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Taylor Marsh has been writing on line since 1996, with the archives provided here a representation of that work.

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China and Russia Block U.N. Action on Syria

Thirty years after his father massacred tens of thousands of innocent Syrian men, women, and children in Hama, Bashar al-Assad has demonstrated a similar disdain for human life and dignity. [...] Every government has the responsibility to protect its citizens, and any government that brutalizes and massacres its people does not deserve to govern. The Syrian regime’s policy of maintaining power by terrorizing its people only indicates its inherent weakness and inevitable collapse. Assad has no right to lead Syria, and has lost all legitimacy with his people and the international community… – Pres. Obama

Diplomatically, it was Secy. Clinton versus Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov, giving dueling public speeches that came before the U.N. vote delivering a double veto. From Clinton at the Munich Security Summit:

Here in Munich, I have had productive discussions with a number of my counterparts concerning a list of critical issues. One that kept coming up is the ongoing violence in Syria. As a bankrupt regime clings to power by shelling its own people in their homes, we have seen a living nightmare play out in the city of Homs. It’s a nightmare that has been repeated across Syria over these past many months. Almost 30 days – almost 30 years to the day after the infamous Hama massacre, the international community must send Assad a clear message: By repeating the horrors of Syria’s past, you have lost your place in Syria’s future.

From the New York Times we get the outcome:

A United Nations Security Council effort to end the violence in Syria collapsed in acrimony with a double veto by Russia and China on Saturday, hours after the Syrian military attacked the city of Homs in what opposition leaders described as the deadliest government assault in the nearly 11-month uprising.

The veto and the mounting violence underlined the dynamics shaping what is proving to be the Arab world’s bloodiest revolt: diplomatic stalemate and failure as Syria plunges deeper into what many are already calling a civil war. Diplomats have lamented their lack of options in pressuring the Syrian government, and even some Syrian dissidents worry about what the growing confrontation will mean for a country reeling from bloodshed and hardship.

According to Reuters, the latest death toll was 217 people.

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Leaked Syrian Report at Foreign Policy

“What I saw was a humanitarian disaster. The regime is not just committing one war crime, but a series of crimes against its people,” said Malek. “The snipers are everywhere shooting at civilians. People are being kidnapped. Prisoners are being tortured and none were released.” – report by Column Lynch

After calling for President Bashar al-Assad to step down, which was ignored, the Arab League also called off its mission to monitor the carnage inside Syria this past Saturday. Considering they reportedly didn’t have enough armored vehicles and too few bullet-proof vests, with the details from Turtle Bay’s Column Lynch about the Chinese passing the walkie-talkies, it would be laughable if the situation hadn’t been so deadly.

Gen. Mohamed Ahmed Moustafa Al-Dabbi was in charge of the mission, which is part of the problem. Lynch has a good rundown on the general:

The mission’s international standing was also diminished by the selection of its monitoring chief — General Al-Dabbi, a close advisor of Sudanese President Omar al-Bashir, who is wanted for war crimes by the International Criminal Court. Al-Dabbi also served as a top military officer in Darfur, Sudan, at a time when the government was organizing local militia, known as the Janjaweed, that were involved in mass killings of civilians in the region. An Algerian member of the Arab team, Anwar Malek, resigned in protest, telling Al Jazeera that the mission was a “farce.”

The leaked report is available over at Lynch’s Turtle Bay. The Europeans are unimpressed by it, while the Russians and the Security Council are in it over the bloodletting in Syria. One thing is clear after reading the report and that is the Syrian government seems to have had no intention of allowing it to succeed. From Lynch:

On Jan. 18, Arab League Secretary General Nabil Elaraby ordered the suspension of the organization’s observer mission, its first major experiment in human rights monitoring. He claimed that the escalation of violence had undercut its ability to do its job.

But a confidential account of the organization’s mission, signed by the monitor’s controversial chief and obtained by Turtle Bay, shows that the Arab monitors were hobbled from the beginning by a shortage of equipment — and by what Al-Dabbi describes as a ferocious Syrian media disinformation campaign against the monitors and him personally. “The credibility of the mission has been undermined in the minds of Arab and foreign viewers,” he wrote.

[...] “The mission…sensed the acute stress, injustice and oppression endured [by] Syrian citizens,” Al-Dabbi wrote. “Yet they are convinced that the Syrian crisis must be resolved peacefully, in the Arab context, and not internationalized so that they can live in peace securely, and achieve the desired reforms and changes.” That said, he is surprisingly candid and critical of the observer mission’s ability to perform well the task required of them.

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Gingrich: I won’t cheat anymore, promise.

Oh, that Newt. After two strikes, he’s ready to cross his heart and hope to win Iowa that he won’t ever cheat again.

From Burns & Haberman:

To Bob Vander Plaats and the Executive Board of The FAMiLY LEADER:

I appreciate the opportunity to affirm my strong support of the mission of the FAMiLY LEADER by solemnly vowing to defend and strengthen the family through the following actions I would take as President of the United States.

Defending Marriage. As President, I will vigorously enforce the Defense of Marriage Act, which was enacted under my leadership as Speaker of the House, and ensure compliance with its provisions, especially in the military. I will also aggressively defend the constitutionality of DOMA in federal and state courts. I will support sending a federal constitutional amendment defining marriage as the union of one man and one woman to the states for ratification. I will also oppose any judicial, bureaucratic, or legislative effort to define marriage in any manner other than as between one man and one woman. I will support all efforts to reform promptly any uneconomic or anti-marriage aspects of welfare and tax policy. I also pledge to uphold the institution of marriage through personal fidelity to my spouse and respect for the marital bonds of others.

