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Taylor Marsh has been writing on line since 1996, with the archives provided here a representation of that work.

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The Sunday Early Bird News Round-Up

Good morning and welcome to Sunday!

Quote of the Day:

“No risk of that, no risk.”

– Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner during an interview in April, discussing the risk of the U.S. debt being downgraded.

Some links to go with your morning coffee/tea:

~China, our banker, is angry at the U.S. about the downgrade. I guess more administration-China ass kissing diplomacy is in order.

~The Super Duper Debt Committee will just cause more problems than it solves, for obvious reasons.

~The biggest US single-episode loss of life in the Afghanistan War took place Friday as insurgents shot down a Chinook helicopter carrying 38 members of US special forces and 7 Afghan soldiers. More here.

~Also on Afghanistan- The International Crisis Group has issued a report which concludes that despite dumping billions of dollars into nation-building in Afghanistan, the U.S. and its allies have failed to stabilize the country. I think the billions of dollars they are talking about does not include the money spent on the actual war effort there-in other words, just the military and civil rebuilding and stabilization efforts.

~In today’s WaPo there is an article about the origins of the debt showdown and how Eric Cantor took advantage of the House’s new Tea Party recruits to turn the debt ceiling debate into a standoff over the role of government.

~The Wikipedia conference is currently taking place in Israel and the Wikipedia founder talked about how the community tries very hard to keep Wiki entries as neutral as possible. That’s not easy in an era where as soon as there is a political controversy, groups run to the site to get their version of the story out.

~Up to 12 million people’s lives are under direct threat in the Horn of Africa as drought, famine and war take their toll. Much of the world looked away when the predictions of an extreme famine were first put forth. However, the terror group al-Shabab claims there is no famine taking place in Somalia but of course, that could be because the group is preventing humanitarian aid from reaching the men, women and children who are currently starving to death and as a result, they bear direct responsibility.

~A Navy vet and former defense contractor in Iraq explains why he is suing Donald Rumsfeld over the Bush administration’s torture policy- but here’s the thing- in a crazy twist, he was tortured by Americans in Iraq.

~In much of the media’s coverage about the S&P downgrade, there seems to be a tendency to ignore the impact of the refusal to add ANY revenue-generating provisions in the debt deal. There was plenty of blame to spread around to both parties, but there are some interesting tidbits in the S&P statement about revenues. It would seem that the GOP is giddy about the downgrade because throwing a Molotov Cocktail into our already depressed economy was always the GOP plan leading up to 2012.

~While the S&P is certainly correct that Washington is completely dysfunctional and getting them to do anything constructive for the good of the nation is a bit like trying to herd cats, there is no denying the politics of what is taking place. Firedoglake has a good summary of some of the things that may have actually been behind S&P’s decision to downgrade the US credit rating.

~So, how is Saudi Arabia doing on the human rights front? Really, really well. [/sarcasm]

~Despite a lot of people giving Obama props about being willing to put defense cuts on the table, the truth of the matter is that the Obama administration shows no interest in curbing out-of-control defense spending as evidenced by his new Secretary of Defense, Leon Panetta, publicly complaining all last week about how disastrous defense cuts would be. Once again, fear trumps reason. Interestingly, when asked, Leon Panetta can’t seem to articulate any reason why any proposed cuts would be so dangerous to our nation’s security:

~Over 300,000 people took to the streets in Israel this weekend to protest the high cost of living. Good for them. We need to do that here in the U.S.

~The Obama administration will likely squander yet another opportunity to take a serious stand on environmental issues. The Alberta tar sands pipeline is currently being reviewed by the State Dept. and the review itself has been mired in controversy from the start. The pipeline’s chief lobbyist is a former Hillary Clinton deputy campaign director and Secretary Clinton made the none-too-subtle remark long before the review process even started, that she was “inclined to support” it. That made environmentalists and even many Congressional Democrats hopping mad. Of course, the buck doesn’t stop there and environmentalists and congressional democrats are urging the administration to not approve the project. Good luck with that, the fix is in.

~Speaking of the environment, some say that the current Congress is the most anti-Environment since about the 1950′s. Impressive.

~All eyes are on Wisconsin which is in the midst of the largest number of recall elections in U.S. history. Huge amounts of cash have been flooding in to the state via special interest groups from both the left and the right. Some see Wisconsin as a dry run of sorts for what may happen in 2012, ie. did the Tea Party types go too far?

~Gov. Rick Perry’s prayer rally certainly won’t endear him to moderates or independents but I have a feeling that’s ok with Rick Perry.

~Things are still not well in Sudan/Southern Sudan. There is still a long, long way to go.

~The repressive, human rights-abusing Communist Chinese government continues to throw fuel on the fire of religious freedom with respect to Buddhists in Tibet. Even if Americans know very little about this right now, it is a very big issue and could lead to bloodshed when the current Dalai Lama dies. And when that happens, Washington will be forced to take notice but by then it will be too late.

~The death toll in Syria continues to rise as government forces continue the siege on Hama. As Assad’s forces continue to slaughter his own people, the Syrian foreign minister comes out and makes the ludicrous statement that the Assad government will allow free legislative elections by the end of 2011. Yeah, and unicorns are real.

~Both Palestinian and Israeli security forces are frustrated with the politicians in Ramallah, Jerusalem and Washington DC. This is something I have heard over and over again. The Israeli and Palestinian security forces have been training and had unprecedented security cooperation over the past 8+ years, with impressive results, while the politicians piss away every opportunity for a reasonable solution to the conflict.

~Sean Hannity thinks it’s wrong to require insurers to cover birth control but guess what he thinks they should cover…Viagra. Indeed.

~Fox News is out of control with race-baiting.

~Politico continues with its status quo hackery and prints an op-ed from GOP Representative Duncan Hunter, who fear-mongers about cutting defense spending. Ok, no problem there because people can write opinion pieces from various points of view. The problem is that a) he makes patently false claims about the role of defense spending in our current debt crisis and b) Politico knew, or should have known, that Hunter has a conflict of interest when it comes to defense spending given most of his top campaign contributions come from defense contractors. If Politico readers knew that, they might be a little bit more discerning when it comes to taking Hunter’s claims at face value.

~Demonstrations turned violent in Tottenham, England, as people marched to the police station to protest the shooting of a 29-year old man Mark Duggan by police last week. Racial tensions have historically been high in the Tottenham region and as of last night, the situation was still not under control.

~Some in Israel are concerned about a bill that is poised to pass the Knesset and which seeks to provide guidance to the courts such that they would be expected to privilege maintaining “the state as the Jewish nation state in ruling in situations in which the Jewish character of the state clashes with its democratic character.” Israeli journalist Noam Sheizaf and other critics of the pending legislation have argued that proponents of the bill seem to be saying that maintaining a Jewish state and upholding democracy are at odds. It’s an interesting debate.

~Donald Trump really embodies the corporate greed and entitled attitude that seems to have infected this nation. His most recent stunt is to vow to do everything in his power to prevent the building of an offshore wind farm in Scotland because it will obstruct the beautiful view from the golf course he is currently in the process of building.

~Whatever you do, don’t read Thomas Friedman’s silly editorial about the financial crisis in today’s NYT, it’s five minutes of your life that you’ll never get back which is why I read it for you. It’s loaded with dumb analogies and really obvious points like “[r]egarding growth, we surely need a much smarter long-term fiscal plan than the one that just came out of Washington.”

The End.

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Tim Pawlenty’s Neoconservative Spring

It’s like the ghost of George W. Bush, but with smoother segues. …and so it begins:

Now is not the time to retreat from freedom’s rise.

[...] Yet at the same time, we know these revolutions can bring to power forces that are neither democratic nor forward-looking. Just as the people of Egypt, Tunisia, Libya, Syria and elsewhere see a chance for a better life of genuine freedom, the leaders of radical Islam see a chance to ride political turmoil into power.

The United States has a vital stake in the future of this region. We have been presented with a challenge as great as any we have faced in recent decades. And we must get it right. The question is, are we up to the challenge?

My answer is, of course we are. [...]

But President Obama has failed to formulate and carry out an effective and coherent strategy in response to these events. He has been timid, slow, and too often without a clear understanding of our interests or a clear commitment to our principles.

And parts of the Republican Party now seem to be trying to out-bid the Democrats in appealing to isolationist sentiments. This is no time for uncertain leadership in either party. [...]

There’s the obligatory chastising of Pres. Obama, because he’s mean to Israel:

In 2008, candidate Barack Obama told AIPAC that he would “always keep the threat of military action on the table to defend our security and our ally Israel.” This year, he told AIPAC “we remain committed to preventing Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons.” So I have to ask: are all the options still on the table or not? If he’s not clear with us, it’s no wonder that even our closest allies are confused.

The Administration should enforce all sanctions for which legal authority already exits. We should enact and then enforce new pending legislation which strengthens sanctions particularly against the Iranian Revolutionary Guards who control much of the Iranian economy.

And in the middle of all this, is Israel.

Israel is unique in the region because of what it stands for and what it has accomplished. And it is unique in the threat it faces—the threat of annihilation. It has long been a bastion of democracy in a region of tyranny and violence.

Oh, and you’ll love the part on Syria. Mr. Pawlenty has a domino theory of sanctioning nations, with the U.S. providing Wilsonian intervention wherever needed.

The fall of the Assad mafia in Damascus would weaken Hamas, which is headquartered there. It would weaken Hezbollah, which gets its arms from Iran, through Syria. And it would weaken the Iranian regime itself.

Daniel Drezner weighs in saying it was a “a reasonably coherent speech.”

You can likely imagine what the part on Palestinians reads like, but here’s the bottom line: It’s all the Palestinians’ fault.

When the Palestinians have leaders who are honest and capable, who appreciate the rule of law, who understand that war against Israel has doomed generations of Palestinians to lives of bitterness, violence, and poverty – then peace will come.

If you like your neoconservatism rebooted, T-Paw’s for you. A more accessible, well spoken George W. Bush, whose record at least shows a hint of competency.

John McCain’s got to love this guy.

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Assad’s Evil Regime, No One is Safe

Hamza al-Khateeb was 13 years-old. The details are horrifyingly shocking. From Al Jazeera and be prepared if you’re going to read on:

Arrested during a protest in Saida, 10km east of Daraa, on April 29, Hamza’s body was returned to his family on Tuesday 24th May, horribly mutilated.

The child had spent nearly a month in the custody of Syrian security, and when they finally returned his corpse it bore the scars of brutal torture: Lacerations, bruises and burns to his feet, elbows, face and knees, consistent with the use of electric shock devices and of being whipped with cable, both techniques of torture documented by Human Rights Watch as being used in Syrian prisons during the bloody three-month crackdown on protestors.

Hamza’s eyes were swollen and black and there were identical bullet wounds where he had apparently been shot through both arms, the bullets tearing a hole in his sides and lodging in his belly.

On Hamza’s chest was a deep, dark burn mark. His neck was broken and his penis cut off.

There is now a Facebook page simply dedicated to saying We are all Hamza Alkhateeb. The YouTube comes with login filter because of the graphic nature.

Obama’s intervention policy now lies in shambles. Libya was good enough for humanitarian reasons, but because of where Syria resides we do nothing. Now, I’m not for intervention in either country, because I’m against the U.S. being the world’s policeman alone. But Pres. Obama intervened militarily in Libya on human rights grounds, so what of Syria at this point? Interestingly, tomorrow Rep. Dennis Kucinich is going to get a floor vote that pulls the trigger on the War Powers Act of 1973. You have to admire the man’s idealism, as if anyone in Congress would challenge the Executive Branch fully.

While all this is going on the Assad regime is reportedly butchering children. The international community must not stand by while he does.

