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Taylor Marsh has been writing on line since 1996, with the archives provided here a representation of that work.

Archive | February, 2011

Obama Gets Pwned by GOP on Econ Talking Points

It’s nothing but a snapshot in time, but it does tell a significant story. Even as the perception of Obama’s presidency takes a positive jump, mainly due to how he’s being covered by traditional and new media, Gallup’s numbers tell another story.

This should once again teach Pres. Obama, the Blue Dogs and the rest of the Democratic conservatives that you cannot win by playing on Republican economic turf. Of course, that won’t stop them from doing it, but it’s not paying off so far, especially for the President. That’s because validating the Right’s economic theories by jawboning them is a losing strategy.



Pres. Obama continues to have serious economic challenges, which includes health care. But his biggest mistake since the midterm elections was taking up the deficit cause on Republican grounds.

The approvals on taxes is quite interesting considering Americans are paying less in taxes than during the Bush years.



As for the deficit, Pres. Obama’s short-term December gain on extending the Bush tax cuts to the upper 2% was never going to pay off long-term. It made a mockery of his fiscal discipline and deficit reduction cheerleading, which was driven home this week in his speech to the Chamber of Commerce when he didn’t dare mention that these tax cuts weren’t going to get renewed under his watch. Considering he flip-flopped on what he said as a candidate his economic word doesn’t mean much.

This leaves no one on the Left making the case for Democrats. Pres. Obama’s rightward shift validates Republican austerity talking points and doesn’t drop the hammer on what’s required to begin digging out: raising taxes on those making over $1 million dollars, with another bracket for the top 2% wealthiest. It should be done in conjunction with simplifying the tax code, which I’ll leave to the econ experts to argue over.

The situation in Egypt is riveting and the stuff of real world drama, but the American people remain focused on the family wallet, with Pres. Obama continuing to struggle on the main issues riveting the middle class: their own economic future and health care. On both of these issues Republicans have owned Obama, because he couldn’t come up with a Democratic case on either that confronted the policy bankruptcy of the Republican Tea Party.

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Austerity Pushing Europe into Another Recesssion. Got it America?

Texan4Hillary offers his perspective as a movement progressive activist.

Austerity is a loser. We all lose with it. The politicians lose with it. As the Right in America eye austerity and our conservative Dem President aims to make cuts in t he budget let us look to Europe. And hope America’s government wakes up.

Economist David Blanchflower of Dartmouth makes the clear case Europe’s austerity kick is dooming it to another recession. Can the pendulum in America swing back from the Right to stop the worst of austerity here? That is my only hope right now.

Blanchflower notes austerity idol Margaret Thatcher did not grow the economy via cuts but a stimulus package. Not that Mrs. Thatcher did not wreck Britain in so many ways through privatizing the state and declaring war on unions.

…Claims are often made that there are examples where fiscal austerity has worked. But it turns out that this is generally due to the monetary stimulus that accompanied it, as in the U.K. under Margaret Thatcher in the 1980s. The most frequently cited example is Canada, but it was able to cut interest rates while at the same time benefiting from the Clinton boom of the 1990s.

Recession appears to once again return to key nations in Europe. The mere prospect of austerity in Britain is flatlining the economy and causing panic.

Fiscal austerity has already been started in Greece, Ireland, Spain and Portugal, and this seems to be pushing all of them back into recession. Over the last four quarters, growth in Greece was negative and falling, and bond investors are once more demanding sky-high returns to compensate their risk. The excuse in these countries was that they have little choice because they are stuck in the European monetary union and don’t have the ability to depreciate their exchange rate.

The U.K. may be a purer case of the harm austerity at the wrong time can inflict. Britain now looks as if it is headed back into recession on fear about the damage that will be done by massive spending cuts and tax increases, which haven’t even gone into effect yet. Government ministers with their talk of austerity have already smashed confidence.

The Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne has said the economy was “bankrupt” and had “run out of money,” which of course is simply untrue. Prime Minister David Cameron and other ministers made similar unsupported claims, which seem to have had a deleterious effect on animal spirits.

Confidence Game

Despite the government’s claims that its intent was to raise confidence, consumer and business confidence tumbled right after the new government took office.

Businesses and consumers know what is coming and have cut back accordingly. Retail spending has flat-lined. The balance of trade is deteriorating. Unemployment is rising, and house prices have started to fall again.

It is maddening to watch this going on and worse for the leaders of this nation to be going so gung ho for this idea of austerity. It does not work on any level. Obama, watch out. And to the GOP now running so many states, watch out also. Look to history. Look to the present in Europe for what austerity does. It is not pretty and brings upheaval. Egypt tried austerity measures at the behest of the IMF. Egypt’s Mubarak sowed his final destruction with the cuts he made to the suffering masses of his country. Beware.

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All Aboard!

Excited? You bet.

This is what Pres. Obama should have done his first days in office. This is our real Sputnik moment. Few things are more important than connecting America through trains, but also the general focus on mass transit. Our energy challenges demand it.

The short-sided nature of the Republicans today make this a very hard sell. Michelle Malkin squeals about crony capitalism, which coming from a Republican is laugh out loud hilarious. Pajamas Media has one writer standing up against modernization with a simple slogan: “We don’t have any money left. Cut it out.”

We’re nation building in Afghanistan, while giving $1.3 billion to the Egyptian military, with the top 2% of the wealthiest Americans getting a tax break, but Republicans won’t spend money on infrastructure in the U.S.

When is it a good time to spend money in America?

Here’s what the White House sent out yesterday, with Bloomberg’s story on it here:

President Barack Obama will ask Congress next week to approve a six-year, $53 billion program for construction of a national high-speed and intercity rail network, Vice President Joe Biden said.

“There are key places where we cannot afford to sacrifice as a nation — one of which is infrastructure,” Biden said in a speech today at 30th Street Station in Philadelphia. Obama submits his fiscal 2012 budget to Congress on Feb. 14.

America is so far behind the rest of the world on trains and connecting cities in our country that we look like we haven’t even entered the 21st century. Listening to Republicans today means we never will.

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Realpolitik Versus Egyptian Idealism

Egyptian Vice President Omar Suleiman warned Tuesday that “we can’t put up with” continued protests in Tahrir for a long time, saying the crisis must be ended as soon as possible in a sharply worded sign of increasing regime impatience with 16 days of mass demonstrations. — AP

Realpolitik has prevailed so far, but Egyptians are not giving up. V.P. Omar Suleiman isn’t getting the message and thinks he can change minds through threats.

No one said the transition from the Mubarak regime and their emergency rule would be easy, but to accept a military dictatorship or Mubarak 2.0, because it’s more comfortable for the regime or the West isn’t what Egyptians have in mind. From the Washington Post:

For many demonstrators, however, the legalistic and logistical questions of how to transform Egypt into a full-fledged democracy are premature. As long as Mubarak remains, they said, it cannot happen.

“Either we have a full revolution or no revolution. There is no such thing as a half revolution,” said Mustafa Munir, 23, a medical student. “We are not scared of the future. We are sure there will be freedom and respect and justice, regardless of the details.”

The protesters aren’t playing from the same script as Egypt’s Suleiman, Pres. Obama and world politicians, all of whom have been caught flatfooted by the power of the crowds.

Protesters thronged Cairo’s Tahrir Square Tuesday in one of Egypt’s largest anti-government demonstrations to date, energized by a televised interview given by a 30-year-old Google executive who for two weeks had been detained by Egyptian security officials. [...] Appearing briefly in Tahrir Square on Tuesday, he said, “We will not abandon our demand, and that is the departure of the regime.” – Protesters surge into Tahrir Square as tens of thousands return to Tahrir Square

What leaders in Egypt, America, Israel, Britain and beyond aren’t getting is that this isn’t a matter of what’s best for the world or how inconvenient the Egyptian people’s cry for freedom is to other countries or their own elite.

The protest yesterday was the largest since January 25th. So Friday’s call for people to come out again, which Richard Engel reports is being energized by the Muslim Brotherhood getting the word out, could reach beyond what we’ve yet seen. Blake Hounshell said yesterday that there’s even a split among the MB, because younger members “fear senior leaders will sell them out.”

The long-term obstacle that could damage the Obama administration is in the way Arabs and Egyptians see America’s role in Mubarak not stepping down, which NBC’s Ron Allen said today on MSNBC has Pres. Obama already taking a hit. That Republicans are applauding Obama’s realpolitik is not something he should take comfort in. Egyptians see Pres. Obama as aiding the regime’s ability to stay in power, because the Administration has backed off their demands for an “orderly transition” to being “now.” What is left in Mubarak’s wake matters.

In the age of asymmetrical warfare and lone bombers, this is the type of foreign policy legacy that can come back to bite another American President. It can also come back to haunt everything we do in the Middle East and our reputation in the Arab and Muslim world.