I know all Americans who don’t have a job are relieved to discover the serial womanizer has given it all up for Callista.

This is more important than Newt’s destructive neoconservative fetish, as well as all the many ways he’s flip flopped on foreign policy issues. A couple of examples from the link:

PUTIN’S RUSSIA

“Putin really is a generation beyond the first reformers of the post-Soviet era. He understands that the future of Russia is inside some kind of capitalist system. He understands that Russia is not going to be a global competitor. Now, he’s more authoritarian than I might like. But again, this is a country in dramatic transition. And when you look back 12 or 13 years, even his authoritarianism is remarkable, more open as a society than anything one could have dreamed as late as 1987 or 1988. So I think there you’re likely to see an emerging continuing American-Russian friendship.” – Feb. 28, 2002

“Putin represents a dictatorial approach that’s very violent, it was violent in the Chechnyan situation, it is violent in, for example, stealing investment money back from oil companies in the Soviet Union — Russia — the former Soviet Union. Putin was a KGB agent and he has a lot of KGB behaviors. They went out of their way in the last week to take on a small neighbor and crush that neighbor militarily. It’s a signal that he intends to assert authority around the periphery of Russia. – Aug. 16, 2008

JONATHAN POLLARD

“I think it would be a tremendous mistake for the United States to start putting traitors on the negotiating table as a pawn, and I hope the administration will now say they will not, under any circumstance, release Pollard,” – Oct. 24, 1998

“I am prepared to say my bias is towards clemency, and I would like to review it. He’s been in [jail] a very long time. But we are pretty tough about people spying on the United States. And I also have a study under way to compare his sentence with comparable people who have been sentenced for very long sentences for comparable deeds.” – Dec. 7, 2011

LIBYA

“Exercise a no-fly zone this evening, communicate to the Libyan military that Qaddafi was gone and that the sooner they switch sides, the more like they were to survive, [and provide] help to the rebels to replace him…. This is a moment to get rid of him. Do it. Get it over with.” – March 7, 2011

“I would not have intervened. I think there were a lot of other ways to affect Qaddafi. I think there are a lot of other allies in the region we could have worked with. I would not have used American and European forces.” – March 23, 2011

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Senators Merkeley & Udall: ‘Let’s Not Linger in Afghanistan’

As a liberal who supported Pres. Obama’s Afghanistan plan when he first began it, I simply do not understand how anyone can support it today, at least not when judging what’s in U.S. interests.

From their New York Times op-ed today:

Nineteen months ago the president announced the surge strategy in hopes of stabilizing Afghanistan and strengthening its military and police forces. Today, despite vast investment in training and equipping Afghan forces, the country’s deep-seated instability, rampant corruption and, in some cases, compromised loyalties endure. Extending our commitment of combat troops will not remedy that situation.

Sometimes our national security warrants extreme sacrifices, and our troops are prepared to make them when asked. In this case, however, there is little reason to believe that the continuing commitment of tens of thousands of troops on a sprawling nation-building mission in Afghanistan will make America safer.

National security experts, including the former C.I.A. director Leon E. Panetta, have noted that Al Qaeda’s presence in Afghanistan has been greatly diminished. Today there are probably fewer than 100 low-level Qaeda operatives in Afghanistan. Al Qaeda has a much larger presence in a number of other nations.

Our focus shouldn’t be establishing new institutions in Afghanistan, but concentrating on terrorist organizations with global reach. And our military and intelligence organizations have proved repeatedly that they can take the fight to the terrorists without a huge military footprint.

It’s easy to understand why our troops being in Afghanistan is good for the Afghans, because Pres. Karzai simply isn’t doing his job and there’s no evidence he will. Women continue to suffer in Afghanistan, an issue to which Karzai is indifferent, even as real progress has been made, because the women and girls had only one way to go and that’s up.

In the past, I’ve argued with people over staying in Afghanistan, but after herculean efforts on the part of our troops, it’s simply not worth one more life, not one. I feel the same way about Iraq, too, but I felt that way from the beginning the Bush-Cheney misadventure that distracted the U.S. from getting bin Laden.

It’s also not as if we won’t continue to be involved in Afghanistan, because they’re sitting next to Pakistan in an important region. This begs the question of when regional powers, including India, China and Russia, will start doing their part? The U.S. is leaving Afghanistan, so they’d better step up.

Senators Merkeley and Udall are correct, Pres. Obama should change course, but he won’t because he’s prosecuting this war like a Republican, which is one reason why Afghanistan is starting to look like a bigger disaster than ever, because the same stubbornness that kept Bush in Iraq is keeping Obama from drawing down faster in Afghanistan.

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LA Times Report: 10,000 Force Drawdown in Afghanistan this Year

**UPDATED**

President Obama plans to announce a troop reduction in Afghanistan that Pentagon and other administration officials say is expected to bring home about 10,000 personnel by the end of the year. – Obama expected to announce major Afghan drawdown

Visit msnbc.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy

Zbigniew Brzezinski has a low bar for Pres. Obama. Sending a message for a “token of confidence” that things are moving in the right direction and that we’re not “stuck.” Ignoring Afghanistan after troops have left is the biggest mistake the U.S. has made over the last two decades, with Brzezinski naming former Pres. Clinton as having ignored Afghanistan. Staying engaged is his bottom line, which must include regional involvement from Pakistan, India, China and Russia.