Multisource political news, world news, and entertainment news analysis by Newsy.com

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My $0.02/Saturday: Sailboats at Sunset

Escaping Dystopia 2011...

Morning, news junkies.

Chris Hedges ushered in 2011 by calling it a brave new dystopia. For a brief moment in time, the Egyptian and Wisconsin protests provided a glimmer of “there’s something happening here,” but then we were returned to our regularly scheduled dystopic nightmare. I don’t know about you, but lately I’m finding that the actual headlines these days sound more satirical than the ones in the Onion. They leave me either wanting to lolsob…or just sob. So, on that note…

Above, to the right… from National Geographic’s Intelligent Travel:

This photo of sailboats at sunset has us yearning for the sea, which makes it an Editors’ Pick for week one of our 2011 Traveler Photo Contest in the category of Outdoor Scenes. The photographer Ken Michael Jon Taarup writes, “Boracay has never ceased to amaze many people from all over the world. With its white crystal sand, pristine blue waters, and beautiful sunsets, this place still tops the list of the most visited and beautiful resorts in the Philippines.”

That’s so you have something calming to visualize while you read my Saturday picks.

Alright, grab your morning cuppa if you haven’t already, and read on.

Let’s just get the biggest distraction out of the way first…

Tornado aftermath: Pictures say a 1000 words

“Depressing women’s history news of the week”

Being pro-choice means understanding that self-determination for women regarding sex, sexuality, reproduction and motherhood is a fundamental precursor to womens’ ability to achieve their own educational, economic and familial aspirations, a fundamental precursor to the health and well-being of individuals and families, and a core condition of the long-term stability and health of society. It therefore also means understanding the profound connections for women–supported by more than ample evidence–between economic and educational status and unfettered access to comprehensive sexual health education, contraception, family planning services, and abortion care.

The War on Unions… now brought to you by Dems in MA?

The bill will take a month before coming to the state Senate, but the overwhelming vote in the House, and [Gov.] Patrick’s kinder, gentler rights-stripping plan, make it look like something’s going to happen in Massachusetts. Time to get out in the streets in another blue state.

“I’ve played at hundreds of protests and demonstrations, and this was really unique,” he said. “It was every segment of society. It was radical students and cops on the same side, and I’d never seen that before.”

Hillaryland

  • The otherwise serious and reliable Laura Rozen overreacted a bit to Hillary taking a few days of Easter R&R time off with her family. There’s a reason Hill was dubbed the “Energizer Secretary.” The woman works non-stop. She has a personal life that she’s entitled to attend to and/or just recharge every few years or so.

Click to view HQ. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci)

When Bushies fight… Get out your popcorn

First of all, I didn’t have modest experience in management. Managing Stanford University is not so easy. But I don’t know what Don was trying to say, and it really doesn’t matter. Don can be a grumpy guy. We all know that.

As always, Black Agenda Report tells it like it is…

  • This is an instant classic! Please read and disseminate. Bruce A. Dixon’s Top Ten Answers To Excuses For Obama’s Betrayals and Failures. Note Number 9 — it’s for all the Obamaphiles who won’t accept that Obama is the third Bush-Cheney term. And, to quote a snippet from Numero Uno (Re: “It’s our fault the Obama presidency hasn’t kept its commitments. We need to ‘make him do it.’”):

You cannot make a US president do what he fundamentally doesn’t want to. Michelle Obama is nice to look at, but she is no Eleanor Roosevelt. Franklin Roosevelt used to publicly bask in the hatred of wealthy banksters. Barack Obama’s dream is mostly not to piss off rich people.

  • For more on the atrocities of Bush-Cheney III, give BAR’s April 25th podcast a listen. In the first segment BAR’s Glen Ford interviews Labor Notes editor Mark Brenner, who sees no growth and no jobs on the horizon and says:

“Absolute disaster for working folks. If we follow the Ryan plan or if we follow the Obama plan, none of it spells good news for the rest of us.”

  • In another segment, Clarence Thomas, former Local 10 union secretary-treasury, says what one needs to understand is that this is not simply an attack on public sector workers, it is also an attack on public services.” Thomas says the goal is to put labor back where it was before the New Deal, noting that it is a corporate and rightwing agenda in which “the Democratic party is complicit.”

The ongoing crackdown on dissidents: Syria, China

In response to the brutality of the crackdown, President Barack Obama signed an executive order today instituting sanctions against the Syrian intelligence agency and two of Assad’s brothers, a White House official confirmed. Meanwhile, the UN Human Rights Council voted in Geneva today to condemn the Syrian crackdown.

“The [Executive Order] is a watershed,” Andrew Tabler, a Syria expert with the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, told The Envoy. “This is the first time an Assad has been designated by the [U.S. government], and the first time the USG has issued an EO on human rights in Syria. Until a few months ago Human Rights was a distant fifth on our list of issues with Syria. Now it’s emerged as the center of our policy.”

Ms. Cheng was arrested on what was supposed to have been her wedding day last fall for sending a single sarcastic Twitter message that included the words “charge, angry youth.” The government, lacking a sense of humor, sentenced her to a year in labor camp.

Timeout: Art break

We’re about halfway through, so click to read the rest… Continue Reading →

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Ryan Lizza: Obama is a ‘Consequentialist’

One reaction among liberals to the Bush years and to Iraq was to retreat from “idealism” toward “realism,” in which the United States would act cautiously and, above all, according to national interests rather than moral imperatives. The debate is rooted in the country’s early history. America, John Quincy Adams argued, “does not go abroad in search of monsters to destroy. She is the well-wisher to freedom and independence of all,” but the “champion and vindicator only of her own. In 1966, Adams’s words were repeated by George Kennan, perhaps the most articulate realist of the twentieth century, in opposing the Vietnam War. …The use of force to stop human-rights abuses or to promote democracy, they argue, usually ends poorly.” – Ryan Lizza



Consequentialist? Say what?

Mike Allen led with Ryan Lizza’s story in the New Yorker yesterday in his Playbook, logging it under “West Wing Must Read.”

It requires hip-waders.

Philosophically speaking, Lizza contends that whether a decision by a president is moral or right depends on the consequences of that action, which he concludes makes Pres. Obama’s evolving doctrine “consequentialist.” By that theory isn’t every president’s doctrine consequentialist by nature?

Oy, some experts…

Read it anyway, at least then you’ll understand Libya.

If there is such a thing in foreign policy as a “consequentialist” doctrine, Harry Truman might agree, though his interpretation of Lizza’s theory would be far different from Obama’s, because Truman believed the buck stopped in the White House. John F. Kennedy, a president who doesn’t resemble our current one at all, wouldn’t agree at all with Lizza, because imagining Kennedy bombing Libya requires enormous feats of mental acrobatics, regardless of the consequences.

Libya is doing for Pres. Obama exactly what I warned would happen.

Interesting premise pulled out of thin air to try to unwind whatever it is Pres. Obama is attempting to do on foreign policy, which is hardly clear at this point. Unfortunately, Obama’s actions also reveal timidity to declare U.S. intent, because admitting an altered U.S. policy based on Lizza’s “consequentialist” theory would cause political havoc for Obama in 2012.

From Lizza’s article:

Nonetheless, Obama may be moving toward something resembling a doctrine. One of his advisers described the President’s actions in Libya as “leading from behind.” That’s not a slogan designed for signs at the 2012 Democratic Convention, but it does accurately describe the balance that Obama now seems to be finding. It’s a different definition of leadership than America is known for, and it comes from two unspoken beliefs: that the relative power of the U.S. is declining, as rivals like China rise, and that the U.S. is reviled in many parts of the world. Pursuing our interests and spreading our ideals thus requires stealth and modesty as well as military strength. “It’s so at odds with the John Wayne expectation for what America is in the world,” the adviser said. “But it’s necessary for shepherding us through this phase.”The Consequentialist – How the Arab Spring remade Obama’s foreign policy.

Ah, China, but first America has to wean itself off of our Middle East obsession, which includes that we can create an outcome by anything we do. But the take away on this one is “leading from behind,” with the notion of a “humanitarian hawk” haunting U.S. foreign policy in a very real way, the latest in Libya, neoconservative unilateralism replaced with righteous certainty of America the savior in countries that are not of strategic interest, meanwhile we can do nothing in Bahrain, with sanctions on Syria coming in 3… 2… … .. 10… 9… 8… Oh, and just try to do anything in the Middle East by pissing off the Saudis.

David Drezner’s take:

On the structure – despite Lizza’s 9,000 words, and despite Obama’s stated intention to reorient American foreign policy to be less Middle East-focused, the essay…. is totally focused on the Middle East. I’m not saying that the Middle East is unimportant, but I’d have liked to have read something about how the Obama administration is dealing with the rest of the world. Indeed, Lizzaa notes that Obama visited South America during the opening days of the Libya operation precisely “to show that America has interests in the rest of the world.” Despite this effort, the thrust of the article demonstrates its futility during the start of a war. New military conflicts crowd out attention that should be paid to other arenas of foreign policy. It would have been nice to see how the administration’s strategy is playing/affecting the rest of the world.

The inside elite from Pontificate Hill, of which Ryan Lizza is certainly one on foreign policy, lays down that Obama is a consequentialist, which is really just shorthand for making stuff up as he goes along, moving from crisis to crisis with no guiding light, except outcome. Good God.

Brzezinski, too, has become disillusioned with the President. “I greatly admire his insights and understanding. I don’t think he really has a policy that’s implementing those insights and understandings. The rhetoric is always terribly imperative and categorical: ‘You must do this,’ ‘He must do that,’ ‘This is unacceptable.’ ” Brzezinski added, “He doesn’t strategize. He sermonizes.”

Then Mike Allen says Lizza’s is “West Wing Must Read,” which sends the message.

All it means to me is that if Lizza and Allen are correct we’re in bigger trouble than I thought we were and I didn’t think that was possible.

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The Sunday Early Bird News Round-Up

Good morning and welcome to Sunday. Happy Easter to those who celebrate it.

On this day in history, April 24, 1915, the Armenian genocide began as the Ottoman Empire rounded up Armenian political and cultural leaders in Constantinople. See link below about Obama’s statement regarding the genocide that he won’t call genocide.

Link dump:

~Friday was the bloodiest day yet in Syria, with over 110 people killed on that day alone. The violence continued into Saturday and several members of the Syrian parliament to resign in protest. What’s going on is truly horrific, but the usual suspects calling for Assad’s ouster don’t really provide specifics on how we do that, nor do they engage in any real debate about consequences. Naturally, these are the same people who were cheerleaders for war with Iraq and who would like war with Iran. When I hear these hawks call for a draft or a war tax, then I’ll take them seriously. I think we all understand the strategic importance of Syria, but the notion that we can simply run around the Middle East removing leaders without any blowback (or sacrifice) is woefully naive.

~Former CNN anchor Rick Sanchez is desperately trying to make himself relevant (while throwing in some shameless self promotion). Naturally the New & Improved No Labels HuffPo gives him a platform.

~Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak is now being held for additional questioning stemming from a cushy and secretive natural gas deal he penned with Israel which essentially resulted in Israel getting the gas for well below market rate, which is rather curious given Egypt’s faltering economy and Israel’s high demand for gas.

~So, is Iran really the source of all Bahrain’s troubles? No, probably not. Are they likely taking some advantage of the unrest in the region? Of course. But it’s hard not to notice how the Obama administration (and the media) conveniently ignore the government of Bahrain’s killing, detaining and torturing democracy protesters. It’s interesting how in each country where there have been uprisings, the despotic leaders blame “outside influence” and we dismiss that out of hand (Egypt, Tunisia, Syria, Iran) but when it’s one of our allies, suddenly we accept without question that outside influence-Iran- is to blame. In other words, the people of Bahrain (and Saudi Arabia) have no legitimate grievances- it’s all some evil Shiite plot. Thank you Fifth Fleet. If you haven’t seen this Al Jazeera English show on the situation in Bahrain, it’s worth watching.

