP takeovver will be temporary, IMO. They still believe the in the same horrible economics that got us into this mess. My only concern is even here in MA I see stupid Dems running to the Right thinking that’s where the voters are, and they just continue to allienate and depress their base. Case in point, here’s Obama today via Joan Walsh:

        “I think the next couple of years, we’ve got to focus on debt and deficits.”

        http://www.salon.com/news/opinion/joan_walsh/index.html

        Unbelievable.

        • gef49 31 August 2010 at 1:41 am #

          Re: the original stimulus. From everything I recall and have read, Obama and Romer were for a $1 trillion plus stimulus. It was Rahm and especially Larry Summers who came down and said must be under a trillion – then Stowe and co. took that figure and ran with it.

          • masslib 31 August 2010 at 2:35 pm #

            Romer was looking for about 2 trillion. Obama is the President. He clearly didn’t side with her.

    • getty1206 31 August 2010 at 1:53 pm #

      I like the idea of not having to look at Nancy Pelosi’s face every day.

  13. texan4hillary 30 August 2010 at 11:40 pm #

    the right does what it does best- whip up folks against govt, dc etc.. make people hate their govt to put the gop in charge so they can then install their govt stuff. they did it under clinton. they are doing it again. the gop is promising tax cuts, probes into the entire obama admin and then some, and uh govt shutdowns. rick perry today said he would never go to dc expect maybe to a museum. get it? dc is real bad- oh expect when perry and the rest needed those billions to save their state budgets from uncle sam. so the people are whipped into hysteria. into a rage against those who are seen as different. muslims, latinos and whatever grp is deemed the next target.

    so michelle better make sure every paper clip is accounted for. joe sestak better be ready to be persecuted like hell. and oabam better have the best lawyers around- the gop is great at finding something and making it criminal and worse. all of this while americans will suffer even worse. depressing.

    • masslib 30 August 2010 at 11:43 pm #

      See, that’s exactly why any Repub takeover won’t last. It was one thing during the Clinton boom when we lived in relative peace(and even then it bit the repubs in the ass), but if they do this when people are so angry, if they overreach like this and ignore the issues, they won’t last.

      • texan4hillary 30 August 2010 at 11:55 pm #

        and we have seen this already. as krugman wrote this week- the witch hunts set to begin. then again- i sat for 16 yrs thinking oh this yr we will get back the house and we might gain a few seats but not come close. the majority of house seats are drawn for republicans by gop statehouses. i just worry once its lost we will wait a decade or more to get it back again.

        but the again- america isnt a bunch of white cranky folks. it is very diverse and growing more so. the gop wont see muslims voting their way for sometime much less hispanics. i think people will be even more enraged if the gop takes the house etc.. cuz the govt will shutdown as the gop w aits til 2012. this is pathetic.

        • masslib 31 August 2010 at 12:04 am #

          And, things are soooo much worse. I mean, that’s why the Dem majority has been so short lived, which you know historically, these sorts of majorities last longer. It is because people expect results. They are really upset across the board. And, when the Repubs screw it up, I think out they will go. The only scary part is if the Dems really think the answer is for them to move further right. Then I don’t know what people will do.

  14. dsue 31 August 2010 at 12:37 am #

    So now we can look forward many investigations….they why when we had a chance to go after Bush and Cheney did Pelosi take it off the table….for once I’d like to give it back to the rethugs….just once.

  15. dsue 31 August 2010 at 12:39 am #

    The rethugs will get one more shot at fixing up the govt…yeah like messing with social security.

  16. klassicheart 31 August 2010 at 12:42 am #

    Pelosi backed Obama and screwed Hillary. The Dems deserve everything they get…they screwed over the working class Dems and the base of the party since FDR. The so called progressive and academic elites brought us Obama. But in the process, the Democratic elites changed the rules and usurped democratic principles to nominate Obama. They pushed their guy on a reliable base and dissed the Clinton Democrats in the process. They burned bridges. And however much I hate the Republicans, they at least have balls. Say what you will about Sarah Palin…but she didn’t take the crap the Republican elites threw at her…she took them on….Compare that with the wimp Obama…the self satisfied arrogant Obama who took big Democratic majorities and brought us what? Those that say Obama should step down are right. And so should all those in leadership who pushed him upon us. But half of the Democratic party are morons…because they bought the hope and change crap…they abandoned common sense and forgot eight years of what they Clintons brought to this country and the Democratic party. Bill Clinton saved the Democratic party from the Carter disaster. .Therefore, all those idiots who bought the Obama mantra are hard pressed to criticize the morons in the Tea Party and the Retpubs under the circumstances….Nevertheless, this will be a blood bath….It is true…We could have had 16 years…8 of Hillary and then 8 of Obama….People were conned…And the only thing Democrats should worry about is taking back their party with real Democrats…And those who pushed Obama on us should accept responsibility for what they brought upon the country…. The Democrats did not deliver…and people are very very angry that they were bamboozled. They are probably more angry now because they feel like dupes. The Democratic leadership did this to us…Leadership is everything. And no….Biden is not the one. Hillary was the one….And Democrats ditched her for that self satisfied inexperienced part time state senator, who spent most of his time in the Senate running for the Presidency. This is a debacle. Only his stepping down will work….and begging Hillary to run in 2012. But the Democratic leadership is either too stupid to do this, too weak…or too bought off. All those stupid marketing slogans….and nothing else. What a waste of epic proportions. The academic elites cannot be trusted. Common sense should be trusted. P.S. The Daily Howler has already demonstrated what our “liberal and progressive”
    press has contributed to this disaster. They should be all be exposed.

  17. klassicheart 31 August 2010 at 1:02 am #

    Don’t forget….Obama created the commission (social security) and appointed its chairmen. Obama wants to scam us again…this time social security….and not be accountable. Obama is so out of his depth, it really is frightening. But he is pursuing an agenda…regardless of consequences to the Democratic party. Shouldn’t this be a movie?

    • dsue 31 August 2010 at 1:03 pm #

      I do agree with that statement! My question is why?

  18. Dividist 31 August 2010 at 12:56 pm #

    Impressive poll, but I am still dubious about taking the House. There is just no overestimating how difficult it is to flip the House. House incumbents (frequently aided by gerrymandered districts) enjoy extraordinarily high re-election rates. Even when voters tell pollsters they despise Congress in generic polls, they’ll still vote for their specific representative who is often the conduit by which federal services are delivered or expedited to individuals, municipalities, and businesses in the district. House elections are almost always “local” (in the Tip O’Neill sense). In the almost 100 years since we have been been electing Senators directly (only since the 17th Amendment was ratified in 1913) the House of Representatives has never flipped majorities unless the Senate flipped first or at the same time. If conventional wisdom is correct and the Republicans take the House but not the Senate, it would be an historic first… Soooo either the GOP takes both, or they take the Senate and fall just short on the House.

    My complete analysis here: 10 in ’10