Of course, in the alternate universe of Dick Cheney and Tony Blair, the U.S. shouldn’t be concerned with the Egyptian people, because serving American interests is more important. Back the Thug, He’s our Friend sloganeering used in place of a foreign policy. It’s thinking like this that brought on 9/11.

I say this not as someone who is for “spreading democracy,” because we all have seen what preemption has wrought. I say this as a believer in standing out of the way of a proud populace standing up to corruption and tyranny, while we absolutely must not aid the people’s known oppressors.

It’s just as easy for a president to state this case, “the Egyptians have spoken and it’s not up to the U.S. to stand in their way,” than the 20th century realpolitik being practiced by the Obama administration, which ignores that few moves can be hidden in today’s wide open media world and to be on the right side of history you must stand with the people.

Pres. Obama is reportedly pushing for more tangible results and reforms, likely because experts are telling him that if concrete gains don’t continue, though Egypt won’t slip back to Mubarak, it could miss the real chance to lurch forward. A strong military dictatorship taking control after Mubarak is obviously not what Egyptians want.

While all the media focused on Clinton’s supposed pro-Suleiman message in Munich, her overall message was very strong on reform. President Obama and Robert Gibbs have repeatedly and consistently demanded in public that a meaningful transition begin immediately. When Suleiman dismissed the call to repeal Egypt’s Emergency Law, Gibbs quickly called his statement “unacceptable.” The question is now how the administration can best exercise its limited influence in order to ensure that the coming months see a real and meaningful transition to a more democratic, pluralistic, transparent and accountable Egyptian government. [...] The Egyptian military seems to have a winning game plan, and it doesn’t include the fundamental reforms for which Egyptian protestors or the Obama administration have called.Marc Lynch

Right now Israel is relieved, because they have their preferred military man directing things at this point. From Wikileaks, via UK Telegraph:

5. (S) In terms of atmospherics, Hacham said the Israeli delegation was “shocked” by Mubarak’s aged appearance and slurred speech. Hacham was full of praise for Soliman, however, and noted that a “hot line” set up between the MOD and Egyptian General Intelligence Service is now in daily use. Hacham said he sometimes speaks to Soliman’s deputy Mohammed Ibrahim several times a day. Hacham noted that the Israelis believe Soliman is likely to serve as at least an interim President if Mubarak dies or is incapacitated. (Note: We defer to Embassy Cairo for analysis of Egyptian succession scenarios, but there is no question that Israel is most comfortable with the prospect of Omar Soliman.)

Read Marc Lynch for more, as well as this post on the Islamists and change in Egypt. Someone should email it to Glenn Beck.

First challenge is getting Mubarak’s emergency law lifted. The only way to make it happen is if the protesters keep up the pressure.

Then what will V.P. Suleiman do?

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Labor’s Fury at DNC Convention Pick

Texan4Hillary offers his perspective as a movement progressive activist.

Labor is furious at yet another betrayal by the Democratic Party. This time it’s over the DNC’s selection of Charlotte, North Carolina to be the site for the 2012 national convention. North Carolina is a right to work state and ranks lowest in unionized households. It will be a miracle if the DNC can find a hotel with a union to even hosts events in.

But labor leaders keep kowtowing to the White House for access instead of fighting for workers no matter which party is in power. Time and again union leaders have caved to the White House on things like the public option, a new tax on union workers to help pay for the health law and on and on. The DNC knew they could pick North Carolina and not risk losing labor over it. Something I don’t think that would fly decades ago when labor had more households and clout Democrats feared.

The reaction from labor has been fierce. Note the date of the convention, Labor Day:

The selection was “a calculated affront,” said Rick Sloan, communications director for the International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers.

What’s worse, Sloan noted, the convention is set to begin on Mon., Sept. 3, 2012 — Labor Day.

“Going to a right-to-work state and starting a convention on Labor Day for the Democrats?” he said. “Wow. That’s quite the equation.”

Publicly, other than the Machinists, major unions have no official comment on the issue for now. The AFL-CIO, the Teamsters, the government workers union AFSCME, the hotel workers union UNITE HERE and other national unions all declined to comment for this article.

Labor sources said the decision to go to Charlotte took them by surprise — the Democratic National Committee did not warn them it was coming or try to soften the blow — and they’re still absorbing the news.

Here is something not surprising, but shows how frayed feelings are with Obama:

A Democrat familiar with the site selection process said the convention choice reinforced labor’s perception that the Obama administration doesn’t care about union priorities. A push to pass the union-favored “card check” bill after the 2008 election was quickly abandoned, and the administration backed former Sen. Blanche Lincoln in her labor-backed 2010 primary challenge.

“If they had a better relationship with labor and hadn’t told them to go screw themselves in Arkansas, this would be easier to swallow,” the source said.

Here is what should stick in your craw. Hotel labor unions personally asked Tim Kaine to not pick Charlotte for a very good reason. Kaine then blew them off.

The hotel workers’ union specifically asked the Democratic National Committee several months ago not to consider Charlotte because of its lack of union hotel rooms.

The October letter to DNC Chairman Tim Kaine from John Wilhelm, president of UNITE HERE, said Charlotte “should be removed from the list” of convention finalist cities.

“Employees at union hotels are far more likely than employees in non-union hotels to get the sort of basic fair treatment for which the Democratic Party stands,” Wilhelm wrote.

Here is one labor leaders who gets it and takes Obama on:

Angaza Laughinghouse, president of the state’s 4,000-member public workers’ union, said Charlotte’s selection highlights the degree to which the Democratic Party, locally and nationally, has drifted from its stated commitment to workers’ rights.

Democrats put pro-worker planks in their party platforms, he said, “but many of them have not been the best friends of workers. They’re willing to step back away from supporting that platform, these workers’ rights, for the sake of staying friends with big business.

Tough talk or not? The DNC better hope it’s another bluff, because if labor insiders are pissed enough they could withhold essential 2012 funds to show their anger:

…a labor insider, citing a widely circulated figure of unions’ spending on the 2008 election, suggested there could be some consequences nonetheless.

“There’s something in between sitting out and spending $400 million,” the source said.

One last note. Below is 100 years of Dem convention sites, nearly all are in collective bargaining states.

1912 Baltimore Woodrow Wilson
1916 St. Louis W. Wilson
1920 San Francisco James Cox
1924 New York John Davis
1928 Houston Alfred Smith
1932 Chicago Franklin Roosevelt
1936 Philadelphia F. Roosevelt
1940 Chicago F. Roosevelt
1944 Chicago F. Roosevelt
1948 Philadelphia Harry Truman
1952 Chicago Adlai Stevenson
1956 Chicago A. Stevenson
1960 Los Angeles John Kennedy
1964 Atlantic City Lyndon Johnson
1968 Chicago Hubert Humphrey
1972 Miami Beach George McGovern
1976 New York Jimmy Carter
1980 New York J. Carter
1984 San Francisco Walter Mondale
1988 Atlanta Michael Dukakis
1992 New York Bill Clinton
1996 Chicago B. Clinton
2000 Los Angeles Al Gore
2004 Boston John Kerry
2008 Denver Barack Obama

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Keith Olbermann: ‘Chief News Officer of Current Media!’



Mr. Olbermann drew about 1 million viewers to his MSNBC program each night. This is “the best investment that Current has ever made,” said another channel co-founder, Joel Hyatt. – Brian Stelter

“… And awayyyyyy we go!”

That’s how Olbermann announced his new political venture on Twitter, coupling with Al Gore’s Current TV.

As I said over in Ramsgate’s diary, this is the type of independent creative deal that I relate to. A renegade myself, it’s not for the faint of heart, because the roller coaster effect is intense at times, but driving your own political car is a gas.

The move to Current TV is the first time Keith Olbermann is putting more on the line than his mug one hour a night. Committing to being the “chief news officer,” Olbermann will play the Tom Brokaw, if you will, of Current TV. Getting a stake in the action for his commitment, something he’s never made before in the political arena, gives him the opportunity to really spin out his talents to their full effectiveness.

If Keith Olbermann does one-quarter of what he did for MSNBC he could finally put Gore’s independent network on the map even if it won’t be a primetime contender. Current TV is not typically included in Nielson charts, according to reports, with their current viewership estimated at 23,000.

Olbermann has seen quite a few personal changes in the last years, including the passing of his parents. On MSNBC in the late ’90s, he bailed because he couldn’t stand the 24/7 Lewinsky show. In coming back to MSNBC and creating “Countdown,” the format offered diverse segments beyond any number one news story. However, from the primary season through the midterm battles, Olbermann was at the center of all political storms, which caused an untenable situation for Olbermann and his boss Phil Griffin.

From Bill Carter:

11:02 a.m. | Updated Keith Olbermann, the former MSNBC anchor, will host a prime time program for Current TV, the low-rated cable channel co-founded by Al Gore. The one-hour program will begin sometime in the spring.

Mr. Olbermann will also become the chief news officer for Current, the company said in a news release Tuesday.

“We are delighted to provide Keith with the independent platform and freedom that Current can, and does uniquely offer,” Mr. Gore said in a statement.