~The hypocrisy of the Obama administration’s selective views on leaking information, secrecy and the rule of law.

~If you read nothing else today, read this- the Washington Post has an illuminating article about why Obama was unable to close Gitmo. The administration’s claims that it was all Congress’ fault don’t add up and don’t align with the facts. Yes, Congress made it harder, but once the push-back started, Team Obama didn’t have the political will to fight this battle. Given that closing Gitmo represented a key aspect of candidate Obama’s political philosophy and agenda, it sort of makes one wonder what he does stand for and why he gave up so easily. Gitmo has become a stain on the U.S. and when we point our fingers and call out the unlawful detentions in China, Egypt and Syria, they can always respond with one word- Gitmo.

~Ok, so Libya is a stalemate. Now what?

~Speaking of Libya, the State Dept. approved Senator McCain’s trip to Libya which is interesting given McCain is pushing for much more direct U.S. intervention and support than the administration is prepared to give. Once again the Obama administration can’t seem to handle its foreign policy messaging.

~Senator Jon Kyle edits the Congressional record to delete his factually-impaired, dishonest comment about Planned Parenthood’s abortion services during the budget debate.

~Many believe that Sen. John Ensign’s resignation was likely an attempt to preempt unsavory details about his affair and payoff coming to light during a Senate ethics investigation. However, the ethics committee issued a rare statement saying that the resignation notwithstanding, the investigation would continue.

~What is it with Fox News and claiming there is a war against various Christian holidays? We’ve moved from the nonexistent War on Christmas to the nonexistent War on Easter. The best part is how Hannity and friends bemoan the lack of civility, restraint and respect shown to the followers of Christianity. Uh, hello? This is the same channel that has turned demonizing Islam and ALL of its adherents into a full time sport.

~It’s official- only 1 in 6 Americans are interested in the upcoming royal wedding of Wills and Kate. Yup, there’s an app for that.

~The 2012 crop of GOP candidates really isn’t all that much to write home about.

~If Trump is going to run for POTUS he better grow some thicker skin. He seems more concerned with defending his fragile ego than putting forth a plan for how to move the U.S. forward. This is sort of embarrassing:

[youtube=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=znY_b_rcK_g]

~Obama and the G word: another campaign promise broken.

~The origins of the birther movement. And it just won’t die.

~Christians remain fearful in Iraq.

~One of Obama’s biggest mistakes with the Bradley Manning mess- and the list is growing every day-was insisting on the resignation of State Dept. spokesman P.J. Crowley. He was the only person in the administration who was espousing the principles that Obama claimed to hold and quite frankly, he’s been vindicated as Salon points out. Mistake number two was Secretary Clinton accepting the resignation.

~What a surprise. The GOP is trying to stall the repeal of DADT. Why are they playing politics with our national security?

~Glenn Beck is going out with a bang, claiming that some conspiracy involving Obama, socialists, George Soros, Samantha Power, William Ayers and the Tides Foundation will be willing to….kill 25 million Americans? One word: Haldol.

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War Hawks and Neocons

Security forces in Syria met thousands of demonstrators with fusillades of live ammunition after noon prayers on Friday, killing at least 81 people in the bloodiest day of the five-week-old Syrian uprising, according to protesters, witnesses and accounts on social networking sites. – Security Forces Kill Dozens in Uprisings Around Syria

We will never be rid of the curse.

The Washington Post’s shameful op-ed eviscerating Pres. Obama over “inaction” in Syria isn’t worth reading, but it goes nicely with John McCain playing president in Libya.

Welcome to another edition of America’s amateur foreign policy hour.

Having Sen. McCain say in Libya that “for the United States to withdraw our unique offensive capabilities at this time would send the wrong signal” is not only inappropriate, but reenforces the notion of an empire nation, which is the biggest reason our country hangs in continual economic limbo, something conservatives never consider when thinking of national security that must include our economic health.

The BBC is reporting that NATO has utilized armed Predator drones, with Pres. Obama approving the action earlier, which now have struck inside Libya for the first time. Unarmed drones have been used for intelligence and reconnaissance missions.

Pres. Obama could not have approved the use of anything that is a worse symbol of American imperialism than a hell fire missile coming from a Predator. This type of action has already proved counterproductive in Pakistan, but then U.S. policy has been in a perpetual state of chaos for over 10 years.

As an aside, I don’t watch Chris Matthews much anymore, but took a moment yesterday to do so only to hear him trip over himself opining that Predator drones might signify a way out of Libya, something that made him sound so incredibly ignorant I wanted to immediately turn off the TV, but curiosity stopped me, because I wanted to see how he was going to get out of this mess. As he interviewed Richard Engel, he asked the significance of the armed drones being utilized instead of an AC-130, with Engel saying the armed drones were like “a kite” in comparison, something Matthews didn’t know. What’s worse is that he didn’t bother to find out before he went on the air or do any homework on the matter, at least none that was evident. It’s no wonder people are stupid on foreign policy with the likes of Chris Matthews dispensing opinions that armed drone attacks might be the end, instead of simply positing questions and letting the experts tell you what is and is not true.

It seems to me the American people have to get reacquainted with a new thought, which war hawks and neocons are not going to like and neither are humanitarians.

Our standard for bombing or becoming militarily involved in another country that has not attacked us must have at its core that a clear and present danger to the United States must exist.

Unless genocide or ethnic cleansing are happening we stay out, with the ugly reality in geopolitics that you also need proof that it is. We shouldn’t bomb countries before something has happened, preemptively involving ourselves in something that is only a threat.

It’s horrific to read and hear about the carnage erupting throughout the Middle East, but we simply cannot be involved in every skirmish, no matter how gut wrenching the reports. The founding of our own American freedom came through a lot of bloodshed and chaos, with the result of fighting for your own country part of what rebuilds a nation’s character. New American discipline needs to be instilled in our leaders to engage with the world community to bring thugs to justice, without everyone expecting U.S. military involvement for which taxpayers are on the hook.

I’d start with George W. Bush for Iraq, but then I’m a liberal, not one of the mealy-mouthed Democratic elite.

Released last night, Pres. Obama’s statement on Syria:

The United States condemns in the strongest possible terms the use of force by the Syrian government against demonstrators. This outrageous use of violence to quell protests must come to an end now. We regret the loss of life and our thoughts are with the families and loved ones of the victims, and with the Syrian people in this challenging time.

The Syrian Government’s moves yesterday to repeal Syria’s decades-old Emergency Law and allow for peaceful demonstrations were not serious given the continued violent repression against protesters today. Over the course of two months since protests in Syria began, the United States has repeatedly encouraged President Assad and the Syrian Government to implement meaningful reforms, but they refuse to respect the rights of the Syrian people or be responsive to their aspirations. The Syrian people have called for the freedoms that all individuals around the world should enjoy: freedom of expression, association, peaceful assembly, and the ability to freely choose their leaders. President Assad and the Syrian authorities have repeatedly rejected their calls and chosen the path of repression. They have placed their personal interests ahead of the interests of the Syrian people, resorting to the use of force and outrageous human rights abuses to compound the already oppressive security measures in place before these demonstrations erupted. Instead of listening to their own people, President Assad is blaming outsiders while seeking Iranian assistance in repressing Syria’s citizens through the same brutal tactics that have been used by his Iranian allies. We call on President Assad to change course now, and heed the calls of his own people.

We strongly oppose the Syrian government’s treatment of its citizens and we continue to oppose its continued destabilizing behavior more generally, including support for terrorism and terrorist groups. The United States will continue to stand up for democracy and the universal rights that all human beings deserve, in Syria and around the world.

This is why there is The Hague.

The president of Yemen Ali Abdullah Saleh has reportedly offered to resign in exchange for immunity.

I used to say about George W. Bush and the neocons that if they’d been around during the Cuban Missile Crisis we’d have wasted Cuba. But after Libya, I’m not so sure if Barack Obama doesn’t deserve his own sub-category, even as Sec. Clinton has already said we will not become engaged in Syria. The inconvenient geography of Syria renders it absolutely impossible, making a mockery out of the “humanitarian” angle of Libya, which never should have been uttered, let alone engaged militarily.

The problem with all of this is that Pres. Obama’s foreign policy makes absolutely no sense whatsoever. Why Libya and not Syria? It’s not about “inaction” in Syria as much as it is irreconcilable stupidity for going into Libya, a decision that looks like the height of hypocrisy when reading, watching or hearing about the carnage in Bahrain.

Pres. Obama doesn’t have a Middle East strategy, policy or anything resembling a foreign policy road map, which is now nakedly exposed.

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Catching Up with the Right

TM NOTE: Well, this was supposed to be up hours ago, but a little life interruptus impeded my best intentions. So, finally, here you go…

Tired of being on the receiving end of damaging stories developed by liberal groups such as Media Matters and the Center for American Progress, conservatives are looking to launch their own opposition research army to dig up dirt on the left. In the last year, a mix of big-money Republican-allied independent groups, tea party non-profits, guerilla videographers, and some scrappy bloggers and talk show hosts has created a raft of fledgling investigative research and reporting efforts to uncover and publicize alleged corruption, flip-flops and plain-old gaffes by Democrats and their allies headed into the 2012 elections. – Right seeks edge in opposition wars

The story above in Politico is worth a read, because that’s what Jim Messina & company will face in 2012 that they didn’t in 2008; that and a demoralized progressive base and disaffected Democrats who simply will not come out for Obama this time. …and before we go any further, the Ari Berman piece about Messina evidently exploded heads over at camp Obama. So Jeff Zeleny of the New York Times does a push back profile, with Ben Smith calling it “the Messina wars.” Smith has a hilarious warning:

This is a moment for some of the media and Democratic infrastructure to pick sides, stake out positions: Do you want the authorized leaks or the unauthorized ones. (I’ll take both, please!) Do you want an appointment in the second term or a regular spot on the Ed Show?

Considering Mr. Schultz’s performance last week on Libya, I’m not sure anyone should want a “regular spot” on his show.

Now onward and rightward ho we go…

Pastor Terry Jones leads with crazy.

“It is definitely a consideration to stage a trial on the life of Mohammed in the future,” he said in interview on Saturday. – UK Telegraph

Just how Jones plans to put Mohammed on trial is a head-scratcher, but this fanatical religious nut job has now captured the world’s attention, so it’s unlikely he’s going to stop at inciting violence around the world.

Mitt Romney goes after Pres. Obama’s foreign policy in Las Vegas by completing a back shot off of Sec. Hillary Clinton:

Romney said Obama hasn’t been tough enough on Iran and its suspected nuclear weapons program. And he said he was surprised Secretary of State Hillary Clinton called Syrian President Bashar Assad “a reformer” even as he puts down protests. “Obama is either unwilling or incapable of dealing with this,” Romney said, speaking about Iran and turmoil in the region at the Republican Jewish Coalition’s winter meeting. “Israel’s very existence may be at stake.”

In the most recent South Carolina polling for 2012, Sarah Palin was nowhere in sight and Mitt Romney finished fourth, behind Michele Bachmann.

Huckabee, who has shown no signs of mounting a repeat presidential bid in the state, nevertheless won the vote with 23 percent of the 152 ballots cast, local GOP officials told CNN. He was followed by former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, who captured 11 percent of the vote. Minnesota Rep. Michele Bachmann finished third with 10 percent.