But if Obama’s Wednesday speech doesn’t explain how the drawdown supports a political strategy for ending the war, it’ll mean one thing: he has no idea how to get out of Afghanistan. – Spencer Ackerman

Reports today reveal Pres. Obama will begin to drawdown the “surge” portion of his administration’s escalation of 30,000 troops this year, beginning with 10,000, with the remaining 20,000 to come home by 2012. It leaves 70,000 U.S. forces inside Afghanistan.

CNN is reporting this headline: Obama to announce plan to pull 30,000 troops out of Afghanistan.

However, 10,000 would be the starting number, which isn’t what the military wanted, as they were hoping for token troop withdrawal in the neighborhood of 3,000-4,000, which is politically unworkable in today’s climate.

Pres. Obama initially pledged to clean up George W. Bush’s mess in Afghanistan, after he dropped the ball to preemptively invade Iraq. However, Obama’s mission creep has been consistent, going into nation building from the start.

Part of that is due to his stalwart partner Sec. Clinton who believes strongly in our mission inside Afghanistan, particularly where Afghan society is concerned, particularly women’s roles.

I was on board until Stanley McChrystal’s implosion, which made the reality very stark, as it takes looking into the blackest abyss to cause a general to kill his own career.

Pres. Obama is under intense pressure from the Pentagon, who is no doubt telling him that he could be the proud owner of a failure on his watch if the withdrawal is too steep. It’s what the military always tells civilian leadeship, which has the same reaction every time.

I want to hear the Republicans make a different argument, the one begun by Ron Paul. Specifically, I want to hear Jon Huntsman make the case for complete Afghanistan withdrawal over the next 3-5 years. People forget that’s how long these things take.

If the presidential race could be about U.S. lack of foreign policy discipline and misadventurism it would actually be worth the space it will take up. Because there is no more important fiscal challenge to tackle than U.S. indiscriminate and unbridled spending in wars that have no end.

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The Japan Syndrome

**UPDATED**

IWAKI, Japan AP (Mar 12, 10:42 PM EST) — A partial meltdown was likely under way at a second nuclear reactor, a top Japanese official said Sunday, as authorities frantically tried to prevent a similar threat from nearby unit following a catastrophic earthquake and tsunami. Some 170,000 people have been ordered to evacuate the area covering a radius of 12 miles (20 kilometers) around the plant in Fukushima near Iwaki.



There are 55 nuclear reactors inside Japan. Reuters reports no repeat of Chernobyl disaster in Japan.

However, under a heading of “red alert,” Stratfor is reporting a nuclear meltdown.

At this point, events in Japan bear many similarities to the 1986 Chernobyl disaster. Reports indicate that up to 1.5 meters (4.9 feet) of the reactor fuel was exposed. The reactor fuel appears to have at least partially melted, and the subsequent explosion has shattered the walls and roof of the containment vessel — and likely the remaining useful parts of the control and coolant systems.

We simply do not know the full story yet, because it’s still playing out.

I was living in New York City when the Three Mile Island catastrophe occurred. It was harrowing to hear the news reports, which resulted in demonstrations and a public outcry. It’s a good time to remember it now.

Pres. Clinton said that he remains skeptical about nuclear power (at the same time making inappropriate and wrong statements about oil drilling). Plants are expensive to build and also take a long time. Clinton didn’t address the saftey issue, which we’re seeing play out in Japan.

From Tokyo, via the New York Times:

An explosion at a crippled nuclear power plant in northern Japan on Saturday blew the roof off one building and caused a radiation leak of unspecified proportions, escalating the emergency confronting Japan’s government a day after an earthquake and tsunami devastated parts of the country’s northeastern coast.

Japanese television showed a cloud of white-gray smoke from the explosion billowing up from a stricken reactor at the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Station Saturday afternoon, and officials said leaks of radiation from the plant prompted them to expand the evacuation area around the facility to a 12-mile radius.

We still don’t have a solution for nuclear waste either. The Right doesn’t care, with Pres. Obama being too nonchalant about nuclear energy and a friend to that industry for some time. Nevadans came very close to having to live with the unknowns of Yucca Mountain, because ignoramuses in Congress wanted a dumping site. That many were content to have trucks filled with contaminated waste drive through poorer areas to get it to Nevada revealed the bankruptcy of the safety plan, with Yucca itself a disaster waiting to happen, which thankfully didn’t.

The BBC is also reporting a nuclear leak.

There are many aspects to making nuclear power safe, but there is also the argument that in the 21st century renewable energy and environmental sound energy policy is a better way to go, because a nuclear disaster is something from which there is no full recovery.


Graphic from the BBC.

UPDATE (11:25 EST): A site called World Nuclear News has some interesting details what’s happened with Japan’s nuclear facilities that were damaged in the earthquake.

Originally posted at 12 pm EST.

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WikiLeaks Further Proves 2010 Middle East Story Is Sad

President Obama will not be thwarted on the START Treaty by Republicans, regardless of Sen. Lindsay Graham’s caterwauling. Today’s Republicans bear no resemblance of their hero Ronald Reagan, as Sarah Palin’s recent Iran op-ed proves. Reagan was a leader on nuclear zero, but today would be run out of his own party. Playing politics with national security is one thing the Right does best, but which the media never seems to call them on. While looking across to Pres. Obama’s foreign policy plate, even beyond the depressing reality in Afghanistan he won’t acknowledge, as well as the Special Operations ground raids in Pakistan, the reality is far more worrisome. Nowhere more so than in the Middle East.