Inside TV added more:

In a conference call with reporters, Olbermann added: “None of this should be directed at my nine full-time previous employers — there is nothing wrong with people making money and corporations being involved in covering information – provided there is an avenue in which those marketing forces are not the deciding factor in what we are doing. Current is not only the leading independent network, it’s the only one. To underscore and support that is my great privilege.”

Asked by a reporter to elaborate on how he was stifled at previous jobs, Olbermann said, “I don’t want to imply that there were massive repressive forces working against individual stories. This is the time for me in my career to continue to evolve, to continue to do a better job, and what is required is an opportunity to work in a much more pristine environment. Not to criticize what is being done elsewhere.”

Olbermann said he will do a segment similar to his controversial “Worst Person in the World” segment on MSNBC. “There may be a segment that resembles that in structure and in tone, but it won’t be called the ‘Worst Person in the World,’” he said.

Al Gore, chairman and co-founder of Current, said in a statement: “Keith Olbermann is a gifted thinker, an amazing talent and a powerful communicator, and having him tap Current as his new home is exciting and very much in line with the core vision we founded this network on: To engage viewers with smart, provocative and timely programming. In a world where there are fewer and fewer opportunities to hear truly distinct, unfettered voices on television, we are delighted to provide Keith with the independent platform and freedom that Current can, and does uniquely offer.”

On a conference call with reporters, Gore added: “Olbermann signature is intelligent commentary. He is truly one of the unfettered voices on TV. Keith is one of those rare voices, his voice is truly unique. We’re delighted to provide Keith with the independent platform. Current is the perfect home for Keith.”

Asked about Olbermann getting suspended from MSNBC over political donations, Gore made it clear such contributions won’t be a problem at Current TV — as long as the host is transparent about it: “We believe at Current that every citizen has the freedom of speech and freedom of speech includes the ability to donate to candidates of your choice. But as a news and information organization, we also believe in full disclosure of that to inform the viewers.”

“Keith Olbermann is one of our society’s most courageous talents. He speaks truth to power. He calls them as he sees them. He speaks his mind. Our society needs his kind of thoughtful analysis and commentary,” said Joel Hyatt, executive vice chairman and co-founder of Current. “Keith Olbermann is not afraid of dissenters. In his long and impressive career, he has developed a massive following of intelligent, informed people who enjoy a good debate and smart conversation. We welcome Keith and we also look forward to welcoming his fans as new Current TV viewers.”

Now we’ll see just how many fans Olbermann has and whether cable outfits across the country will hear the demand from people, “I want my Current TV.”

Being a creative force since I was a kid, not enough can be said about finding a platform that supports, respects and nourishes your innate abilities and philosophical adventures into arenas where others are too timid to go.

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Looks Like Third Way & Blue Dogs Killed the DLC

The DLC hit the ground campaigning after the Reagan revolution and the Mondale loss of ’84, because Democrats were certain not being centrist got them beat. Hoisting candidates on voters who couldn’t make the sale against a master marketer, Ronald Reagan, was the real problem, with the wrong lesson learned why they couldn’t.

Blue Dogs like Heath Shuler, who claimed on “Morning Joe” that Blue Dogs represent “80% of America” and proudly aligns himself with Ronald Reagan over certain Democrats, will help keep the DLC alive by other means. They’re joined by Third Way Democrats like Jane Harman, formerly of the DLC, Claire McCaskill, Blanche Lambert Lincoln and many others, including the New Democrat Network.

Ben Smith reminds us of the DLC’s Joe Lieberman legacy, reporting that the DLC is going “to fold”:

The DLC’s raison d’etre, though, became less clear once Democratic moderates had already taken back the party. And after the Clinton years, it picked what many Democrats still see as the wrong fights. In particular, its support for President George W. Bush’s invasion of Iraq – which most Democrats now view as one of the most profound mistakes of a generation – proved a key break from the emerging consensus of the party, and one from which it probably never recovered. – The end of the Democratic Leadership Council era, by Ben Smith

Hillary Clinton was one of the Democrats who learned the hard way just what a bad idea Iraq was for any Democrat to support.

The DLC lives on through speeches like what Pres. Obama made today in front of the Chamber of Commerce, with Bill Daley, the new White House chief of staff, orchestrating the messaging as the reelection foundation is being thought out. The speech today had no mention of the inevitable rise in the upper 2% wealthiest Americans, something Lawrence O’Donnell mentioned tonight in his interview with Dr. Howard Dean. It wasn’t an oversight. It was telling the audience what they wanted to hear without reminding them of a payment that’s eventually going to come due.

I’m still not sure how any of this type of economic talk does anything for Pres. Obama in Ohio, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania or Missouri.

William Jefferson Clinton was the DLC king who is blamed with taking the Democratic Party on the road to its current conservative status. But coming off 12 years of Reagan, to many his victory was about winning again and having someone at the top who could sell being a Democrat.

The real problem with the legacy of the DLC is that the conservative Democrats now exerting power make the group look liberal. The identity crisis for the Democratic Party has only gotten worse.

The good news is that progressives are claiming plenty of ground of their own these days, with a movement that is noisy, tenacious and not about to cede territory to conservative Democrats without them first knowing they’ve been challenged.

The first Democrat progressives rose to take on was Bill Clinton. The latest is Barack Obama.

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Chronically Ill Americans Fear Repeal of HCR Law

Texan4Hillary offers his perspective as a movement progressive activist.

The healthcare law is no dream. The mandate is toxic politically and morally. Forcing everyone to buy from a cartel or face fines is abhorrent. But the notion of fully repealing this law is anti-progressive to say the least. Many parts of it are good and will help millions of people. As Americans await the fate of the law in the courts and in Congress no group is more alarmed than the chronically ill.

The New York Times does a great piece showing us why the law’s removal of lifetime caps has been such a joyous thing for those who face illness every day and the real fear out there..

With a court decision … declaring the health care law unconstitutional and Republicans intent on repealing at least parts of it, thousands of Americans with major illnesses are facing the renewed prospect of losing their health insurance coverage.

The legislation put an end to lifetime limits on coverage for the first time, erasing the financial burdens, including personal bankruptcy, that had affected many ailing Americans.

For example, Hillary St. Pierre, a 28-year-old former registered nurse who has Hodgkin’s lymphoma, had expected to reach her insurance plan’s $2 million limit this year. Under the new law, the cap was eliminated when the policy she gets through her husband’s employer was renewed this year.

Ms. St. Pierre, who has already come close once before to losing her coverage because she had reached the plan’s maximum, says she does not know what she will do if the cap is reinstated. “I will be forced to stop treatment or to alter my treatment,” Ms. St. Pierre, who lives in Charlestown, N.H., with her husband and son, said in an e-mail. “I will find a way to continue and survive, but who is going to pay?”

As judges and lawmakers debate the fate of the new health care law, patients like Ms. St. Pierre or Alex Ell, a 22-year-old with hemophilia who lives in Portland, Ore., fear losing one of the law’s key protections. Like Ms. St. Pierre, Mr. Ell expected to reach the limits of his coverage this year if the law had not passed. In 2010, the bill for the clotting factor medicine he needs was $800,000, and his policy has a $1.5 million cap. “It is a close call,” he said. …

Before the law was passed many Americans faced catastrophe with caps.

Before the law was passed, an estimated 20,000 insured Americans reached the lifetime limits of their coverage each year. Decades old, these restrictions were put in place when both medical care and health insurance were much less expensive than they are today, said Tom Wildsmith, an official with the American Academy of Actuaries.

In recent years, many employers, if they still had caps, set them fairly high, so that it was rare for someone to exceed the benefits unless they were seriously ill and required expensive care.

“This is the kind of thing that grabs a cancer survivor who has had several operations,” said Gary Claxton, an executive with the Kaiser Family Foundation, which studies employer coverage. Only the very sick were affected. “People don’t voluntarily use this level of services,” he said.

Of course we could move to a not for profit healthcare system. Then people would never have to worry about something like lifetime benefit caps. Even with caps gone having sick folks having to pay for the copays, deductables and premiums while battling illness is criminal. But the Right is moving to remove even the good things like the end of caps. Some good breadcrumbs were left for the people in this law and this is one of them. And yet some of the conservative courts and lawmakers want to take even the breadcrumbs away.

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An Interruption for a Reality Update

Finding out Pres. Obama’s special envoy to Egypt, Frank Wisner, has economic conflicts is causing a flurry of understandable rhetorical indignation and all around sputtering. Mr. Wisner’s conflict of interest on Egypt and his Mubarak message doesn’t forward the theme of Pres. Obama’s “orderly transition” beginning now. However, given how the old guard has responded to Egyptians demanding the clearing the decks of Mubarak I think the outrage is ridiculous.

Does anyone think after being a member of the 20th century Mubarak policy diplomatic corp that Mr. Wisner would have had any other response than what he did, business conflict of interest or not?