Fox News channel’s Bill Sammon’s “cruise ship confession” was really something to watch unfold this past week. As always, Jon Stewart is at his best here unwinding it.

Roger Ailes and his network hacks have always preened that their “news” shows are unbiased, non-ideological and straight news. Bret Baier emphatically defended this stance with Jon Stewart this week, which after the Sammon confessional made the Fox News anchor look like an ass.

Mr. Sammon made Stewart’s job easy, because when the Washington managing editor and a vice president of Fox News, the biggest and most successful network on cable, is found lying it makes a mockery of any “news” title and turns any anchor’s performance into a charade.

Politics is money. It’s marketing. It’s the Roger Ailes playbook. He gave Huckabee a show, spotlighted John Kasich, not to mention built a home studio for Sarah Palin, with Ailes’s latest gimmick giving Donald Trump a “Mornings with Trump” Fox segment, with Trump duh, winning.

Now the RNC wants to take a page from Roger Ailes through monetizing the presidential debate season.

From The Hill:

The Republican National Committee is considering sanctioning a series of monthly presidential candidate debates beginning in August that would be paired with committee fundraisers, a party official confirmed to The Ballot Box.

The RNC is in the process of soliciting input from its members on what form the events will take. One proposal is that candidates would attend RNC fundraisers that would coincide with the sanctioned debates. The forums would run through the start of the primary season in February 2012.

The money raised would go to the RNC’s Presidential Trust. [...]

It’s quite a concept. One that Roger Ailes, the Fox News channel and Republican moneymaker, marketing and media mogul, would approve.

And the Right has finally decided who the devil is. It’s Planned Parenthood.

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Rationalizing Libya

“It was not — it was not a vital national interest to the United States, but it was an interest and it was an interest for all of the reasons Secretary Clinton talked about. The engagement of the Arabs, the engagement of the Europeans, the general humanitarian question that was at stake”… Defense Secretary: Libya Did Not Pose Threat to U.S., Was Not ‘Vital National Interest’ to Intervene

Pres. Obama letting emotions be his guide is how we got into Libya. It’s also the leading reasoning behind others who back him.

Juan Cole has a post up today “unabashedly cheering the liberation movement on”, applauding Pres. Obama’s interventionism into Libya, his war of choice. As much as I respect Juan Cole, his arguments are unpersuasive, as he cherry picks his way through rationalizing the President’s actions.

The United Nations Security Council authorization for UN member states to intervene to forestall this massacre thus pitched the question. If the Left opposed intervention, it de facto acquiesced in Qaddafi’s destruction of a movement embodying the aspirations of most of Libya’s workers and poor, along with large numbers of white collar middle class people. Qaddafi would have reestablished himself, with the liberation movement squashed like a bug and the country put back under secret police rule. The implications of a resurgent, angry and wounded Mad Dog, his coffers filled with oil billions, for the democracy movements on either side of Libya, in Egypt and Tunisia, could well have been pernicious. [...]

Among reasons given by critics for rejecting the intervention are:

1. Absolute pacifism (the use of force is always wrong)

2. Absolute anti-imperialism (all interventions in world affairs by outsiders are wrong).

3. Anti-military pragmatism: a belief that no social problems can ever usefully be resolved by use of military force.

For a man who has called Afghanistan another Vietnam, while never understanding the human rights as women’s rights argument, it’s astounding Cole is ignoring a major element on Libya. One that has convinced me that we’ve done what we can in Afghanistan and while we’ll continue to aid them, our military must disengage.

There is absolutely nothing about Libya that is in American’s geopolitical interests.

Cole’s flippant refusal to consider the Sudan because military intervention would have required more effort than Libya is to say that preventing genocide can only be done if it’s easy. Genocide often happens in out of the reach places where the perpetrators think they can get away with it, as they did in Rwanda.

The other very real issue is focus and what taking our eye off of the geopolitical ball can mean. Distractions are dangerous and that’s exactly what Libya is.

From Steve Clemons, who is correct on Libya and has the most cogent analysis of anyone:

However, the nation of real rather than imagined national security consequence to the U.S. in the region is Egypt. Richard Haass of the Council on Foreign Relations and others — including myself — are worried about the ‘bandwidth’ of the White House to deal with multiple major challenges at the same time. Libya will soon be NATO protectorate and focus of significant attention — adding some ‘stretch marks’ to the stress NATO members are already feeling on Afghanistan.

But what of Egypt which is going through extraordinary changes in turbo time? Senior officials in the Department of State tell me “we are on it.” And I believe they are in the sense of working with Egyptian authorities to offer counsel on strategies to transform the Constitution and set the terms for significantly broader political stakeholding in the country — but there is no doubt that the system that President Obama has established for exhaustively internally inclusive national security decision making has less space for Egypt today than Libya.

Meanwhile, Sec. Clinton said today that the U.S. would not intervene in Syria.

Clinton said the elements that led to intervention in Libya — international condemnation, an Arab League call for action, a United Nations Security Council resolution — are “not going to happen” with Syria, in part because members of the U.S. Congress from both parties say they believe Assad is “a reformer.”

Leaving aside for now the absurd notion that Pres. Assad is a “reformer,” I cannot find any through line from the Administration on why Libya and not Syria.

Sen. Joe Lieberman did and it reveals the problem in Juan Cole’s analysis, which opens up a whole can of worms. Via Reuters:

Senator Joseph Lieberman, an independent, suggested the United States and other countries could intervene militarily in Syria if President Bashar al-Assad, who came to power after the 2000 death of his father, Hafez, attacked protesters with greater ferocity.

“There’s a precedent now that the world community has said in Libya, and it’s the right one, ‘we’re not going to stand by and allow this Assad to slaughter his people like his father did years ago,’” Lieberman told the “Fox News Sunday” program.

Of course we feel for the poor and workers of Libya. If Gadhafi had been allowed to clash with protesting Libyan civilians it would have been gut wrenching to watch.

But what about human rights violations in China? In North Korea?

If the U.S. is spread any thinner our national security interests will become vulnerable, our interests unprotected, because we will now be embroiled in Libya, along with Afghanistan and Iraq. While Egypt, which is much more critical to American interests than Libya, will not get the attention it warrants.

It’s being reported that NATO will indeed take on duties beyond the no-fly zone, arms embargo, but also protecting civilians. But NATO’s “Needs America To Operate” history means we won’t be completely hands off, because this mission is not over. Never mind we still do not know the ultimate intent, which Obama states is “Gadhafi must go,” while admitting he has no intention of forcing the issue.

The entire endeavor has been fraught with inconsistensies from the start.

Juan Cole is understandably emotional about Libya, which is how Pres. Obama got dragged into this war of choice in the first place.

There are many tensions breaking open and what’s required right now is clear, tough-eyed realism. Bleeding hearts will compromise American interests and get us embroiled while our adversaries plot.

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The Sunday Early Bird News Round-Up

Good morning early birds and welcome to Sunday!

On this day in history, March 27, 1513, Spanish explorer Juan Ponce de Leon set his eyes on what is today known as Florida.

I’ve rounded up some links so you don’t have to:

~Coalition airstrikes against Gaddafi on Saturday provide enough cover for the rebels to retake the city of Ajdabiya in the East.

~A quarter of a million people take to the streets in London to protest the government’s draconian “austerity” measures. Just as in the U.S., the British banking system received billions in bailouts and now the people made to suffer are the usual suspects- the middle and lower classes.

~Protests in Syria turned violent after government forces gunned down dozens of unarmed protesters.

~You would think that the cable news media could walk and chew gum at the same time given it’s a 24 hour news cycle which gives them more than enough time to cover more than one or two stories non-stop. For example, one would think they could cover the military action in Libya and the ongoing crisis in Japan. If you thought that, you would be wrong. Since the initiation of military action in Libya, coverage of the continued problems with the Fukushima nuclear complex in Japan has slipped off noticeably. Luckily print/web media is still covering the crisis.

~This seems to becoming more and more of a frequent occurrence- NATO air strikes kill more civilians, including children.

~On a similar note if you haven’t seen the documentary, The Pat Tillman Story by Amir Bar-Lev, go run out and rent it. There have been several documentaries about his death, but this one is the best by far- I know it’s been available on DVD for some time now but I just watched it last night and it was incredible- and enraging. It’s all the more relevant given what has gone on in Afghanistan since Tillman died- it’s incredible to see just how many of the top brass involved in the cover-up failed upwards and not only were not held accountable, but got promotions. Of course, the people doing the promoting (in the Bush administration) seemed to also be involved in the cover-up.

~Hamas announced that Gaza militants had agreed to stop launching rockets into Israel if Israel would stop launching strikes against targets in Gaza in return. That seems unlikely. Tensions are rising daily and I can’t help but have the feeling that we are about to see the Second Act of Operation Cast Lead. I hope I am wrong.

~In today’s NYT Thomas Friedman tries to put a positive spin on the outcome of the Iraq War which he supported and argued for in 2002 and 2003 and argues, unconvincingly in my view, that the wonderful democracy that flourished there bodes well for the Arab Spring.

~While polls show that more and more Americans are supporting equality for gays and lesbians on a variety of fronts, it looks like the all of the likely GOP hopefuls are decidedly anti-gay. So, who is outside the mainstream now?

~What is it about some small government conservatives loving big government in our bedrooms?

~European countries seem to be getting fed up with the United States’ primary role in the Mideast Peace process (or lack thereof). They want the United Nations to take over the peace negotiations and I can’t help but wonder if this is related to a) Angela Merkel’s extraordinary phone call with Bibi Netanyahu where her aides described her as being “furious” with him, b) the revelations in the Palestine Papers, which received much, much more coverage in Europe and other parts of the world than they did in the U.S. and c) the U.S. being the only country to veto the Security Council resolution condemning settlement expansion? Here’s the thing, the U.S. won’t hand over its leading role in “mediating” negotiations and coming up with a solution because Israel wants us in that position- in fact, Bibi doesn’t want anything to do with the Quartet. I’ve believed for a long time that the international community needs to play a larger role in all of this because it’s clear that due to domestic political considerations, the U.S. is incapable of being an objective, honest broker, which is what is necessary if the conflict is ever to end.

~Is this NJ nuclear reactor an accident waiting to happen?

~Glenn Beck has a new documentary (*yawn*) which I guess came out some time in February 2011 and guess what it’s about? **spoiler alert** Basically, the world is ending and those evil Muslims, socialists and atheists are responsible. It seems to focus a lot on Iran getting a nuclear weapon in the next 10 minutes and it contains a lot of commentary from people who have made a career out of fear-mongering and being a little bit crazy. Media Matters has some good information on Beck’s chosen “experts.” Sorry if I ruined it for you. Here’s a little taste:

[youtube=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z4NVBVG5--c]

~War-monger John Bolton has a swell idea- war with Iran. And soon. This is nothing new of course because I don’t think Bolton could name a single country in the Mideast region (other than Israel) that he doesn’t want to bomb. I’ve noticed something about neoconservatives- they seem to treat U.S. troops like expendable chess pieces on board which they control. If we end up in another war I think it will be time for a draft. Or how about a war tax since all this sh*t costs money? I think we’ve become an entitled, lazy nation that expects only about 2% of the population to sacrifice anything when it comes to war and thus it’s much easier to support something when most of us have no skin in the game. Remember back in the old days when our leaders demanded sacrifice from ALL Americans, not just service members and their families? Women worked in the factories and joined WAVES, certain food items and products were prohibited because they were needed for the war effort, people bought war bonds and people signed up for service in droves. These days what do our leaders ask us to do in a time of national crisis and war? They ask us to go shopping. Who doesn’t like shopping?