After Pres. Obama’s adamant policy against further Israeli settlements being built, a WikiLeaks cable now points to a “secret accord” for “natural growth” to be allowed. No one who follows the Middle East will be surprised, but it does once again reveal the importance of transparency. When your president and his administration is preening one policy with cables pointing to something else, it goes against what our democratic republic is all about. No wonder PM Netanyahu has ignored Pres. Obama on settlements.

No doubt feeling empowered, Mr. Netanyahu’s very public campaign to free convicted spy Jonathan Jay Pollard puts more pressure on Obama, who soon has to think about his reelection.

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel will officially and publicly appeal to President Obama in the coming days for the release of Jonathan Jay Pollard, the American serving a life term in a North Carolina prison for spying for Israel, Mr. Netanyahu’s office announced Tuesday.

A public request, as opposed to Israel’s discreet efforts in the past, would constitute a new approach in the campaign for Mr. Pollard’s release and an additional twist in a long and painful chapter in Israeli-American relations. …

Last week I wrote about the realities in East Jerusalem after a forum held by Daniel Levy at New American Foundation. His guests were attorney Tali Nir and Hagai El-Ad, both of The Association for Civil Rights in Israel (ACRI), which is Israel’s oldest and preeminent civil and human rights organization. The findings reveal a chilling reality. Children between 8-13 are being arrested. Israeli security guards help Israels versus the Palestinians. There is little health care, plumbing, water, or schools. As for the PLO, they’re not allowed to operate, but don’t exactly make an effort either, many people feeling the “PA has deserted” the people, according to Nir and El-Ad.

Then there was the State Dept.’s nonchalance over the detention of Adeeb Abu Rahma, which you can see in this video, which reveals another weakness in the Obama administration’s policy. The happy ending here is that Abu Rahma finally, at long last been released after 17 months in prison. The State Dept.’s deplorable diplo ducking gives a window into just how important the unveiling of secrets by Wikileaks was, because it reminds us that our government treats its citizens like children while conducting foreign policy that ignores peaceful dissidents. There is simply no good excuse for State or the Obama administration for their handling of this other than Pres. Obama doesn’t want to rile the Right, his new best friends in deal making. After all, what would it look like if the American President was seen being fair to a Gandhi style Palestinian? More importantly, what would it mean to his reelection, which must be protected above doing what’s right,

Now, aid groups sound off against the Israeli government over their difficult reality in Gaza, which sounds very similar to what the Israeli government is doing in East Jerusalem, especially in the thwarting of building schools. Evidently Netanyahu’s government is shockingly clueless as to what breeds terrorism, which can begin with young people with no hope and no future. The Israeli government continuing to be stunningly short-sided.

Instead, aid groups say, Israeli bureaucracy and bottlenecks at border crossings are snarling the delivery of materials to international relief organizations struggling to build much-needed housing, schools and infrastructure projects.

“The United Nations, who have a responsibility to help, we’re the ones that are held up,” John Ging, director of the U.N. Relief and Works Agency’s Gaza operations, said in an interview. “We’re held up from building schools. We’re held up from our other infrastructure projects, from the housing people need. And, yet, for the other parts of society here – be that either those with ulterior agendas or people who just have money – they can get on with it.”

… Securing Israeli approval of projects requires weeks or even months of negotiations and the sign-off of up to six Israeli agencies, according to Gisha, an Israeli nongovernmental group that tracks movement and access problems between Israel and the Gaza Strip.

“Hundreds of hours of staff time and millions of dollars are spent on documenting each nut and bolt – as if we were supervising the transfer of highly specialized weapons, and despite the fact that steel, concrete and gravel enter Gaza quite freely via the tunnels,” said Sari Bashi, Gisha’s executive director. …

… But Ging says his main concern is schools. Israel has approved six out of 100 the agency says it needs to build to accommodate 40,000 eligible children. “Overcrowded classrooms, tens of thousands of children failing academically, all of these things, they have long-term detrimental consequences,” he said. “We don’t have the luxury to deal with that after the peace process.” …

Since demanding the stoppage of settlement building, which has been unmasked by Wikileaks, Pres. Obama has lost all leverage against the self-defeating policies of the Netanyahu government. What began with great promise two years ago with Obama hasn’t amounted to squat.

Long-time activists working for a Palestinian state will never give up, many of them Jews, because they know that demographics are not on Israel’s side. The alternative to moving forward unthinkable.

But whatever Pres. Obama once hoped to do in the Middle East is gone. Democrats respect him, but in the hard boiled land of Middle East politics he’s proven himself very weak, with the midterms rendering him even weaker as the tax scheme deal demonstrated. Going forward it’s the Right who has the might in the Middle East and that’s not good for the Palestinians, which means it’s also bad for Israel.

This essay has been edited and cross-posted at Huffington Post.

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The Difference a President Makes

If John McCain had been elected president instead of Barack Obama, the repeal of DADT would have been headed for veto at his desk. With Pres. Obama, however, it will be signed. It’s things like this that make even the most annoyed voter understand why they voted for Obama, especially the people who don’t pay attention to details. That’s most Americans, in case you were wondering.