To recount, Sect. Clinton began it with calling the Mubarak regime “stable,” which I critiqued straight out, unlike many who took a week to notice. One reason she could forward this Administration talking point was because she believed it had to be true, because the alternative was impossible for her to imagine. We are talking about Egypt after all, the most important alliance the U.S. and Israel has in the Middle East. Clinton would never ever stray to far from that primary coupling.

V.P. Joe Biden continued this theme on PBS. Former British PM Tony Blair upped the rhetoric, with former V.P. Dick Cheney seconding the trios acclamation on Mubarak.

What you’re seeing play out now is the forwarding of Henry Kissinger’s realpolitik, circa 21st century.

Foreshadowing of the next installment was seen in Christiane Amanpour’s interview with Egyptian Vice President Omar Suleiman. He played nice with the American media super star, while getting in a shot that radicals inspired the protesters. Message received?

The anti-regime protesters have won Pres. Hosni Mubarak’s pledge he will not seek the presidency again. Major concessions are being reported, but I remain skeptical that they’ll manifest, but the fight will go on for a very long time for the future of Egypt.

All of these signs point to a different Egypt, which is why realpolitik is rearing it’s pragmatic head.

The earthquake in Egypt will have aftershocks for months and years to come, but in the short-term the 20th old guard and the people who run the world can only accept so much change at a time.

This is Egypt we’re talking about. Egypt.

It’s the beginning of a whole new reality in the Middle East, which for the U.S. is going to be difficult. One step at a time, let’s be practical, shall we? At least that’s the Obama administration’s message, which injects a dose of realism against the Egyptian people’s idealism.

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Obama, O’Reilly, and the Return of the Media Affair



Media’s in the news this a.m., starting with AOL’s acquisition of Huffington Post, solidifying Arianna Huffington as the Oprah of the web.

That story fits with the O’Reilly interview and what’s currently going on with Pres. Obama’s renewed reach out to the traditional and new media press, the one relationship that has always been the most helpful to Pres. Obama. Sarah Palin still hasn’t learned what Hillary Clinton learned when she decided to ran for Senate, which is you simply won’t win by picking fights with people who have unlimited space on which to eviscerate you. Old laws, really, but they apply doubly in the era of Huffington Post global.

POLITICO mines what has been Barack Obama’s ace in the hole since he became a candidate. How Pres. Obama plays the media like a fiddle. It’s one reason why his move to do an interview with Bill O’Reilly was bound to be a win for him.

In early November, Barack Obama was one sad sack of a president—his agenda repudiated by midterm voters, his political judgment scorned by commentators, his future darkened by a growing belief he might be a one-time president.

In early February, Obama is master of the moment—his polls on the upswing, his political dexterity applauded by pundits, his status as Washington’s dominant figure unchallenged even by Republicans.

There isn’t a Republican right now that has the media status of Obama. It’s a huge challenge for the Right.

But the hilarious thing about Obama’s story with the media is how he plays them. Patrick Gavin mentioned it on “Morning Joe” as sort of a courting ritual with D.C. insiders. That’s part of it, no doubt, but it’s also about placing your adversaries at the margins while you sit in the center playing the one who allegedly knows.

This is a preview of how easy it could be for Obama to appear like a centrist for the remainder of the next two years. With the Bachmann crowd on one side and angry liberals eager to raise money, membership and their own profile on the other, Obama can plop in between.

Every gesture, however empty, toward the center will draw a frothing attack from different sets of liberal outlets. The most visible might be the Progressive Change Campaign Committee, which has built a robust email list and fundraising model by pressuring Obama from the left.

The media love stories about the internal wars in both parties. Obama, in his new determination to hold the center, now loves them, too.

Ah yes, you have to watch out for those “frothing attack(s)” from PCCC, which would also include movement progressives like Texan4Hillary, as well as a whole host of people who comment and email me daily. Activists who are concerned that Obama’s middle of the road conservatism will overtake their priorities. Once again the notion of the wise and crafty middle of the road politician combating the extremes of both parties is the traditional and new media insider narrative that is being nurtured through Bill Daley’s orchestration.

Obama’s right to set the stage this way if for no other reason than insider outlets like POLITICO love to write about it. With Huffington Post now acquired by AOL there’s going to be a lot more of it around. That’s good news for Pres. Obama.

What it means for movement progressives is something else entirely.

That all this came as Keith Olbermann was also ushered out, the least of it Larry King calling it quits, seems to make what’s now developing part of a foundational shift in American media, which isn’t yet at an end.

Michael Scherer in TIME magazine puts Pres. Obama’s middle of the road as realism versus idealism on Egypt. Obama comes out a realist. I, for one, am not shocked, but I bet his fan base is.

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Egypt Envoy Embarrasses Obama, Channels Dick Cheney

“The President must stay in office in order to steer those changes through. I therefore believe President Mubarak’s continued leadership is critical. It’s his opportunity to write his own legacy. He has given 60 years of his life to the service of his country and this is an ideal moment for him to show the way forward.” — Frank Wisner, Pres. Obama’s U.S. Special Envoy to Egypt.

Well, wasn’t that helpful. There are so many ironies in this story today it will take the entire Super Bowl to decipher them all.

Pres. Obama might as well have sent former Vice President Dick Cheney to see Mubarak. It would have had the same results. Tony Blair’s playbook has become the consensus.

“He’s been a good man, a good friend and ally to the United States,” Cheney said. “We need to remember that.”

But when you’re choosing someone to represent you in Egypt it might behoove you to actually pick someone you can trust, but who also isn’t moored in 20th century thinking. Of course, the other side of this “special envoy” business is that Mr. Wisner is a free agent, so he’s not bound to say what the boss wants and clearly doesn’t respect the Administration’s line. But it was certainly highly predictable that someone like Mr. Wisner would deliver rhetoric sounding more like Dick Cheney than Barack Obama. It’s the same talking points handed down since before Ronald Reagan.

The Obama administration has disavowed Wisner’s remarks, but the damage is already done. When you have your special envoy contradicting you it makes Pres. Obama look out of control on his own foreign policy, but when it’s done in the Middle East it makes him look like weak and foolish, which is dangerous for the U.S.

And I understand the enthusiasm of the Huffington Post blaring “PROTESTERS WIN MAJOR CONCESSIONS,” which was Richard Engel’s line on “Meet the Press” as well, but I think a little caution is in order. Do promises to people mean anything coming from Mubarak?

The Administration now has the same problem on Egypt as they did on stopping Israeli settlements. They got out in front of the settlement issue, but didn’t exert any leverage, which led to Biden being humiliated when he landed on Israeli soil. The U.S. wants an “orderly transition” to begin “now,” but what leverage are they willing to apply?

As an aside, Arabs will never take us seriously if leading journalists like David Gregory don’t become more balanced. Talking to El Baradei about the Israeli peace agreement with Egypt, Gregory delivered AIPAC’s question for them on “Meet the Press.” He said if Egypt’s next government equivocates on the peace deal with Israel it makes everyone nervous. That is no doubt true, but 80 million Egyptians wanting a government that represents them is well apart from Israel right now in the land of the Pharaohs. Gregory was mindlessly ignorant about the Egyptian people in his broadcast today, which should have been an embarrassment to NBC News.

Now that Obama’s own special envoy has directly confronted the Administration’s policy in public, this further greases the launch pad for what Glenn Beck, Rush Limbaugh and many Tea Party activists began some time ago, further delegitimizing Pres. Obama.

However, the Republican campaign against Obama “losing Egypt” comes at a particularly ironic moment, all of this happening on Ronald Reagan’s 100th birthday.

Mr. Reagan “cut and run” on Lebanon, sending an early signal to our adversaries, some of whom became Al Qaeda, after 241 Marines were murdered by a suicide bomber in Beirut. He was instrumental in creating what Pakistan is today through his friendship with Zia to help the U.S. in Afghanistan, building on Pres. Carter approving initial funding, all part of the Reagan Doctrine. The Gipper called Afghanistan’s mujahideen “freedom fighters,” one of whom was Osama bin Laden. Reagan’s C.I.A. Director William Casey cultivated his own little war that crossed the Afghanistan border into the former Soviet Union, right under Reagan’s nose, which was recounted in Bob Woodward’s book, “Veil: The Secret Wars of the CIA, 1981-1987.” If Iran-Contra had happened in his first term Reagan would have been the second Republican president in two decades to deserve impeachment proceedings. But Reagan’s “nuclear zero” was important and among a long list of Republicans no-nos that would have gotten him a Tea Party challenger today. If nothing shows Sarah Palin’s foreign policy ignorance it’s her chirpy genuflections of Ronald Reagan that don’t come close to representing the man. There is Mr. Reagan’s moral abdication in leading a fight against HIV-AIDS; that he opened the amnesty door without a solution for people; implemented a payroll tax hike; then another tax hike to hide the disaster of his first tax cut; and the whopping deficit he left behind, which didn’t get cleaned up until William Jefferson Clinton came into office.