~Hey, it’s almost tax time, how much do you owe in federal income tax? If it’s more than $1 you owe more than Bank of America does. It’s called failing upwards. Where is the MSM (television, preferably) on this? The hypocrisy of the small government, budget-cutting, anti-tax crowd is unbelievable- Middle America is being the only one asked to sacrifice economically while the nations largest corporations (not just in banking) not only pay ZERO federal income tax, but receive BILLIONS- yes, billions- in tax relief while they use offshore accounts to dodge tax federal tax laws. Now there’s a loophole the size of the Grand Canyon that needs fixing. But nowhere in this budget debate is any of this being discussed. Now, not all corporations pay no taxes of course, but the idea that we actually have a truly free market system with all these corporate subsidies is a myth- and that’s without even bringing up the issue of bailouts.

~Yemen’s long-time President is possibly stepping down sooner rather than later.

~Over at Foreign Policy there is an interesting and somewhat critical commentary about Angela Merkel’s economic and foreign policy leadership.

~Whether one agrees or disagrees with military intervention in Libya there is no denying that very real and very important questions are being raised about its foreign policy implications. For example, this commentary asks why, if the intervention in Libya is based primarily on humanitarian grounds, the world and UN have largely ignored the growing violence and murder of large numbers of civilians in Côte d’Ivoire by the ruthless Laurent Gbagbo.

~Speaking of questions being raised about the foreign policy implications of military intervention in Libya, here Mark Sheetz arguing that Europe (and in particular France) alone should have handled this one. Agree or disagree, he raises some interesting questions.

~Careful what you wish for Floridians, you just might get it. Howie Klein of Down with Tyranny has a great post up about how Florida Governor Rick Scott has a plan to make Florida one of the states most hostile to public workers/unions, the poor and pretty much every living thing except large corporations. And given what’s been happening in Wisconsin, that’s quite an achievement!

~Speaking of Wisconsin and union-hating political leaders, Governor Walker has decided that following court orders is for lesser humans and the GOP is going to go ahead and ram the anti-union bill into effect. So much for being a law and order Republican. I keep wondering when middle America, including conservatives, are going to wake up and smell the hypocrisy. When ever you hear the Tea Party crowd talk about a) transparency, b) small government, c) cutting spending and d) the importance of the Constitution and the Rule of Law, be sure you read the fine print because there is a long list of self-serving exceptions to all of the above.

~Does the treatment of Pfc. Bradley Manning raise the possibility that despite Barack Obama’s executive order prohibiting torture, it is still being used at the discretion of the DoD/CIA? Why has the MSM not asked hard questions about this, particularly given the fact that Obama’s executive order has exceptions that have been interpreted to mean that torture is permissible in certain circumstances. Also, given the firing resignation of State Dept. spokesman PJ Crowley several weeks ago, you would think the MSM would connect some of the dots. I guess that’s just to much to ask of David Gregory, John King and others.

Baby Cheetah:

[youtube=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wnXRyO84TH4]

~On Monday Der Spiegel published shocking photos of US troops posing by dead Afghan civilians whom they had killed. The photos are graphic and horrible. The US soldiers involved are on trial for murder (one of them just sentenced to 24 years) but I am wondering, did I miss something or has the US media largely ignored this story (there were a few reports including the AP) and if so, are they doing so at the request of the US government?

~Thank goodness for Nicholas Kristof, who in today’s NYT is bringing more attention to the horrific story of the Egyptian women who were subjected to torture and a “virginity test” by the very same Egyptian military that the U.S. has been lauding for being so restrained and professional.

~It’s looking more and more likely like there will be a government shutdown.

~Kathleen Parker has an interesting piece in the WaPo about Nikki Haley and internal South Carolina politics.

~Dana Milbank mocks a Haley Barbour presidential run.

~Defense Secretary Gates said in a pre-taped interview (to air today on Face the Nation) that Gadhafi may be moving dead bodies in an attempt to claim that coalition air strikes have killed lots of civilians.

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Peter Beinert’s Right, It’s The End Of An Empire

Some commentators love the Libya war; others hate it. But most agree that it’s profoundly unnatural that we were pushed into it by… France. Welcome to the post-American world. In the age we’re entering, most of the time, the choice will no longer be between humanitarian interventions controlled by the United States and humanitarian interventions where other nations take the lead. The choice will be between humanitarian interventions where other nations take the lead and no humanitarian interventions at all. – Peter Beinert

Pres. Obama is walking away from what Pres. Bill Clinton believed about the U.S. in foreign affairs. That we are the indispensable nation. In the year of the Arab Spring, that’s simply so ’90s.

This is what’s causing Republican heads to explode, with GOP presidential wannabes seeing this as their opening.

Rarely agreeing with Mr. Beinert, what he writes about today is the most important aspect of what’s going on over Libya, as Arab uprisings continue to spread and unwind.

He also has the most classic analysis of Gates since he uttered his own “on the fly” description of Obama’s war of choice in Libya.

I don’t know what it took to convince an obviously reluctant Robert Gates to permit American involvement in the Libyan no-fly zone, but it’s a reasonable bet that had Barack Obama not been able to promise that it would be a mostly European affair, Gates would now be a military analyst on Fox News. It’s not the 1990s anymore. The American public’s appetite for humanitarian war has always been meager. And now the American government’s capacity for waging it is meager, too.

Old school Republicans like Haley Barbour, Mitt Romney and to a lesser degree Newt Gingrich, as well as Sarah Palin, who simply doesn’t have the depth of foreign policy knowledge or study to do anything but parrot neoconservative ideology, are all caterwauling about Pres. Obama’s alleged lack of leadership. The problem with Newt’s fumbling analysis is that it reveals he’s absolutely paralyzed with fear at being humiliated in his quest for the Republican nomination, which seems baked into the plot. With Romney willing to say whatever it takes to nab the nomination this time around. The others simply refuse Obama’s premise.

Obama’s incoherence on Libya, especially Pres. Obama’s arrogant slight of Congress, is unquestionable. Sending Sec. Clinton out to do his job hardly puts to rest the argument that the women guided him into Libya, in fact it reinforces it. No doubt he’ll be center stage whenever this ill fated foreign policy misadventure concludes, taking credit, of course.

But Pres. Obama is attempting to transition the United States into a more humble foreign policy based on practicalities, not the least of which is our terrifying fiscal insolvency, even if Obama’s own mathematical solutions are as bad as Republican.

As impossibly scatterbrained as the Obama administration’s foreign policy is, looking at Republicans and their regurgitation of 20th century national security talking points that long outlived reality, is enough to scare anyone to death. Not only are they clueless about the emerging Arab world, but these fiscal numbskulls can’t even swallow that our means of making war can’t ever be again to deploy tens of thousands of troops. Modern warfare nimbleness hasn’t cracked their thick skulls yet.

But then Pres. Obama’s own stubbornness on Afghanistan is just as bad.

Beinert’s analysis of Europe is also noteworthy, as it’s the bookend change to what’s exploding in Arab nations. Part of it is due to Europe’s own experiences of war on their own soil, something America hasn’t faced. We still see bombs as flowers to people in countries we are invading to “save” for freedom, while European nations focus on the human carnage war making manifests.

Jeffersonianism has landed in Washington, which is why Obama’s taking such a hit politically.

Which leads us back to Beinert: Jeffersonians, to borrow Walter Russell Mead’s phrase, believe that preserving America’s economic and political solvency requires reining in American empire.

Ah, but countries have egos. The Republicans want to continue feeding ours, while Pres. Obama is trying to starve it.

If Pres. Obama wasn’t delivering confusion and chaos through his clumsy transition to America sharing the world’s stage with France and the rest of Europe, instead of making the case directly, which is a good one, the American people just might buy it.

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Israeli – Palestinian Tensions Rise, as Film Tries to Personalize Conflict

“Is this the face of a terrorist?” asks the American poster for Julian Schnabel’s new film, Miral, about a young Palestinian woman of the same name. Dressed as a schoolgirl, looking ten years younger than her actual age of 26, Freida Pinto stares back, the sullenness in her eyes a residue of shouldering the twin burdens of adolescence and occupation at once. – ‘Miral’: Taking the Israel-Palestine Conflict Personally

A film about a young girl’s coming of age is causing quite a storm juxtaposed against world news of an Arab spring, as rockets fly between Gaza and Israel.

Israeli Ambassador Michael Oren has been on something of a media blitz recently, seen on Bill Maher’s show last week, today speaking with Chuck Todd, because opinion of Israel remains problematic in Europe, according to a March BBC poll. That’s because, for one thing, people are exhausted with Israel’s continuing claim, as Oren pressed recently, that they are ready to deal any time, but it’s all the Palestinian’s fault. At this point everyone believes both parties are being hopelessly unpractical, which in the end hurts Israel far more, if only based on demographics.

The other issue for Israel is that relying on neoconservatives is no longer working for them in the court of public opinion. From a guest post over at Pat Lang’s place (h/t Mondoweiss):

In relation to declining support in the West, Israel and its external supporters commonly talk about delegitimation, as though this decline reflected the malign efforts of people implacably hostile to the very idea of a Jewish state. But in relation to my own country, Britain, this is delusional. The decline of support for Israel simply does not reflect cunning propaganda from Palestinian advocates – whose efforts, taken in themselves, resonate among rather limited sections of the population. It is the actions and words of successive Israeli governments and their supporters in this country and in the United States which have shifted sympathy away from the country.

Coming together with the revelations in the ‘Palestine Papers’ in January about the extraordinary lengths to which Palestinian leaders were prepared to go to accommodate Netanyahu’s predecessors, the conclusion is increasingly being drawn that there is no Israeli ‘partner for peace’. And indeed, people have increasingly been asking themselves whether they have been deluding themselves, and failing to recognise that the continuation of the settlement of the West Bank throughout the period since the 1993 Oslo Accords meant that the whole ‘peace process’ has been misconceived.

In Britain, this scepticism has been moving into the journalistic mainstream. At the time of Obama’s attempts to resuscitate the ‘peace process’ last August, the international affairs editor of the Financial Times, David Gardner, published an article entitled ‘A poisoned process holds little hope.’ Having pointed to the ‘relentless and strategic Israeli colonisation of occupied Palestinian land’ as the fundamental problem vitiating the ‘peace process’, and he went on to remark…

PM Netanyahu, who just met with SecDef Gates, told him that Israel is prepared to act with “great force” to the spreading of violence that is now hitting Israeli – Palestinian regions. From AFP:

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu told US Defence Secretary Robert Gates on Friday that Israel is ready to act with “great force” in response to a spate of rocket fire by Gaza militants and a deadly bus bombing in Jerusalem.

Israel had been “subjected to bouts of terror and rocket attacks,” Netanyahu told reporters before going into a meeting with Gates.

“We stand ready to act with great force and great determination to put a stop to it,” he added, with police saying Israel had not been hit by any projectiles Friday morning.

Netanyahu said he had received a “very warm” telephone call from US President Barack Obama on Thursday expressing his condolences after the latest flare-up in violence.

“Any civilised society will not tolerate such wanton attacks on its civilians,” he said.

Israeli nationalism is keeping Netanyahu and Mr. Oren, however well intentioned their efforts, from seeing the reality sitting in front of their great country. It makes you wonder if these two men are too preoccupied with the past to watch what’s unfolding in the present on Al Jazeera.

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Why Isn’t Obama Targeting Syria Next?

**UPDATED**

President Bashar al-Assad made a rare public pledge to look into granting Syrians greater freedom on Thursday as anger mounted following attacks by security forces on protesters that left at least 37 dead. – Thousands chant “freedom” despite Assad reform offer



You think it’s America’s job to interject ourselves and save the world?

You want to stop humanitarian crises everywhere?