It’s also why Pres. Obama had no problem ignoring what former Pres. Bill Clinton did in the 90s, which was to let tax rates for the rich rise, while giving the middle class a tax cut. Instead, Obama gave minority leader Sen. Mitch McConnell and the Republicans a win on taxes, letting the top 2% benefit, while also ignoring Sen. Schumer’s much better plan of taxing $1 million plus, with the President hoping his tax bargain with the Right would seduce more Independent voters, who have walked away from Obama since health care. Meanwhile, the win has emboldened minority leader Mitch McConnell to challenge Pres. Obama on the new START Treaty.

Pres. Obama did all of this with a Democratic majority. Republicans took note.

What Pres. Obama didn’t do in the tax debate was lead. He followed the Republicans, because he won’t stand on a line against ridiculous economic policy, which includes tax cuts for the top 2%, as well as estate tax largesse. A strong Democrat would have demanded an expiration of the top tax cuts, plus pushed for an increase comporable to the Clinton years, then also adopted Schumer’s $1 million plus plan, while making a way for the “99ers” to also get relief. But Pres. Obama is not a strong Democrat.

The leftover anger over Obama’s rightward lurch on the tax deal is very real, but the media is aiding Obama by applauding his “pragmatism,” while falling all over themselves proclaiming it was a smart move for him.

What it wasn’t was strong leadership of the Democratic Party and the policy ideals for which the Left stands. It leaves progressive activists in a very bad position.

The media all ready to proclaim yet again, as Katty Kay did on “The Chris Matthews Show,” that the country a “center-right” nation whether it is or not.

Pres. Obama doesn’t care as long as his compromises and deal making lead to his reelection in ’12, which is now all anything is about.

Democratic die hards, however, have a different challenge, which Independents and the non-political-vote-once-every-four-years voters don’t care about and never consider. Is Barack Obama’s reelection more important than the Democratic Party?

Former Pres. Bill Clinton changed welfare, gave us a derivatives mess, and slapped labor with NAFTA, but today he remains the most gifted political mind of the modern era, because he also made Republicans sweat, humiliated them in a government shutdown and outplayed them when they thought he was a goner. Pres. Obama cannot claim to have cost Republicans anything, because he caved to their economics during a time when he still had a Democratic majority, something Bill Clinton didn’t enjoy. Clinton’s prowess made more evident during the Friday presser where Clinton stole the stage and made Obama look small, though the President helped by excusing himself to go to a Christmas party.

So far, Pres. Obama has passed a flawed, pro insurance health care, Supreme Court bound bill, will sign DADT repeal, and has compromised many things on which Democrats have compaigned, including himself, the last 10 years. If Pres. Obama also changes Social Security for future generations, with Independents likely to hail his “compromise” with Republicans, with a lot of helping from the media, the entire debate set up through Obama’s Deficit Commission and the tax cut scheme compromise, he may get another term, but it will be on Republican terms. We haven’t even begun to talk about the Middle East, where the Right will also prevail, or Afghanistan and other foreign policy issues.

What Obama’s reelection would mean for the Democrat Party if it comes at the cost of not only supporting Bush economics, but also the Right’s view of changes on Social Security and Medicare, is another thing entirely.

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Can the Warmongering Torture Crowd be ‘Christians’?

A White House review of President Obama’s year-old Afghan war strategy concluded that it is “showing progress” against al-Qaeda and in Afghanistan and Pakistan but that “the challenge remains to make our gains durable and sustainable,” according to a summary document released early Thursday. – Washington Post

In the week that the latest Afghanistan war propaganda drops, we had Sen. Jon Kyl taking to a microphone to question Sen. Harry Reid’s respect for Christmas. While 60% of the public say it’s not been worth fighting.

If there was ever any doubt, Sen. Jon Kyl has now proved conclusively he’s a sanctimonious gas bag. If he’s going to be outraged about anything perhaps it should be how the Obama administration is allowing Bradley Manning to be treated. From Glenn Greenwald:

From the beginning of his detention, Manning has been held in intensive solitary confinement. For 23 out of 24 hours every day — for seven straight months and counting — he sits completely alone in his cell. Even inside his cell, his activities are heavily restricted; he’s barred even from exercising and is under constant surveillance to enforce those restrictions. For reasons that appear completely punitive, he’s being denied many of the most basic attributes of civilized imprisonment, including even a pillow or sheets for his bed (he is not and never has been on suicide watch). For the one hour per day when he is freed from this isolation, he is barred from accessing any news or current events programs. Lt. Villiard protested that the conditions are not “like jail movies where someone gets thrown into the hole,” but confirmed that he is in solitary confinement, entirely alone in his cell except for the one hour per day he is taken out.

But this doesn’t matter to Kyl, because Republicans dig extreme punishment. Now so do Democrats, who have also remained silent.

Mr. Kyl’s offensive statement this week wreaks of hypocrisy.

“It is impossible to do all of the things that the majority leader laid out without doing — frankly, without disrespecting the institution and without disrespecting one of the two holiest of holidays for Christians and the families of all of the Senate, not just the senators themselves but all of the staff.”

Who is a better Christian?, Kyl challenges. Considering the policies practiced by the U.S. Senate of both parties, I’d say the Congress falls woefully short. Millionaires and billionaires are getting tax breaks, but nobody is particularly bothered about the poverty rate in this country or that the “99ers” have no way out from a further downward spiral. Nobody in the Senate or White House cared enough to make sure DADT didn’t come down to the last day in 2010 either. Nobody in the Congress has the moral high ground on Christianity, never mind that Congress shouldn’t be worried about anyone’s religion, because it’s none of their fricking business.