If Reagan taught us anything it’s that brilliant “Mad Men” marketing to sell a product pitch man to the public may work, but it does not make a good president, which takes a lot more than acting the part.

From an old Newsweek article no longer available online recalling reality, not the Peggy Noonan – Sean Hannity – Rush Limbaugh – Sarah Palin myth of a very mortal man beaten by the weight of the presidency.

The podium was shorter than usual, but even so, Ronald Reagan seemed diminished as he stood behind it — “smaller and frailer,” one friend thought, with lines of strain around the eyes and mouth. Sounding tentative, he stumbled twice over his lines as he thanked the three-man panel he had asked to pass judgment on his handling of the Iran scandal; whatever the commission found, he promised to “enact the proper reforms.” Then, in a din of shouted questions, he was ushered protectively to the door of the briefing room on the arm of the diminutive chief judge, former Texas Sen. John Tower. Reagan’s stricken look was fully justified: he had already heard the verdict.

The Tower commission’s report was devastating — a calm, searing appraisal of Reagan’s presidency that threatened to shrink him to irrelevance for the rest of his lame-duck term. The only good news was that Tower and his colleagues, former Secretary of State Edmund Muskie and former national-security adviser Brent Scowcroft, believed the president’s story that he genuinely wanted the truth to be told about the Iran-contra affair and that he hadn’t intentionally misled the nation. For the rest, he emerged as a careless, remote and forgetful leader, too indifferent to supervise the reckless swashbuckling of his aides. His Iran policy was found to be foolish and counterproductive, and it was carried out unprofessionally and perhaps illegally. None of the officials involved in the dealings escaped criticism; in Tower’s words, the president “was poorly advised and poorly served.” But Reagan himself “clearly didn’t understand” what was going on: he let his emotions rule him, never ordered a critical review and allowed his aides to manipulate him and make their own foreign policy as they lied, diverted arms profits and tried to cover up the scandal.

Part of Reagan’s legacy is he “clearly didn’t understand” what was going on at times. It now collides with his son Ron’s recounting his own personal experiences watching his father during his second term, after he was shot. Real questions now part of history about the very real possibility that Pres. Reagan had Alzheimer’s while he was president.

Pres. Obama continues to struggle with breaking with the past and the old guard ways that created this foreign policy mess in the first place, which the choice of Mr. Wisner proves. It’s the same things he’s dealing with in Afghanistan and Israel, but also Pakistan. I don’t know when we’ll get 21st century leaders in Washington ready to turn the page on the past, but it won’t be until leading Democrats, starting with Barack Obama, demonstrably distance themselves from the legacy of Ronald Reagan’s foreign policy.

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The Sunday Morning Early Bird News Round-Up

Good morning and welcome to Sunday.

On this day in history, Feb. 6, 1911, Ronald Reagan was born.

Some links to go with your coffee. Or beer, depending on how your day is going.

~Hey, today is the Super Bowl! Who ‘ya rootin’ for?

~Ginny Thomas, wife of Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas, has a new job- Lobbyist! No conflicts of interest there!

~Leaders in Egypt’s ruling party stepped down yesterday but here’s the problem- Mubarak is still President.

~Now the U.S. is saying Mubarak needs to stay in power to help “get a national consensus around the pre-conditions for the next step forward…” Not sure what that means.

~What is the point of the Mideast Quartet? All they seem to do is get together with a lot of fanfare and chat and issue the exact same statements twice a year and for what? What do they accomplish?

~The GOP denounced the Obama administrations’ lack of transparency during the health reform debate so what does John Boehner do when C-Span offers to provide more coverage of House legislative sessions? He says no.

~Nick Kristoff has a great opinion piece today about how the West is far too focused on accentuating the negative aspects of Egyptian democracy and ignoring the protesters calls for moderation and inclusion.

~Are you sitting down? If not, please do. The U.S. Treasury Dept. issued a long-awaited report to Congress about China’s [alleged] currency manipulation and guess what? They cleared China of any wrongdoing even though everyone in the world knows they manipulate their currency to gain an unfair advantage! Hahahahahahah! No, this isn’t a joke. Change You Can Believe In! The good news is that Congress may ignore the losers [Tim Geithner] in the Treasury Dept. and pass legislation dealing with the problem.

~The Pope’s organs are too holy to donate so he no longer has an organ donor card as he did when he was a mere Cardinal. Inquiring minds want to know.

~There have been significant and troubling demographic changes in New Orleans 10 years after Hurricane Katrina.

~Israel still isn’t happy about the whole Egyptian democracy thing.

~While may Republicans have been appropriately supportive of the administration’s handling of the revolution in Egypt, Laura Rozen reports that behind-the-scenes, some GOP strategists are trying to plan a political assault on Obama, comparing him to Jimmy Carter and basically triangulating by hyping fears of the Muslim Brotherhood and alienating key allies etc. It’s interesting to watch some of the most ardent supporters of democracy promotion during the Bush years suddenly start to walk back on that, for no other reason than that this particular democracy movement is made up of Arabs. Double standard much?

~Bad news- fighting has erupted in Southern Sudan.

~A great video where MJ Rosenberg is interviewed discussing the media double standard regarding their coverage of Egypt and democracy movements in general.

~This is classic- at the Munich Security Conference yesterday, despite rampant government corruption, Afghan President Karzai said he opposes any economic aid structures that bypass his government. Of course he does. Remember the WikiLeaks cable detailing how the US allowed the Afghan VP Ahmed Zia Massoud to enter Dubai with 52 million dollars in cash? It’s funny how the Obama administration never seems to want to talk about how our tax dollars seem to be ending up in the Swiss and Cayman bank accounts of Afghan officials and Karzai family members. But hey, lets cut Social Security- we can’t afford it!

~Regulators may try to force Wall Street executives to defer some bonuses for at least three years. Good luck with that.

~George W. Bush won’t be traveling to Switzerland to speak at an event hosted by the United Israel Appeal due to fears that there would be massive anti-torture protests or even an attempted arrest of Bush due to a complaint that may have been filed by human rights groups as soon as he set foot in the country.

~10 things you won’t hear conservatives talk about with respect to Reagan’s time in office.

~An Iowa “pro-family” group compares homosexuality to get this…second hand smoke!

~Iran begins the espionage trial against the three American hikers who were detained there.

~This is the best David Broder can do regarding commentary on Egypt?

~I’ve read Sarah Palin’s comments on Egypt about 5 times now and it’s the same word salad it was when I read it the first time.

The End.

[cross-posted at Secretary Clinton Blog]

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Bated Breath Alert: Sarah Palin Weighs in on Egypt

I guess if you want to make broad pronouncements about Egypt without being asked follow up questions the place to go is David Brody.

Former governor Sarah Palin decided to weigh in with a quip, that Pres. Obama got his 3:00 a.m. phone call and “it seems that that call went right to um the answering machine.”

Palin manages to ramble on in answers that never actually say anything at all, but reveal she doesn’t trust eye witness accounts on Al Jazeera English, wants to “trust but verify” the anti-regime protesters risking their lives, and demands to know who’s going to replace Mubarak when that’s the whole crux of what’s going on right now.

Sarah Palin: “Remember, President Reagan lived that mantra trust but verify. We want to be able to trust those who are screaming for democracy there in Egypt, that it is a true sincere desire for freedoms and the challenge that we have though, is how do we verify what it is that we are being told, what it is that the American public are being fed via media, via the protestors, via the government there in Egypt in order for us to really have some sound information to make wise decisions on what our position is. Trust but verify, and try to understand is what I would hope our leaders are engaged in right now. Who’s going to fill the void? Mubarak, he’s gone, one way or the other you know, he is not going to be the leader of Egypt, that that’s a given, so now the information needs to be gathered and understood as to who it will be that fills now the void in the government. Is it going to be the Muslim Brotherhood? We should not stand for that, or with that or by that. Any radical Islamists, no that is not who we should be supporting and standing by, so we need to find out who was behind all of the turmoil and the revolt and the protests so that good decisions can be made in terms of who we will stand by and support.”

After almost two weeks, former governor Sarah Palin still can’t figure out “who was behind all of the turmoil and the revolt and protests.”

While journalists are risking their lives to bring the story to the world, Palin also has the audacity to pontificate that the “mainstream media is already becoming irrelevant.” She doesn’t even have the grace to commend the work going on or that they’re in grave danger doing their jobs.

What would Sarah Palin if she was in the White House during this Egypt crisis? She never offers anything constructive.

It’s a difficult situation, this is that 3am White House phone call and it seems for many of us trying to get that information from our leader in the White House it it seems that that call went right to the answering machine. And nobody yet has, no body yet has explained to the American public what they know, and surely they know more than the rest of us know who it is who will be taking the place of Mubarak and …not real enthused about what it is that that’s being done on a national level and from D.C. in regards to understanding all the situation there in Egypt. And, in these areas that are so volatile right now because obviously it’s not just Egypt but the other countries too where we are seeing uprisings, we know that now more than ever, we need strength and sound mind there in the White House. We need to know what it is that America stands for so we know who it is that America will stand with. And we do not have all that information yet.