Well, get busy people.

From MSNBC:

Citing rights activists and witnesses, the AFP news service reported that 100 people were killed when police opened fired in the southern city on Wednesday. However, the report could not immediately be verified.

Thousands defied the deadly government crackdown on Thursday as they took to the streets in funeral marches for protesters killed by police gunfire, an activist said.

As the casualties mounted, people from the nearby villages of Inkhil, Jasim, Khirbet Ghazaleh and al-Harrah tried to march on Daraa Wednesday night but security forces opened fire as they approached, the activist said. It was not immediately clear if there were more deaths or injuries.
Story: 15 dead in new clashes in southern Syria city

Democracy activists used social-networking sites to call for massive demonstrations across the country on Friday, a day they dubbed “Dignity Friday.”

Meanwhile, the State Dept. is “deeply concerned.” That’s the phrase that has helped launched the What are you going to do about it question? for decades.

Pres. Obama has started down a path that reveals the knotted reality of cherry picking carnage to manage, which is threatening to reduce his presidency to rubble. NATO still can’t come to an agreement over command. Via MSNBC:

Quarreling NATO While the fighting raged, NATO again failed to agree to take over command of the military operation “Odyssey Dawn” from the United States, chiefly because of objections from Turkey, diplomats said.

The United States, with its forces already tied up in Iraq and Afghanistan, said it wants to give up its lead role in Libya in a “matter of days,” with NATO playing an important role in the command of the operation, although the exact structure of its role was still under discussion. France, which launched the air campaign against Libya with Britain and the United States on Saturday, argues that having the U.S.-led NATO in charge would erode Arab support because of the alliance’s unpopularity in the Arab world.

After starting down a deliberative path, Pres. Obama’s now ventured into no man’s land, because looking at Syria, Bahrain and Yemen, nothing he’s currently doing makes any sense.

The Libya no-fly misadventure now has the dubious distinction of having the lowest approval of any war “kinetic military action” in four decades and that’s before people learn just how little information the Obama administration had on the “rebels” prior to Pres. Obama pulling the trigger.


(h/t Ben Smith on Twitter)

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Sunday Early Bird News Round-Up

Good morning and welcome to Sunday.

On this day in history, February 27th 1933, Germany’s parliament building was gutted by fire. Chancellor Adolf Hitler, blaming the Communists, used the fire as justification for suspending civil liberties.

I’ve rounded up some links so you don’t have to:

~In today’s NYT Nick Kristoff argues that contrary to some stereotypes, the Arab world is not “unfit” for democracy.

~Newt Gingrich gets on the crazy train during an interview with Newsmax and essentially claims that the administration’s failure to continue defending DOMA could constitute an impeachable offense. Apparently when the right disagrees with a Democratic President they turn to their old standby- impeachment. While I don’t in any way endorse such nonsense, it shows that the GOP is much more willing to go after their political opponents than the Democrats were during the Bush years (and also today). Think of all the wrongdoing that arguably should have resulted in some sort of legal accountability- the lies that led to the Iraq War (never seriously looked into), warrantless wiretapping, abuses of the PATRIOT act, torture, extraordinary rendition, the destruction of the CIA torture tapes, the outing of Valerie Plame (obstructed by Scooter Libby- the resolution of that was a joke) and on and on. In most of those cases, the Democrats not only didn’t call for serious investigations but they went along with the wrongdoing by legitimizing it afterward or by claiming that they just wanted to “move forward.”

~Iraq continues to be on incredibly shaky ground. Iraq’s largest oil refinery was shut down after bombs were set off in what is being described as a quite sophisticated attack. No one has claimed responsibility.

~Haaretz reported that German Chancellor Angeloa Merkel is none too pleased with Bibi Netanyahu right now. She apparently told him that he has not ‘made a single step to advance peace.’ Germany is a key Israeli ally and it’s getting harder and harder for Israel’s far-right government to claim that all its allies are trying to “delegitimize” it. While the U.S. continues, through it’s inaction, to quietly enable the ongoing expansion of settlements, Europe has made clear it will not toe that line.

~With each passing day, more news of the brutality of the Gaddafi regime surfaces. Gaddafi’s hold on power is weakening and the administration has finally stated unequivocally that it’s time for him to step down. The U.S. declared unilateral sanctions on Friday while late last night the UN Security Council imposed sanctions and referred Libya to the International Criminal Court (ICC). Secretary Clinton heads to Geneva tomorrow where she will address a meeting of the UN Human Rights Council.

Here is a map from the BBC that shows who controls which parts of Libya as of yesterday:

~More trouble for President Saleh of Yemen.

~How long before women rise up against the Republican War on Women? The blog Down with Tyranny calls out the DCCC for pandering to Blue Dog Democrats who signed on to defund Planned Parenthood and other women’s health initiatives.

~Unless the lineup has changed, there will be no union representatives on the Sunday Talk Shows. Go figure. Meet the Press will actually has Gov. Walker on- you would think that would necessitate a key figure in Wisconsin involved in the opposition to Walker’s union-busing. If you thought that, you’d be wrong.

~Candidate Obama called whistleblowers “patriots.” President Obama is using the DOJ to wage war against them. Why does President Obama hate Candidate Obama?

~Following up on the incredible Rolling Stone story about the alleged use of PsyOps on American lawmakers, Steve Clemons wants to know if General Caldwell used it on the President of the U.S. or any key members of his foreign policy team. Apparently, the WH press corp and the other members of the MSM and pundit class can’t be bothered with such trivialities.

~In case you missed it, the Israelis and Palestinians actually agreed on something! And to their credit, Israel allowed three hundred Palestinians to cross from Libya to the West Bank.

~Open season on the FLOTUS? Is it me or is this an obsession of the right? Whether one likes Michelle Obama or not, fighting childhood obesity, promoting organic gardening and championing the rights of military families is hardly uber-radical stuff. Was Barbara Bush constantly criticized by Democrats? Because I don’t remember that. Is this even a smart move by the GOP, at least in terms of independent voters?

~Hey you guys, remember when candidate Obama said this?: “And understand this: If American workers are being denied their right to organize and collectively bargain when I’m in the White House, I’ll put on a put on a comfortable pair of shoes myself. I’ll walk on that picket line with you as president of the United States.” Hahahahaha! April Fool’s! Get it? He was just kidding. Here’s Cenk Uygur of MSNBC ripping into Obama for his pathetic non-support of unions. Clearly the strategy is “well, the unions will vote for us no matter what we do so we can throw them under the bus and make nice with big business.”

~Think Progress lists the top 10 worst aspects of the Wisconsin GOP that you’ve never heard of.

~MoDo talks car dashboards in today’s NYT (?)

~The Obama admin. meets with lobbyists on a property next to the White House known as Jackson Place, possibly in order to keep the meetings out of the Secret Service logs and thus hidden from the public. Candidate Obama believed in transparency. President Obama believes in talking about transparency while creating exceptions, excuses and tricks. Why does President Obama hate Candidate Obama?

~More nuclear setbacks for Iran. Boy, they are sure having some bad luck!

~It’s about time- The Southern Poverty Law Center has labeled Pamela Geller’s group ‘Stop the Islamization of America’ a hate group. Geller is a total bottom-feeder whose conspiracy theories make Glenn Beck look mentally sound. Her latest tin-foil hat claim? CPAC (Conservative Political Action Conference )was infiltrated by the Muslim Brotherhood.

~I’m with John Aravosis on this one- calling the appointment of an openly gay man to fill the position of White House Social Secretary “historic” is perhaps setting the bar a wee bit too low. Chief of Staff, Supreme Court nominee or Secretary of State? Yeah, historic. But Social Secretary? Sorry, I’m just not willing to give them too much credit for this one. Yes, Obama has appointed several openly gay officials, the most important (status-wise) of which is John Berry as director of the Office of Personnel Management. But still, can anyone really claim that even within a supposedly liberal Democratic administration, being gay doesn’t disqualify someone from Cabinet posts or other super-high profile positons?

~Calls for protests against the Assad regime in Syria have cropped up on Facebook.

~While ordinary hardworking Americans are being asked to sacrifice on the altar of austerity measures, the largest corporations (Bank of America, Boeing, Citigroup, General Electric pay ZERO in federal income tax despite huge taxpayer subsidies. When Americans get financial help or subsidies it’s called welfare but when huge corporations that pay out hundreds of millions in executive bonuses do it it’s called Business As Usual.

The End.

[cross-posted over at Secretary Clinton Blog]

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Egyptian Revolution Inspired by Liberalism

“He gave me a lesson in democracy and said: ‘We see the democracy the United States spearheaded in Iran and with Hamas, in Gaza, and that’s the fate of the Middle East,’” Ben-Eliezer said. “‘They may be talking about democracy but they don’t know what they’re talking about and the result will be extremism and radical Islam,’” he quoted Mubarak as saying. — Mubarak slammed U.S. in phone call with Israeli MK before resignation

Conservatism didn’t inspire the Egyptian people, it was liberalism.

Control is the central tenet of conservatism. That’s what the Egyptian people were fighting against, the control of the regime in all facets of their lives.

Control is also what 20th century leaders and thinkers desperately try to hold on to in the wake of a multi-platform media explosion, which obliterates the notion you can control anything anymore.

What Mubarak warns against may happen, but eventually liberalism will win there too, even if in the confines of a religious society, a conservative construct forwarded from ancient times.

Algeria is shutting down the internet and Facebook as protests mount.

Freedom cannot be stopped. It can only be delayed.

Liberalism is what broke out in Iran during the Green uprising.

Liberalism is what kept France from accepting the burqa.

Liberalism is what sparked the uprising in Tunisia. The basic human desire to live life freely is something worth dying for, because without freedom there is no essential life.

Liberalism is what inspired Egyptians to rise up to demand freedom.

In fact, freedom itself is a liberal notion.

Women in the Mideast demanding respect are invoking liberalism, while the conservatives who prop up old rules want to inhibit their freedoms.

Gays fighting to stay alive in Muslim countries are fighting conservatism. In America, they’re fighting for the basic equality of life, which conservatives believe should be denied.

Women in America are fighting to be as free as men.

Conservatives and leading Republicans like Sarah Palin are fighting to stop that basic human right from manifesting against the basic principles of the U.S. Constitution and Bill of Rights.

Conservatives in both political parties have made religion more important than the individual life being lived. Religion itself a conservative notion, which aims to control, unless you get beyond the organized into the self-spiritualized experience, which conservative society mocks.

Wherever liberalism is missing there is angst, anger and unrest.

Liberalism reaches out in support of our fellow man and woman, while conservatism demands up from your own boot straps mentality in a system rigged against the poor.

The Taliban and the Islamic extremists we’re fighting are all conservatives. Pakistan, Afghanistan, Iran, Saudi Arabia, Syria and many other countries are all conservative nations fighting against the freedom of people.

Conservatives, in whatever party they serve, wanted to gain control of Iraq, so they voted for preemptive war.

Conservatives wanted to control Palestinians, so they forced an election that delivered Hamas.

Conservatism is dry, infertile, cruel and deadly. It is about control and order versus freedom.

Liberalism is ripe, generous, infinite and hopeful. It is fundamentally uncontrollable, which is why people fear it. Like freedom itself, it is inexhaustible.

Everywhere in the world where people are rising up on the cry of freedom it’s because of liberalism.

Conservatism is bondage to rules, which in our country is well represented in Strom Thurmond, as well as Trent Lott, who bolted the Democratic Party to eventually form the Republican Party’s Southern wing, because they couldn’t stomach integration that was being heralded by the new liberalism of the ’60s.

Conservatism shuts off, where liberalism opens up.

Imagine if Iran’s mullahs were liberal.