However, this drivel coming from a war mongering Republican like Jon Kyl, who would rather risk nuclear disaster than take on the importance of a new Start Treaty, or look at the realities in Afghanistan, from Karzai’s ineptitude and corruption to the signals Gen. McChrystal’s implosion reveals, is really the height of hypocrisy.

As our troops sit on the front lines of Iraq, a war that’s clearly finished, but also Afghanistan, which has been proven in 2010 is no longer simply about al Qaeda, but has turned into a nation building exercise that Gen. McChrystal proved isn’t amounting to much, Sen. Jon Kyl bitching about working at Christmas is nothing short of offensive.

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Wikileaks Diplo Docu Dump



Italy’s Foreign Minister Frattini called the Wikileaks release the “Sept. 11 of world diplomacy.”

Republicans are jumping on the leak, as expected, because transparency scares the bejeezus out of the Right. Rep. Pete Hoekstra using hyperbole to say what allies might ask, “‘Can the United States be trusted? Can the United States keep a secret?’”

Americans have grown accustomed to being kept in a state of permanent stupid on foreign policy. That’s how Iraq happened, but it’s also how dangerous moves in the Middle East towards Iran can be sanctioned through a simple sound bite.

Few news organizations bother to cover the Mideast, which is one reason I hailed Al Jazeera English when it came available in the Beltway area some time ago. Years of covering Israel without any way objectivity, along with Iran, has left Americans with a stilted view of American foreign policy. What’s worse is that the collective American ignorance about other countries and our involvement in their inner workings has given neoconservatives and traditional hawks the playing field, because our foreign policy is always presented as militaristic movements being strong, diplomacy is weak. When you have people like Rep. Eric Cantor making religious based Middle East foreign policy pronouncements, as well as people like Sen. Jon Kyl inventing the Cold War 2.0, circa 21st century, it shows just how vulnerable our foreign policy is to tilts in presidential domestic power, especially when Democrats don’t fight on their own ground.

Unclassified and not marked secret, 251,287 cables were provided to The Times by “an intermediary on the condition of anonymity.” Below are some stand out elements of what was released, with a fascinating look into Saudi King Abdullah’s advice to Pres. Obama equally interesting. However, the first standout element of the documents take us to Israeli and Saudi worries about Iran, but also fuller information about the Iranians long-range missile capacity.

There was little surprising in Mr. Barak’s implicit threat that Israel might attack Iran’s nuclear facilities. As a pressure tactic, Israeli officials have been setting such deadlines, and extending them, for years. But six months later it was an Arab leader, the king of Bahrain, who provides the base for the American Fifth Fleet, telling the Americans that the Iranian nuclear program “must be stopped,” according to another cable. “The danger of letting it go on is greater than the danger of stopping it,” he said.

His plea was shared by many of America’s Arab allies, including the powerful King Abdullah of Saudi Arabia, who according to another cable repeatedly implored Washington to “cut off the head of the snake” while there was still time.

The cables also contain a fresh American intelligence assessment of Iran’s missile program. They reveal for the first time that the United States believes that Iran has obtained advanced missiles from North Korea that could let it strike at Western European capitals and Moscow and help it develop more formidable long-range ballistic missiles.

The Right is making a lot of ruckus about the Saudi comments while pointing fingers at Arabists utilizing the See Even Saudi Arabia Wants To Strike Iran. The Right’s anti Arabist sentiment is what scuttled Chas Freeman’s possible appointment. However, the Shia v. Sunni dynamic has been an amped up challenge ever since Pres. Bush let the neoconservatives run things, which began with the disastrous preemptive attack on Iran that altered the balance of power in the region. With shifts in Lebanon, the Shia state rising has as its most important godfathers George W. Bush and Dick Cheney, intended or not, something that has been forgotten. But the dynamics being used right now to make the case for Iran action aren’t a sudden revelation with these leaks, though that’s what’s being talked about on the Right.

From The Times:

¶ A dangerous standoff with Pakistan over nuclear fuel: Since 2007, the United States has mounted a highly secret effort, so far unsuccessful, to remove from a Pakistani research reactor highly enriched uranium that American officials fear could be diverted for use in an illicit nuclear device. In May 2009, Ambassador Anne W. Patterson reported that Pakistan was refusing to schedule a visit by American technical experts because, as a Pakistani official said, “if the local media got word of the fuel removal, ‘they certainly would portray it as the United States taking Pakistan’s nuclear weapons,’ he argued.”

¶ Thinking about an eventual collapse of North Korea: American and South Korean officials have discussed the prospects for a unified Korea, should the North’s economic troubles and political transition lead the state to implode. The South Koreans even considered commercial inducements to China, according to the American ambassador to Seoul. She told Washington in February that South Korean officials believe that the right business deals would “help salve” China’s “concerns about living with a reunified Korea” that is in a “benign alliance” with the United States.

¶ Bargaining to empty the Guantánamo Bay prison: When American diplomats pressed other countries to resettle detainees, they became reluctant players in a State Department version of “Let’s Make a Deal.” Slovenia was told to take a prisoner if it wanted to meet with President Obama, while the island nation of Kiribati was offered incentives worth millions of dollars to take in Chinese Muslim detainees, cables from diplomats recounted. The Americans, meanwhile, suggested that accepting more prisoners would be “a low-cost way for Belgium to attain prominence in Europe.”