Huh? There is no evidence Palin gets the complexities of the situation playing out in Egypt at all.

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Queer Talk: Let us pray, or not

I have a tendency either to laugh or groan when I see yet another pronouncement from self-identified Christian organizations that include “homosexuality” as one of their key “issues.” Come to think of it, I fairly often yawn, too. But it really is necessary to continue paying serious attention to them simply because they do still have leverage. Such attention was given to the February 3, 2011 version of the annual National Prayer Breakfast in DC, and in particular, to its organizers – “The Family,” connected to C Street House. At least some of The Family, or The Fellowship as they prefer, do have direct connections with the overtly anti-homosexual members of the Ugandan government (where homosexuality is illegal). As has every president since Eisenhower, President Obama attends, and this past Thursday addressed the some 3000 attendees.

Before I go on, an important point for me: Equating Christianity (or Judaism, Islam or other religious / spiritual expressions) with extreme fundamentalism is inaccurate, and unhelpful. But ignoring the power in U.S. politics of particular expressions of Christianity is equally unhelpful. This is about politics = power = money.

That said, GetEqual, an LGBT focused activist group involved in organizing a protest, “Breakfast Without Bigotry,” issued this statement:

In the wake of the murder of Ugandan gay activist, David Kato, and the pending deportation of (lesbian) Brenda Namigadde from the UK back to Uganda, we believe it is imperative that “The Family” be exposed not only for their role as organizer of the National Prayer Breakfast, but for their relationship with many of our legislators and their influence on world affairs …

“The Family” has invested much in mentoring current and future world leaders, including David Bahati, a Ugandan legislator and author of the Ugandan anti-homosexuality bill (a.k.a. the Ugandan “Kill the Gays” bill).

As Joe Sudbay, AmericaBlog Gay, comments: “Any leader who attends this gathering needs to explain why they’re associating with such a vile entity.”

It’s important to note that U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton issued a statement regarding the murder of David Kato: “We urge Ugandan authorities to quickly and thoroughly investigate and prosecute those responsible for this heinous act. David Kato tirelessly devoted himself to improving the lives of others.” Obama has also condemned the legislation.

The controversy around The Family and C Street isn’t new, and isn’t limited to LGBT activists, of course. USA Today (via AmericanBlogGay), for example:

This year, lawmakers, clergy, power brokers and diplomats will break bread under a disturbing pall cast by the Jan. 26 murder of David Kato, a well-known gay activist who was bludgeoned to death in his home in Kampala. Kato had been targeted by a Ugandan newspaper in a front-page article identifying him and dozens of other Ugandans as “known homos” under the headline, “Hang Them.”

While a number of high-profile prayer breakfast and Fellowship participants have repudiated the proposed Ugandan law, many human rights activists and other critics nonetheless remain convinced of the Fellowship’s role in catalyzing support for the law.

CREW (Citizens for Ethics in Washington) called for Obama and others not to attend the Breakfast, providing additional background:

The Fellowship, also known as “The Foundation” and “The Family,” is run by Doug Coe, a spiritual advisor to some government officials, who uses the organization to push his brand of Christianity. The Fellowship owns and operates the infamous C Street House, a congressional residence and meeting place on Capitol Hill….

The organization operates under an intense veil of secrecy, stays largely out of the public eye and hides its donors’ identities. The Fellowship has used its government clout to facilitate backdoor meetings between U.S. and foreign officials ….

Members of the Fellowship pushed for anti-gay legislation in Uganda that made homosexuality a capital offense. Just last month, prominent activist David Kato was murdered in Uganda. Much of the wave of anti-gay sentiment can be linked to the promotion of anti-gay policies by American evangelicals.

Frequently mentioned as a good resource is Jeff Sharlet’s book, “The Family: The Secret Fundamentalism at the Heart of American Power.” Rachel Maddow’s ongoing coverage of the group is also often identified.

The Family is not your usual attention seeking organization, and has no official spokesperson, or website. As The Guardian reports:

Unlike populist Christian conservative organisations whose members make frequent appearances on the cable news networks, The Family prefers to function mostly under the radar, away from the glare of the national spotlight. Sharlet wrote: “The Family maintains a closely guarded database of its associates, but it issues no cards, collects no official dues. Members are asked not to speak about the group or its activities.” …

Most people were unaware of The Family until 2009, when the news broke that high-ranking US politicians including a senator, John Ensign, a governor, Mark Sanford, and a representative, Charles Pickering Jr., conducted extramarital affairs while living in a town house called C Street that was owned by The Family.

Of the actions of The Family in general, Sharlet told Adele M. Stan, AlterNet, “This is the bullying tactics of banality. This is not about a banality of evil, but the evil of banality. The breakfast itself is a very bland event, but it’s surrounded by this week-long lobbying festival which isn’t visible.”

Bland breakfasts, and prayers among those who so choose them, aren’t a problem, of course. Let us pray. Let us eat, drink and be merry over breakfast. To attend, or not attend, the Prayer Breakfast may be a personal faith decision for some, maybe all. But there is no doubt it is also a political Insider decision. That’s why it matters that we non-insiders know about it, and more importantly, about some of the anything but bland connections of some of its members.

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My $0.02/Saturday: a time for prayers

Click Image to go to Al Jazeera Live Blog on Egypt for Feb. 5th

Photo: A wounded antigovernment protester joined fellow demonstraters for Friday prayer at Tahrir square in Cairo. Tens of thousands of Egyptians gathered for sweeping “Day of Departure” demonstrations to try to force President Hosni Mubarak to quit. (Mohammed Abed/AFP-Getty)

Good morning, news junkies!

So the story this week is still Egypt, and I thought I’d start off with a first-person account that Bloomberg ran yesterday from reporter Maram Mazen:

A policeman looked me in the eye and said: “You will be lynched today,” running his finger across his neck.

But, that wasn’t Mazen’s most frightening moment on Thursday in Cairo. Click over to find out what it was.

Next up, a youtube of the protesters in Tahrir square breaking into song yesterday, led by a guitarist off-camera, amidst cries for Mubarak’s immediate exit during Friday’s ‘Day of Departure’ demonstrations. It’s almost at a 100,000 views already. Please go give it another. It’s just plain enjoyable music too. Rough translation of what they’re singing, from the comments:

Let’s make Mubarak hear our voices. We all, one hand, requested one thing, leave leave leave … Down Down Hosni Mubarak, Down Down Hosni Mubarak … The people want to dismantle the regime …. He is to go, we are not going … He is to go, we won’t leave … We all, one hand, ask one thing, leave leave.

Click Image to see more pictures of the day for Feb. 4th from the NYT Lens

Photo: Iranian women participated in Friday prayer outside Tehran University (Behrouz Mehri/AFP-Getty)

Here’s the latest word from Secretary Clinton on Egypt, speaking at a Munich security conference this Saturday — Hillary characterizes the unrest that the Mideast is facing as a “perfect storm of powerful trends” and says:

This is what has driven demonstrators into the streets of Tunis, Cairo, and cities throughout the region. The status quo is simply not sustainable.

Al Jazeera English also reports that she said there must be clear progress toward “open, transparent, fair and accountable systems” across the region not to risk even greater instability.

While we’re on the Middle East, did you hear? Rand Paul wants to end “welfare to Israel.” Hey, don’t shoot, I’m just relaying the news here. And, before anyone on the other side of that issue goes goo goo over Paul following in his father’s isolationist footsteps, remember the libertarian catch that it comes with–Paul is also calling for dramatic education cuts.

There’s an interesting blog piece on Egypt, Obama, and Indonesia at the New Statesman that I’m still thinking on, but I thought I’d put it out there for Saturday reading. I have to say, I have yet to see any indication that Obama has much of a plan when it comes to Egypt. The deer-in-the-headlights look coming from this White House has been hard to miss.

This next item didn’t seem to generate much buzz, but I thought I’d put it in here and get your reactions… a Mississippi federal judge threw out a challenge to HCR on Thursday.

Continue Reading →

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Egypt Sends Glenn Beck Squealing about a Caliphate

Who’s organizing these riots?

What role are Marxists playing?

What are the causes?

Glenn Beck proves fear really is a product of ignorance.

Beck is very afraid of The Arab, whom he equates to The Terrorist. Beck is also just another fundamentalist believing his religion is perfect, while Islam is unholy. It doesn’t appear he’s ever seen Al Jazeera English and evidently can’t be bothered with following their excellent live blogging on the story either.

Not a theory of a caliphate, a fact!, Glenn Beck rails. Here’s some actual information on the Muslim Brotherhood from the Council on Foreign Relations. The Muslim Brotherhood doesn’t even have a majority in Egypt, but Beck can’t be bothered with facts.

Rush Limbaugh and his “Imam Obama” rants add another angle to the continual demonizing of Pres. Obama. The Egypt situation is filled with opportunities for the Right to channel crazy and they’re doing it with glee.