Imagine if PM Netanyahu was a liberal.

Imagine if Democrats who voted for the Iraq war were guided by liberalism instead of 20th century conservative militarism.

When a small group of freshman Republicans voted against several tenets of the Patriot Act recently, they were joining liberals at a point of common ground, bipartisanship meeting organically. Liberals believing that government has no right to infringe on personal privacy without reason, with a few new conservatives agreeing because they think government’s role should be restricted so that it doesn’t impede on the individual.

Could this finally be a place to reboot, a new political beginning?

Then the Republican establishment rose up, including Rush Limbaugh, to say these conservative freshman were misinformed. The Right’s elite stepping in to curtail the freshman’s freedom to vote in favor of the people over government intervention. Their basic reasoning being that there is much to fear in the world, which makes impeding the American citizen’s freedoms worthwhile. Republican conservatism once again robbing people out of fear, which they also utilize on immigration.

“Compassionate conservatism” is finally understood to be the oxymoron it always was.

Pres. Obama is the latest elite politician to err on the side of conservatism over liberalism under his fear and ignorance moored to marketing more than truth. Because without liberalism Barack Obama would not be president. His conservatism evident amidst the Egyptian revolution, because he didn’t trust the Egyptian people’s freedom cry and know instinctively that they were in the right, no matter the outcome.

The Iranian Green uprising teaching a lesson Pres. Obama and his administration didn’t learn. The thirst for freedom will eventually win out.

If Barack Obama trusted liberalism, which he never has, he would have known what to do on Egypt from the start. If Sect. Clinton had trusted liberalism she would never have uttered that Mubarak’s government was “stable.” And V.P. Joe Biden would never have embarrassed himself by stating Mubarak shouldn’t step down or that he wasn’t a dictator. In the Administration’s struggles to get Egypt right the answer was always right in front of them, but they simply couldn’t see it and definitely didn’t trust it. It’s not just their failure, however, it’s the failure of a world coming out of the 20th century where control was policy.

Freedom cannot flourish in the confines of conservatism.

When Ronald Reagan shouted to Mikhail Gorbachev to “tear down this wall,” it was a liberal demand.

When a conservative is crying out for freedom’s justice he’s simply pleading for a release from bondage that conservatism itself has imposed.

There’s no denying it.

Wherever freedom is breaking out, demanded or being defended, liberalism is at its heart.

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Barack Obama Wins the Nobel Prize for Peace

expanded edition cross-posted at Huffington Post

The Nobel Committee announced Friday that the annual peace prize was awarded to Barack Obama, just nine months into his presidency, “for his extraordinary efforts to strengthen international diplomacy and cooperation between peoples.” The award cited in particular Mr. Obama’s effort to reduce the world’s nuclear arsenal. “He has created a new international climate,” the committee said. – In Surprise, Nobel Peace Prize to Obama for Diplomacy

obama_sasha-JeffersonMemorial
Barack Obama with Sasha at
Jefferson Memorial.

Robert Gibbs had the common reaction: “wow.” It is a huge surprise. The White House says Pres. Obama wasn’t even aware he’d been nominated.

The Nobel awarded through an international eye on world events, having nothing to do with U.S. domestic affairs. The Nobel committee looking not just at achievements, which clearly was not the measure here because Pres. Obama has just begun, but something more foundational.

Pres. Obama should thank Dick Cheney and his sidekick George W. Bush, because it’s obvious after this announcement that never has an international community looked to America for a change in direction more than they did in last year’s election. Longing for something beyond fear, the “axis of evil,” preemptive foreign policy, smaller yield nuclear weapons, and that all time Bush-Cheney favorite, “war on terror.”

This is going to put Rush, Sean, Glenn Beck, Bill O’Reilly and the conservative townhall brawlers right off their weekend. Cue up the “Yasser Arafat won it too” brigade, which is exactly what the UK Times did; but considering they’re also the outlet that used our soldiers for their own purposes yesterday I’m not surprised. Ignorance is seldom gracious. Mickey Klaus already saying Pres. Obama should turn it down. This insulting right wing post mild compared to what we’ll hear on wingnut radio. Michael Steele being, well, Michael Steele: ‘What has Pres Obama actually accomplished?’

For Pres. Obama’s outreach to the Muslim community, which is nothing less than historic, especially looking through the prism of Bush-Cheney; when you look at his preliminary preparations for Middle East dialogue; when he took the bold step to demand a freeze in Israeli settlements. Barack Obama foreshadows what could be if partners come forth, even if nothing concrete has manifested. In Afghanistan, his determination to help the Afghans help themselves, but particularly the women of that country rise up.

From Foreign Policy, “Dangerous Prize,” an article revealing the mixed blessing of Obama’s award:

The Nobel Peace Prize’s aims are expressly political. The Nobel committee seeks to change the world through the prize’s very conferral, and, unlike its fellow prizes, the peace prize goes well beyond recognizing past accomplishments. As Francis Sejersted, the chairman of the Norwegian Nobel Committee in the 1990s, once proudly admitted, “The prize … is not only for past achievement. … The committee also takes the possible positive effects of its choices into account [because] … Nobel wanted the prize to have political effects. Awarding a peace prize is, to put it bluntly, a political act.”

It’s a huge honor of hope and promise given to a man who represents the best of America in his rise to the presidency. But with Nobel Prize for Peace also comes expectations that have not yet been met. I just hope it becomes something Pres. Obama utilizes to push harder and farther, with more energy than he is currently expressing. Because there are enough challenges Pres. Obama is facing that we can all hope this will give him new energy to face them all.

The American jury is still out.

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The Pines-Paz ‘Wake Up!’ Clap on Iran

–edited version cross-posted on Huffington Post

The background, as always, is Iran, which will be up front today as world leaders take up the subject of sanctions.

Former presidential candidate Mir Hossein Mousavi, Iran’s main political opposition leader, called Ahmadinejad’s foreign policy “wrong and adventurist” this week but came out against new sanctions, saying he worried that “deprived people” would pay the highest price. “Sanctions would not affect the government but would impose many hardships upon the people, who suffer enough as a result of the calamity of their insane rulers,” Mousavi said in a statement. – Iranian Opposition Warns Against Stricter Sanctions

But it was at the end of the meeting yesterday, after listening to Ophir Pines-Paz speak and answer questions from the group assembled by Daniel Levy at the New America Foundation, where things got interesting. (Big thank you to Daniel and Pines-Paz.) Pines-Paz was asked about Iran: “I hope everyone understands now. … .. We are loud on the issue maybe too loud. …”

Too loud, indeed. But when it comes to “everyone understands now,” well, it seems that it’s Mr. Pines-Paz who doesn’t understand, though he’s clearly not alone.

As the event wound to a close, M.J. Rosenberg, who was sitting a couple of seats away from me came over. Whispering in my ear, he asked if maybe he should say something about the American Left not having the same understanding at all as what Pines-Paz was outlining on Iran’s nuclear capabilities. It was as if M.J. had read my mind, as I was thinking Mr. Pines-Pas had completely missed the political dynamics by assuming that everyone on the left is aligned on Iran’s nuclear capabilities and threat, agreeing with Israel’s assessment.

M.J., getting Daniel’s attention, asked to say a word after Pines-Paz’s closing. Watching the reaction as M.J. said that we’re not at all in agreement over Iran’s nuclear threat, Mr. Pines-Paz’s jaw tightened. It was obvious he wasn’t at all prepared for the dissent. Then it came.

Pines-Paz clapped loudly a couple of times, then strongly and emphatically said, “Wake up!”

The reaction couldn’t have been more defensive or purposefully dismissive. Hearing such reality from M.J. Rosenberg, someone who is as solid on Israeli and Middle East politics as anyone writing today, seemed to shock the guest of honor, who immediately turned his head cutting off any engagement on the subject.

But facts are stubborn things.

From the LA Times:

What is the status of Iran’s nuclear program?

In addition to enriching uranium, a nuclear weapons program includes developing a warhead and building a missile to deliver the weapon. According to Western intelligence agencies, Iran is one to five years away from developing nuclear capability, though it is unclear whether the Islamic Republic has even decided to build a weapon. U.S. intelligence believes that Iran is working on a ballistic missile that could carry a nuclear warhead but that those efforts have slowed. Partly because of that, the United States recently backed out of an agreement for a missile shield in Eastern Europe.

The other issue is that I happen to believe we will not be able to stop Iran’s nuclear ambitions, however far away weapons grade capabilities and weaponizing itself is today and assuming that’s the real and looming threat, which is why Obama’s denuclearization and the UN Security Council voting unanimous on the issue is so critical. Why serious sanctions are being considered. But as SecDef Gates has also said, there are no military options, contrary to what’s being said by those on the right who are already squealing about regime change or a strike and all other manner of nonsense.

But yet, Pines-Paz offered the same right-wing phraseology that defies reality and drives us all into a ditch: “Real economic sanctions can be very effective… The world should leave all options on the table.”

Stronger sanctions could work, but what of the Iranian people?

If you’re feeling the Iraq merry-go-round revving up you are not alone.

Pines-Paz also neglects to understand that even as Israel will always have a special relationship with the U.S., it is a very different moment from when George W. Bush was in office where Iran is concerned.

That clap of Pines-Paz was a bit of political theater, but as for the need to “wake up,” I’d say that applies to Mr. Pines-Paz as much as anyone, especially when it comes to understanding the American Left on Iran. But that likely has something to do with the “existential threat” reality, which isn’t lost on anyone, but isn’t an excuse to make a challenging reality worse through hyperbole.

Fascinating meeting. With it clear that even as the Israeli press eviscerates Pres. Obama, the Israeli people long for him to prove that his hope can manifest into a tangible commodity for the Middle East.

However, hovering over it all remains Iran, with Israelis and some on the American Left holding very different positions, something over which we are no longer willing to stay silent.

–Below are notes taken during the meeting, reporting via Twitter
–spelling corrected from Twitter report–

Pines-P sees “great opportunity” in Mideast bcuz of Obama’s presidency. “People paid w their life for peace. “Obama can make a difference.” (link)

Pines-P: Netanyahu has “the option to choose.” On trilateral: “meeting is not enough.. do something.” (link)

Pines-P: “Netanyahu is not there… We’ve got economic peace. … Quiet times… But we are wasting time.” (link)

MJ Rosenberg: Publicly optimistic about Obama, but now dis-spirited about vacillation. Ori Nir: “Netanyahu won. Israelis don’t care.” (link)

Pines-P: On settlements, “It was there…. but it blew away. … Left as an open issue for so long…” Israelis care, “they’ve lost hope.” (link)

“Not only a game of peace; security and peace,” says Pinez-P. (link)

(TM NOTE: The following refers to the Israeli press) Pines-P: “What happened to Obama in Israel is unbelievable; they’re trying to ruin him… It’s not nothing.” (link)

Re Syria: “Army is very positive.” Problem not w security operations, it’s about the politics, their relationship w Iran. (link)

On Labor’s road map back: See Germany. No leadership. Joining right-wing gov. No alternative. – Pinez-Paz (link)

Goldstone report: “Report doesn’t reflect real situation….It was a report against Israel….” But “you don’t boycott a UN committee…” (link)

Pines-Paz on Iran: “I hope everyone understands now. ..We are loud on that issue, maybe too loud.” Israel can defend herself. Saudis worried. (link)

“Real economic sanctions can be very effective.” But “the world should leave all options on the table.”-Pines-Paz (link)

MJ Rosenberg whispered, asking me if he should say American Left doesn’t agree that Iran is nuke threat. Yes, I said. He did. Post soon… (link)



UPDATE: Juan Cole adds more facts in Top Things you Think You Know about Iran that are not True. Someone should send it to Mr. Pines-Paz.