¶ Suspicions of corruption in the Afghan government: When Afghanistan’s vice president visited the United Arab Emirates last year, local authorities working with the Drug Enforcement Administration discovered that he was carrying $52 million in cash. With wry understatement, a cable from the American Embassy in Kabul called the money “a significant amount” that the official, Ahmed Zia Massoud, “was ultimately allowed to keep without revealing the money’s origin or destination.” (Mr. Massoud denies taking any money out of Afghanistan.)

¶ A global computer hacking effort: China’s Politburo directed the intrusion into Google’s computer systems in that country, a Chinese contact told the American Embassy in Beijing in January, one cable reported. The Google hacking was part of a coordinated campaign of computer sabotage carried out by government operatives, private security experts and Internet outlaws recruited by the Chinese government. They have broken into American government computers and those of Western allies, the Dalai Lama and American businesses since 2002, cables said.

¶ Mixed records against terrorism: Saudi donors remain the chief financiers of Sunni militant groups like Al Qaeda, and the tiny Persian Gulf state of Qatar, a generous host to the American military for years, was the “worst in the region” in counterterrorism efforts, according to a State Department cable last December. Qatar’s security service was “hesitant to act against known terrorists out of concern for appearing to be aligned with the U.S. and provoking reprisals,” the cable said.

¶ An intriguing alliance: American diplomats in Rome reported in 2009 on what their Italian contacts described as an extraordinarily close relationship between Vladimir V. Putin, the Russian prime minister, and Silvio Berlusconi, the Italian prime minister and business magnate, including “lavish gifts,” lucrative energy contracts and a “shadowy” Russian-speaking Italian go-between. They wrote that Mr. Berlusconi “appears increasingly to be the mouthpiece of Putin” in Europe. The diplomats also noted that while Mr. Putin enjoyed supremacy over all other public figures in Russia, he was undermined by an unmanageable bureaucracy that often ignored his edicts.

¶ Arms deliveries to militants: Cables describe the United States’ failing struggle to prevent Syria from supplying arms to Hezbollah in Lebanon, which has amassed a huge stockpile since its 2006 war with Israel. One week after President Bashar al-Assad promised a top State Department official that he would not send “new” arms to Hezbollah, the United States complained that it had information that Syria was providing increasingly sophisticated weapons to the group.

¶ Clashes with Europe over human rights: American officials sharply warned Germany in 2007 not to enforce arrest warrants for Central Intelligence Agency officers involved in a bungled operation in which an innocent German citizen with the same name as a suspected militant was mistakenly kidnapped and held for months in Afghanistan. A senior American diplomat told a German official “that our intention was not to threaten Germany, but rather to urge that the German government weigh carefully at every step of the way the implications for relations with the U.S.”

Pres. Obama is up against it politically right now, no doubt about it. His reelection map, with his support in the industrial Midwest wiped out, leaves him vulnerable in ’12, though no one should count him out. When Americans hear the Right saber rattling once again it will correctly make them revisit memories of Bush-Cheney and their disastrous foreign policy. But starting in the New Year the difficulty of Obama’s battle is immense compared to anything he’s ever faced before.

When you read about the leaked documents then think about a Republican in office, the possibilities on what could happen with a reflexive neoconservative in the White House should be a sobering thing to contemplate. If that person is a neophyte on foreign policy, which includes everyone running except Newt Gingrich, the dangers for this country jump exponentially. Just listen to the comments you’re hearing on Fox News, which is foreshadowing of more to come as the 2012 campaign on the Right revs up.

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Too Late, But Maybe Obama Will Hear Them Now

That dynamic, coupled with the GOP’s post-midterm swagger, emboldened leaders to insist that the president reschedule Thursday’s much-anticipated meeting until after Thanksgiving to accommodate their schedule, not his. The first post-election meeting between Obama and congressional leaders, billed by Obama as the fundamental first step in the post-election reconciliation process, will now take place Nov. 30th. – Behind postponed summit: GOP distrust of Obama

Pres. Obama’s position continues to deteriorate. The news about the postponed meeting between Obama and Republicans until after Thanksgiving sent an unmistakable signal. But not only is there GOP “swagger,” the reality is Obama has no leverage, because time and again he’s given ground and weakened his own position without any help from Republicans. However, with the Debt Commission, Republicans are seeing Obama send a message that he may also blink on Social Security. So now it’s open season on Obama’s presidency, because they know he’ll deal on anything.

As for Republicans scuttling the New Start treaty, we’re supposed to buy that because Sen. Jon Kyl isn’t satisfied with Pres. Obama’s sweetened extra $4 billion, plus $100 billion more on modernization of the triad of of weaponry, submarines, bombers and missiles, the Republican senator from Texas is going to make sure the New Start treaty lags into the next Congress? Seriously, the White House cannot have really believed it was about anything other than power. They can’t still be that naive.

From the New York Times earlier today:

Mr. Obama had declared ratification of the New Start treaty his “top priority” in foreign affairs for the lame-duck session of Congress that opened this week. But the chances of winning the two-thirds vote required for passage of the treaty appeared to collapse with the announcement by Jon Kyl of Arizona, the No. 2 Republican in the Senate and the party’s point man on the issue, that the Senate should not vote on it this year.

“When Majority Leader Harry Reid asked me if I thought the treaty could be considered in the lame-duck session, I replied I did not think so given the combination of other work Congress must do and the complex and unresolved issues related to Start and modernization,” Mr. Kyl said in a statement. The senator added that he would continue to negotiate with administration officials for a possible vote next year.