The collective cacophony of the Right on the subject of Egypt has been deafening and dumb.

The Jewish revolution produced by the Egyptian revolt isn’t on their radar.

After the anti-regime protests in Egypt, whenever Mubarak steps down, the world will change and our relationships in the Middle East will, too. The 20th century paradigms have been smashed to smithereens. Whether Americans are ready to gear up and accept reality and our new challenges or if Frank Gaffney talking points and scare tactics will infect the 2012 presidential election season is a real choice.

You can bet foreign policy will be a central focus, even as the economy remains the biggest issue. It bodes ill for people short on national security credentials, which I believe will be important in the general election and may even be the biggest reason Sarah Palin won’t cut it, though will that matter to primary voters? Pres. Obama is in a much better position, but a lot depends on how Egypt shakes out. Whether conservative primary voters accept and appreciate the political pitfalls of putting up someone inexperienced on foreign policy matters will begin to play out soon.

Is Glenn Beck talking to Republican primary voters and are they listening? We know they’re listening to Rush & Co. Does the Right really believe the U.S. is in danger if we respect what the Egyptian people want for themselves?

If you want to know the road the Right is taking on Egypt and how they plan to capitalize on it by further demonizing Pres. Obama, see their current “Obama is Losing Egypt” campaign.

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Split Screens in Egypt

The Senate on Thursday passed a resolution supporting democracy in Egypt and calling on President Hosni Mubarak to begin the process of transferring power and creating a caretaker government as attacks on anti-government protesters entered their second day. — Senate passes resolution calling on Hosni Mubarak to begin transfer of power in Egypt

I cannot start without first sending some sort of energy to the brave reporters on the ground inside Egypt. ABC News has complied a list of all those who have been threatened, attacked or detained. What they’re enduring to get this story is the stuff of real heroism, no doubt inspired by the brave Egyptian people. The pact these two very different groups have with one another to tell this historic story is something for which we are all indebted and grateful.

That sets the stage for a dangerously fraught atmosphere for Friday prayers.

On one screen you have Pres. Mubarak talking to Christiane Amanpour saying he cannot step down for fear that the country would sink into chaos.

On the other screen is the Obama administration reportedly negotiating with V.P. Omar Suleiman, the intelligence man in charge of rendition.

The New York Times is reporting that the Obama administration is supposedly discussing an exit plan for Pres. Mubarak. They should be fired if they’re not looking at everything, all contingencies. There is one problem or actually two challenges that stand out:

Some officials said there was not yet any indication that either Mr. Suleiman or the Egyptian military was willing to abandon Mr. Mubarak.

But the story is being blasted everywhere.

One point worth noting in the Times article is that Sen. Feinstein is questioning why intelligence agencies didn’t pick up what was coming. It all sounds so eerily familiar.

“At some point it had to have been obvious that there was going to be a huge demonstration,” said Senator Dianne Feinstein, the California Democrat who is chairwoman of the Senate’s Select Committee on Intelligence.

She said that intelligence agencies never sent a notice to her committee about the growing uprising in Egypt, as is customary in the case of significant global events.

Stephanie O’Sullivan, the C.I.A. official, responded that the agency had been tracking instability in Egypt for some time and had concluded that the government in Cairo was in an “untenable” situation. But, Ms. O’Sullivan said, “we didn’t know what the triggering mechanism would be.”

It should be noted that Sen. Feinstein was one of the principles who were against a resolution on Egyptian democracy last December. Her office said at the end she didn’t object, but it’s not a coincidence that after she went along secret holds by two Democrats were placed on the bill, according to Josh Rogin.

A similar intelligence story in Haaretz recently talked about the head of Military Intelligence in Israeli missing the moment, too. This was the story Sunday:

On Tuesday, the day the unrest began that led to the collapse of the Egyptian cabinet, Israel’s new head of Military Intelligence told a Knesset committee that President Hosni Mubarak’s government was not under threat.

The new MI chief, Maj. Gen. Aviv Kochavi, made the comments in his first appearance in his new role. He also said Egypt’s Muslim Brotherhood was not sufficiently organized to take power and was not closing ranks significantly.

Shooting 50% in the intelligence business isn’t good enough.

To add another element, the plight of the Palestinians has been playing out on Al Jazeera for years, but that may not have anything to do with the uprisings. But it’s a cinch the Netanyahu government wouldn’t be freaked if they’d made an agreement for peace with the Palestinians instead of relying on one man repressing 80 million Egyptians as a security strategy.

The enemy you know as opposed to the one you don’t doesn’t cut it anymore.

Sen. Leahy has tempered his statement that Egyptian aide could be on the table, likely because of the credits for military purchases, but also that it’s tied to the Israeli – Egyptian peace deal, as former Sect. Madeleine Albright discussed with Rachel Maddow tonight. But even Sect. Albright said it is one of the tools that could be utilized.

After Pres. Obama’s statement Tuesday Mubarak chose to ignore Obama and bear down and unload violence inside Egypt to force his will. A new phase began, with the U.S. now rightly trying to create a requisite plan to change the dynamics that leaves Mubarak no way to stay.

Tomorrow brings even more energy to a situation already lit. The anti-government protesters are calling it the “Day of Departure.”

The world is growing up, but the process isn’t pretty.

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Biden’s Folly on Jobs

Texan4Hillary offers his perspective as a movement progressive activist.

Vice President Biden has gotten himself into trouble again with his remarks. I mean really? Mubarak, as millions know all too well, is a brutal dictator who gets $1.3-1.5 billions from America to fund his army and remain in power.

Vice Pres. Biden has done it again with a interview with Yahoo News. I cannot believe how lost this administration is on doing consensus progressive things to help the people.

Biden is telling unemployed Americans a message, many who have been searching for years for employment and are over age 50, that:

“The message is: Hang in there,” he said. “Things are coming back.”

Um, okay buddy. This is what is offered to the millions on the verge of homelessness. Good grief. Being told to hold on is not a strategy to get us out of this great recession for sure. Even the CBO said last week joblessness would remain high for years. Years.

And his other remarks, echoing Obama, are little comfort to so many. He promises lots of cuts to those programs people need and, get this, Biden vows to keep fighting to end the Bush tax regime. Who believes this stuff?

Vice President Joe Biden is promising “significant cuts” to the federal budget and a renewed push to end tax cuts for the rich, all while encouraging unemployed Americans to “hang in there” as they struggle to get by and find jobs.

“The president laid out significant cuts to deal with the long-term debt,” Biden said in an interview with Yahoo News released Friday. “We are going to once again attempt to repeal the unnecessary $700 billion tax cut for people who make the top 2 percent.”

Oy. The central progressive core of the Democratic is or was a strong tax code where the rich pay the most. There was no need for some “deal” to keep those cuts going. None. It takes will to raise revenue these days in American politics. Obama and Biden appear to have no such will to do this. It’s madness.

One last bit. Biden promises to reeducate Americans to get those better jobs. The problem? We need to be making things again. Trying to educate folks who worked in a plant for 25 years in some new field just won’t be all that productive. America must restructure its trade agreements to keep jobs here, restructure the economy to new technologies for the world to use, open Medicare to those over 50, and fix the tax code.

Robert Reich recommended in the Clinton days that for some people those jobs are gone in the Rust Belt and that a safety net for them should be utilized using Medicare and opening up Social Security for them. Alas, you wont hear that from these guys.

Age discrimination is rampant. Telling folks who cannot find jobs who are in their 50s or 60s that a new education will suddenly put food on the table when they need it now is just nuts. Have a CCC or a WPA. Get people to work that way right now.

Little hope from Vice Pres. Biden here, because this administration does not get it on the economy and their words ring hollow.

Now infamous Biden mock-up from The Onion.

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Dear Republicans, Rape is ‘Forcible’ By Definition

“By proposing this legislation, Republicans are finally closing the glaring rape loophole in our health care system,” the Daily Show’s Kristen Schaal dead-panned Wednesday night — after GOP leaders had decided to change the language. “You’d be surprised how many drugged, underaged or mentally handicapped young women have been gaming the system. Sorry, ladies the free abortion ride is over.” – GOP loses ‘forcible rape’ language

These f– guys. And don’t you just love the “lose” language in the POLITICO headline?

Republicans didn’t misplace the “forcible rape” language on principle.

The principle that women should be as free as any man.

They withdrew the language to live to fight another day, because they’ll always bring this one back.

But a spokesman for the bill’s author, Rep. Chris Smith (R-N.J.), says the modifier “forcible” will be dropped so that the exemption covers all forms of rape, as well as cases of incest and the endangerment of the life of the mother.

“The word forcible will be replaced with the original language from the Hyde Amendment,” Smith spokesman Jeff Sagnip told POLITICO, referring to the long-standing ban on direct use of taxpayer dollars for abortion services.