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What’s Up with All the Bad Syria Reviews?

–updated below–

Part of it begins with the Syria – Iraq squabble.

Syrian President Bashar Assad on Monday dismissed Iraqi accusations that his country has been used as a launching pad for violence in Iraq, calling the allegations “immoral” and politically motivated. Iraq and Syria are entangled in a diplomatic dispute over demands that Damascus extradite two suspects wanted in recent suicide attacks on government ministries in Baghdad that killed about 100 people. The tension led both countries to recall their ambassadors. … – JPost: Assad denies Syria is launch pad for Iraq attacks

Marc Lynch runs it down, as analysis cascades from all quarters that Obama’s Syria policy is supposedly failing, citing the sources currently opining as proof that it’s actually not.

… This all suggests, of course, that perhaps something is going right with Obama’s outreach to Syria. What might it be?

First, the bill of indictment. The argument for failure rests primarily on Iraqi accusations of Syrian responsibility for last month’s horrific bombings in Baghdad which have thrown a deep chill onto Syrian-Iraqi relations. It also includes the continuing presence of Islamist groups such as Hamas and Islamic Jihad in Damascus, the continuing stalemate in Lebanan’s efforts to form a government, and Bashar al-Asad’s visit to Tehran.

Most of these are just silly. If visiting Tehran is a red line, Washington will need to have some long talks with Nuri al-Maliki, Jalal Talabani, and virtually every other Iraqi politician. … [...]

The points Lynch makes about Hezbollah and Hamas are particularly important to the discussion, especially since there is never any nuance in the American coverage of either of these groups.

Elliott Abrams, of the Bush era NSC, reminds us today just how bad the Bush-Cheney policies on the Middle East were. While using the right’s favorite trip wire word “appeasement” on Obama. But my favorite line is this one: Syria is an excellent test case of the new Obama approach to the Arab world and to dictatorships that the Bush administration tried to isolate. The new policy is failing. The Bush administration’s effort at isolating bad characters did absolutely nothing for our foreign policy, getting nothing to show for it. Abrams argument on Bush’s “toughness” is positively laughable considering what we didn’t gain, also known as time we don’t have squandered, as the net result.

First, Bush’s policy was far too soft. While the Bush administration used some trade and financial pressure against the Asad regime, it did not take the direct action against terrorists and terrorist facilities there that might have made the regime back away. Jihadis flowed into the Damascus airport, through training camps, and across the border into Iraq, to murder Coalition forces and civilians–but the United States never threatened or imposed the kind of punishment our military, across the border in Iraq in full strength, might have wielded.

Another piece like Abrams’s appears in Foreign Policy.

But buried at the end of Lynch’s piece a familiar point emerges.

The sudden rush of anti-Syrian commentary by hawkish essayists and Israeli sources actually suggests that something may be afoot which they don’t want to see. What might that be?

Abrams & the Bush-Cheney crew do not want engagement with Syria. So, to forward Obama failure in the Middle East where Syria is concerned furthers their own ideological fetish that diplomacy means never having to engage with bad guys or those people who make negotiations complicated (to include Iran). Because engagement with these countries is something their neocon ideology doesn’t accept or have room to consider. You isolate these countries and the characters who run them, regardless that it never gets you anywhere to do so or changes the dynamic by doing the same failed strategy year after year.

Obama’s supposed Syria policy being called a failure is just another form of preemption. It’s what the right always does when they see or sense something brewing they don’t like.

UPDATE (9.2.09)
: Marc Lynch adds more analysis today, confirming what I’ve been thinking along these lines as well. It all gets down to Middle East peace, though you can’t ignore Maliki’s internal problems either. Lynch:

The most common regional politics argument is that Iran wanted to prevent Syria from reconciling with the U.S. and making peace with Israel, and thus pushed the Iraqi government to finger the Syrians (regardless of who was actually responsible). The columnist Ghassan al-Imam, for instance, suggests that Iran was sending a warning signal at Syria, with the prospect of US-Syrian reconciliation alarming Tehran. This analysis (which tracks a number of others I’ve seen over the last few days) suggests that the Obama outreach to Syria was actually generating some real concern among those most affected (and thus directly contradicts the Abrams thesis that such outreach has failed).

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After Cairo and Iran: Next Steps for US Diplomacy in the Middle East

Israel Policy Forum (IPF) has put out an analysis of what comes next in the Middle East through U.S. diplomacy. A conference call followed, with my notes offered below. The paper is here, as is the executive summary, giving recommendations to the Obama administration on Middle East policy and the way forward towards equilibrium.

    After Cairo and Iran: Next Steps for US Diplomacy in the Middle East

    : Among the many issues and recommendations to the Obama administration contained in the policy paper, the key ones are:

  • Continue engagement with Iran and the President’s initial policy favoring dialogue, but do not do so in as outward and public a manner as was anticipated before the elections there, with initial contacts preferably being private and secret. (There is a dissent on this recommendation).
  • Reassess the policy of engagement with Iran to take into account the possibility of the failure of dialogue.
  • Move ahead to actual Israeli-Palestinian negotiations as soon as possible, dealing quickly with preliminary matters such as settlements and incitement.
  • Consider the role of Hamas and the current impasse over Gaza.
  • Sponsor Track Two discussions between Arabs and Israelis on the Arab Peace Initiative and on specific issues in dispute such as Jerusalem, refugees, etc.
  • Guide the parties to move directly from phase one of the roadmap to phase three – convening an international conference and moving to final status negotiations. Skip phase two, the negotiation of a provisional state, because it is a controversial and time-consuming step that will block rather than promote further progress.
  • Pursue the Syrian-Israeli channel simultaneously with Israeli negotiations with the Palestinians. Encourage continued Turkish sponsorship, but become involved with support and backing.
  • Remain involved in the politics and stabilization of Iraq even as we continue to withdraw. Failure to pay sufficient attention will mean a greater chance of deterioration there, will weaken the entire US Middle East policy, and complicate the new approach to Iran.
  • North Korea has important Middle East ramifications; if it continues to pursue its nuclear program, it can cause serious problems in the region through arms sales and becoming a model for those like Iran who seek nuclear weapons of their own.

Notes from the conference call today are below, understanding that this was a conversation, sometimes hard to discern speaker, but the substance of what was said, pros and cons are represented.

Ambassador Samuel W. Lewis, former US Ambassador to Israel:

“Back channel and second tier” diplomacy will be utilized going forward. “Finesse part of the road map” with regard to “provisional borders.”

Setting aside Jerusalem issue, as the report sets forward. (Not ignoring it, however.)

Ambassador Edward S. Walker, Jr., former Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs; former US Ambassador to Israel, Egypt and the United Arab Emirates:

Deep concerns of the impact of how we’re approaching Iran. The regime behaving much “like the Shah,” moving in the direction “that serves the security forces.” They’re not going to open up anything that could threaten them, which includes opening up to the U.S. “I don’t see any near-term change.”

The other problem re: “secret negotiations” is that we don’t know who those players are and may end up talking to people who have no influence. “Easy to talk to political dissenters,” which doesn’t mean we’ll be talking to anyone that “actually make a difference.”

“I kind of like the way Secretary Clinton put it,” the door is open, but not forever. “Open door at this point will only reinforce the authorities,” which is the opposite of what we stand for.

_______________Question & Discussion Portion______________

“The Forward” got an answer on Arab involvement: “Administration is exactly right.” Pointed to the op-ed by Shaikh Salman bin Hamad al-Khalifa, Crown Prince of Bahrain, in Washington Post. Hold out a different image re: relationship between Israel and other Arab nations. From the op-ed:

Our biggest mistake has been to assume that you can simply switch peace on like a light bulb. The reality is that peace is a process, contingent on a good idea but also requiring a great deal of campaigning — patiently and repeatedly targeting all relevant parties. This is where we as Arabs have not done enough to communicate directly with the people of Israel.

.. .. Essentially, we have not done a good enough job demonstrating to Israelis how our initiative can form part of a peace between equals in a troubled land holy to three great faiths. Others have been less reticent, recognizing that our success would threaten their vested interest in keeping Palestinians and Israelis at each other’s throats. They want victims to stay victims so they can be manipulated as proxies in a wider game for power. The rest of us — the overwhelming majority — have the opposite interest.

It is in our interest to speak up now for two reasons.

Next question, What about concrete agenda?; Netanyahu talks about a “state” but his description is devoid of attributes that make it a real “state”: “Netanyahu is not carved in stone.” He makes compromises at times that “people didn’t believe were possible.” Next, “reaching a consensus that a conference is a good idea. … No, you don’t need a specific agenda going in.” The agenda is the understanding that a two-state solution is the goal. Point about Jerusalem, setting the issue aside (not forgetting it), is important.

Reminded today of Clinton’s interaction with Arafat. Even if Arafat had been ready to deal, he couldn’t have made it because Barak was about to lose his government, with Clinton leaving office. More down side by accepting it when someone can’t deliver. “Not a viable way of making peace.”

The Jewish Week asked about “long term truce with Hamas” and “what to do with Hamas”: The paper doesn’t say much about Hamas, because we don’t know what to do with it. “It’s a huge road block.” For the first time, Obama in Cairo implied that Hamas has a “legitimate constituency.” Over the last couple of years there have been several “unofficial” people talking to Hamas. There is a suggestion that Hamas wants to be included, though meeting demands and firm conditions aren’t agreed to, but they are talking about them. It’s “a gradual process” of Hamas taking on more on its shoulder. Meanwhile, Abbas is meeting in Cairo re: unity gov., which Israel & the US are opposed to (until recently). Abbas is the “legitimate negotiator,” as simultaneously, “secret,” “second track” conversations aren’t also taking place through “back channels.” The Hamas issue may not be as “black and white.” Israel “behavior and performance also count.” Hamas is losing support, Abbas is gaining.

… .. ..

“The Syrians are ripe for a deal,” making sure “we play our side of the hand,” with Netanyahu needing to deliver a “much more complete withdrawal.”

Hamas isn’t “a natural ally of the Iranians or the Syrians,” as far as Amb. Lewis is concerned.

“Syrians prefer to walk with water on both soldiers,” so they won’t cut off the relationship with Iran, says Walker, with the relationship between Syria and Iran important.

“Rethink the Middle East,” a new group, last, asking whether “the road map” was a viable framework after the failings: “Important to have markers… not to turn your back on what’s come before.” It’s “not immutable,” but shouldn’t be ignored. Walker once again reiterates his opinion that “it’s dead,” while also stating it’s being reconsidered again now. “Road map” easier than starting over, “ignore it when you need to,” Lewis finished. “Never occurred to me we’d be talking about these issues so many years later,” said Walker, having come into the foreign service in 1969.

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Syria’s al-Assad Moves Against ‘Honor Killings’

On this Independence Day weekend, we here at TM.com acknowledge the decree of President Bashar al-Assad as a small step forward for women in the Middle East.

Syria has scrapped a law limiting the length of sentences handed down to men convicted of killing female relatives they suspect of having illicit sex.

Women’s groups had long demanded that Article 548 be scrapped, arguing it decriminalised “honour” killings.

Much more is required, starting with a ban and severe punishment for “honor killings,” but we have to start somewhere. Acknowledging movement serves a greater purpose. Women of the world are watching.

The subject also gives me another reason to tout the video of a film about an Iranian woman who represents inconvenient wives who, in some parts of the world, have no independence at all.

As for al-Assad’s invitation to Obama to visit Syria, I would like to see the first shuttle move made by Secretary Clinton. She could acknowledge al-Assad’s decree, while paving the way for a larger dialogue. Long past time we engaged the Syrians.

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