The fight over the definition of rape threatened to sabotage Republican efforts to highlight their push to end taxpayer subsidies for abortion, and the distinction between types of rape mystified some GOP aides.

“Such a removal would be a good idea, since last I checked, rape by definition is non-consensual,” said one aide.

But let’s get down down to it, shall we?

The Hyde Amendment is something no Democrat should support. It was put in place by an odious man, Rep. Henry Hyde, whose whole life was about his religious convictions against women being completely free, which can’t happen if we don’t have control over our own body. So, since Hyde couldn’t do anything about Roe v. Wade, what he did was target poor women.

[…] Poor women have been pawns in the congressional debate over abortion since the procedure became legal nationwide. For opponents of abortion, public funding has been a proxy for overturning Roe. As Hyde told his colleagues during a congressional debate over Medicaid funding in 1977, “I certainly would like to prevent, if I could legally, anybody having an abortion, a rich woman, a middle-class woman, or a poor woman. Unfortunately, the only vehicle available is the…Medicaid bill.” For prochoice leaders, on the other hand, public funding was a matter of fundamental fairness and equal protection under the law. “If we now restrict or ban Medicaid funding for abortions, the government will accomplish for poor women indirectly what the 1973 [Supreme Court] opinion expressly forbade it to do directly…a right without access is no right at all,” said then-Sen. Edward Brooke (R-MA), speaking in opposition to the Hyde Amendment during one of the early congressional debates.[…] –– “The Heart of the Matter: Public Funding of Abortion for Poor Women in the United States,” by Heather D. Boonstra (Guttmacher Institute)

Sen. Brooke now seems like a throwback amidst the Republican Tea Party anti-feminist crowd, who are representative of the Hyde culture that targeted William Jefferson Clinton, because they couldn’t beat him any other way.

[Rep. Henry Hyde] acknowledges that “this was a culture war,” and maybe the 1960s’ generation “revels in this guy’s success. I don’t know.” (Source: “Hyde on his mistakes – And Ours, by Paul Gigot, 2. 12.99)

But Democrats shouldn’t feel all that superior.

Pres. Compromise, along with the feckless “women’s groups,” led by people like Planned Parenthood’s Cecile Richards, have no problem with health care elitism. From Dana Goldstein March 2010:

Now, in a Faustian bargain with Rep. Bart Stupak of Michigan and other Democrats who oppose abortion rights, President Obama will issue an executive order enshrining the Hyde Amendment. Language in the bill inserted by Sen. Ben Nelson of Nebraska expands Hyde’s reach into the new private insurance exchanges in which the uninsured or under-insured will purchase coverage. Because only about 13 percent of abortions are billed directly to insurers, it is sometimes assumed that abortion is a relatively inelastic good—that women who really want one will get one, come hell or high water. But that assumption is false. A 1999 study of poor women in North Carolina found that about one-third of them had carried pregnancies to term only because Medicaid funding for abortions was unavailable during certain parts of the year. An abortion can cost between $350 and $1,000—equal to several months of rent or groceries—so the price can be prohibitive. The result of unaffordable abortion is another mouth a working-class mother cannot afford to feed, house, or educate during a time of record unemployment. – “Obama’s Failed Promise”

Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz had no problem with what Speaker Pelosi and Pres. Obama negotiated in the health care bill and neither did the so called “progressive caucus,” urged on by the insider Beltway writers who aren’t impacted by any of this.

Obama, Pelosi & Co. should have focused less on sucking up to the Stupak contingent and codifying Hyde and more on the actual health care law, maybe then they wouldn’t have bungled the whole thing by forgetting to put a severability clause in it on the mandate. At least we can hope it wasn’t done intentionally simply to dare the Republicans to try to challenge the law.

It would be one thing if people were arguing that contraception and abortifacients should be more available and affordable so that women can avail themselves of them, while also stipulating that men should police their penises. Instead, we’re still talking about curtailing women’s freedoms.

So, is freedom just for men?

Republicans say yes.

Democrats say it depends on whether it’s an election year.

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Sect. Clinton: ‘We are All in Uncharted Territory’



There must be consequences. It’s time to meet escalation with escalation and lay out, in private and public, that the Egyptian military now faces a clear and painful choice: push Mubarak out now and begin a meaningful transition, or else face international isolation and a major rupture with the United States. – Marc Lynch

A week after Clinton’s January 25th “stable” comment for the Obama administration about the Mubarak regime, Sect. Clinton stood in front of a nearly complete gathering of all U.S. Ambassadors, minus Ambassador to Egypt Margaret Scobey who couldn’t be there, among others, to deliver a sobering message.

From Josh Rogin:

“It goes without saying — but I will say it anyway — that this is a critical time for America’s global leadership,” Clinton told the ambassadors. “From the theft of confidential cables to 21st-century protest movements to development breakthroughs that have the potential to change millions of lives, we are all in uncharted territory, and that requires us to be more nimble, more innovative, and more accountable than ever before.”

During the Green Revolution in Iran, some of you may remember my taking on the State Dept. and their Dipnote blog, because back in the summer of 2009 they never once mentioned what was happening over Twitter. Back in 2009 she said “I wouldn’t know a Twitter from a tweeter,” but the Administration still fought for Iranians to have access to the platform. However, on State’s blog it was silence.

If the Obama administration had taken seriously what happened in Iran on Twitter and allowed the State Dept. to be part of the dialogue, Sect. Clinton might have been a little more prepared for what’s played out the last week in Egypt, with Al Jazeera English upping the stakes because they have eyes and ears inside Ciaro and across the Arab world.

In less than a week Sect. Clinton has seen her world accelerate and alter in a manner for which no one in Washington, D.C., especially Pres. Obama, was prepared. This is in evidence after their week long shifting, changing and calibrating a strategy that has left them at a stand still with Mubarak and the NDP who’s running the show, very likely through the long reach of Gamal Mubarak, who still has dreams of succeeding his father, which Steve Clemons offered last night with Rachel Maddow.

Another change for Clinton comes in the Administration’s blinders being lifted over another reality, the Muslim Brotherhood. From the Washington Post:

The unofficial contacts have taken place sporadically since the 1990s but became more frequent after members of the Brotherhood were elected to the Egyptian Parliament in 2005. Afterward, U.S. diplomats and lawmakers held several meetings with Brotherhood leaders, including at the U.S. Embassy in Cairo.

U.S. officials justified the meetings by saying they were merely speaking with duly elected members of the Egyptian legislature.

“I do think that having contacts with the Muslim Brotherhood was not a bad idea,” said Robert Malley, a Clinton administration official who directs the Middle East and North Africa program for the International Crisis Group. “They are an important constituency in Egypt. They’re very likely to play a role in any future arrangements there.”

Some U.S. officials and analysts have long urged the State Department to reach out even further to the Brotherhood.

“If we are truly going to engage with the 99 percent of Muslims who do not support terrorism or violence, then we’ve got to engage indigenous groups, including Islamic political parties,” said Emile Nakhleh, a former CIA official who directed the agency’s political Islam analysis program.

Although the Brotherhood is Egypt’s best-organized opposition group, with an active charitable arm that dispenses social services nationwide, Nakhleh said it would not necessarily win a majority of votes in an open election. “They would be a hefty minority,” he said, predicting that it would receive support from about 25 to 30 percent of the Egyptian population.

As we saw yesterday after Pres. Obama’s statement on Tuesday night, the Administration has no power in Egypt at this point unless they up the pressure significantly.

The partnership we’ve had with Mubarak also coming at a huge price, which I wrote about last week.

The one thing George Soros does not mention in his article is that lurking in Egypt’s police and intelligence files are mountains of materials on significant human rights abuses — disappearances, political detentions, torture, and summary executions. In some of these cases, the United States government knew what was going on or had agents in the room. This will come out, and America’s historical complicity in Egypt’s nightmares will become clear. – Steve Clemons

Sect. Clinton spoke with Vice President Omar Suleiman over the phone last night, asking for accountability for the violence that took place yesterday, with Egypt’s PM Ahmed Shafiq offering empty platitudes to do so today.

It’s this type of outreach that makes Pres. Obama and the administration look feckless. Mubarak and his supporters are responsible for what happened yesterday.

The embarrassing “immensely courageous and a force for good” comment of Tony Blair singing Mubarak’s praises is simply ridiculous. Clinton’s relationship with Mubarak and his wife is part of the problem in all of this.

It should be remembered that Egypt’s elite of multi-millionaires has benefited enormously from its set of corrupt bargains with the US and Israel and from the maintenance of a martial law regime that deflects labor demands and pesky human rights critiques. It is no wonder that to defend his billions and those of his cronies, Hosni Mubarak was perfectly willing to order thousands of his security thugs into the Tahrir Square to beat up and expel the demonstrators, leaving 7 dead and over 800 wounded, 200 of them just on Thursday morning. – Mubarak Defies a Humiliated America, Emulating Netanyahu, by Juan Cole

It’s long past time the U.S. quit playing this ridiculous kabuki and have a foreign policy that represents American values.

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