A failure to approve the treaty in the departing Senate could undermine Mr. Obama’s broader campaign to curb nuclear weapons and eventually eliminate them. The treaty, which would trim American and Russian strategic arsenals and restore mutual inspections that lapsed last year, was supposed to be the first, and easiest, step in a long-term effort to bring an end to age of nuclear arms. …

The political atmosphere for quite some time has revealed Pres. Obama as losing control over events, with the midterms rendering him at the weakest point of his presidency, which his trip to Asia emphasized. Top that off with Rep. Eric Cantor’s pledge to Israel that the Right’s majority would “serve as a check on the Administration,” which even though it brought out damage control from Cantor’s office over the vociferous reaction to the Republican’s arrogance and overstepping, didn’t make up for what Republicans next moves, now taking aim at Obama on foreign policy.

They are setting the ground work for the only thing they want to accomplish in the next two years: making Pres. Obama a one-term president.

Unfortunately, Barack Obama set this situation up himself. His naivete in dealing with Republicans has been stunning. Telegraphing compromise before each fight on issue after issue, even sending signals that he’s willing to serve up Social Security, as long as it’s a bipartisan commission that recommends it. It’s been the most disastrous leadership flailing imaginable. Now Republicans think they’ve got him where they want him. Right now they do and there’s been absolutely no evidence that Pres. Obama has the political skill to turn the tables.

A good start would be for Obama to pull in the Democrats to tell them to take a vote only on middle class tax cuts. However, right now there’s only one senator weighing in affirmatively, Jeff Merkley, willing to dare Republicans to vote against it.

“Our nation can’t afford failed trickle-down economic policies that favor the wealthiest among us and leave working families behind. I support an up or down vote on middle-class tax cuts and believe that it would be a huge mistake to repeat the Bush giveaways for millionaires and billionaires.

If Republicans and conservative Dems get their way on Bush tax cuts it will complete the epic collapse of a Democratic majority under Obama’s leadership.

Is there no one in the White House who knows what he or she is doing?

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Not These Guys Again



The fat cats at the big corporations are drooling at the prospect of “Speaker Boehner,” and why not?

The industries giving the most to Boehner: insurance companies, drug manufacturers and Wall Street firms, all of which now face new regulations adopted by the Democratic-controlled Congress. The political action committees and employees of insurance firms, for instance, donated nearly $426,000 to Boehner’s campaign committees through June 30, according to the center’s tally, compared with $118,000 in insurance industry donations to Pelosi’s fundraising accounts. Don Seymour, a Boehner spokesman, said contributors know that Boehner “understands the best way to help create new jobs is to cut spending, stop all the tax hikes and end some of the uncertainty facing job creators.” – USA Today

Karl Rove and Ed Gillespie are right behind them via American Crossroads and Crossroads GPS, accumulating money to dump into races to push the GOTP over the top, especially in close, margin of error races.

American Crossroads GPS is far from the only soft-money organization that has pledged massive spending on conservative candidates. Together with the U.S. Chamber of Commerce ($75 million), Americans for Prosperity ($45 million), the Club for Growth ($24 million at a minimum), the NRA ($20 million), FreedomWorks ($10 million) and a host of less prominent groups, Republicans have been promised an eye-popping $400 million in “independent expenditures” — the FEC’s term for almost-unrestricted political campaign spending that can be impossible to trace back to its sources. – Political Correction

But the story Think Progress broke yesterday about the Chamber of Commerce buy-in against Democrats is frightening. Through a heavier presence in Bahrain, the Chamber plans to accumulate money overseas, then funnel it into the midterm elections, targeting Democratic candidates. The same type of operation is also in play in India, according to the Think Progress investigation, as are “affiliates” in other locales, like Egypt and well beyond. From Think Progress:

The largest attack campaign against Democrats this fall is being waged by the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, a trade association organized as a 501(c)(6) that can raise and spend unlimited funds without ever disclosing any of its donors. The Chamber has promised to spend an unprecedented $75 million to defeat candidates like Jack Conway, Sen. Barbara Boxer (D-CA), Jerry Brown, Rep. Joe Sestak (D-PA), and Rep. Tom Perriello (D-VA). As of Sept. 15th, the Chamber had aired more than 8,000 ads on behalf of GOP Senate candidates alone, according to a study from the Wesleyan Media Project. The Chamber’s spending has dwarfed every other issue group and most political party candidate committee spending. A ThinkProgress investigation has found that the Chamber funds its political attack campaign out of its general account, which solicits foreign funding. And while the Chamber will likely assert it has internal controls, foreign money is fungible, permitting the Chamber to run its unprecedented attack campaign. According to legal experts consulted by ThinkProgress, the Chamber is likely skirting longstanding campaign finance law that bans the involvement of foreign corporations in American elections. [...]

… Previously, it has been reported that foreign firms like BP, Shell Oil, and Siemens are active members of the Chamber. But on a larger scale, the U.S. Chamber of Commerce appears to rely heavily on fundraising from firms all over the world, including China, India, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Brazil, Russia, and many other places. Of course, because the Chamber successfully lobbied to kill campaign finance reforms aimed at establishing transparency, the Chamber does not have to reveal any of the funding for its ad campaigns. Dues-paying members of the Chamber could potentially be sending additional funds this year to help air more attack ads against Democrats. [...]

We’ve all seen this horror film before. Here we go again.

…and all because of an anti Hillary film by David Bosse, the same wingnut who just produced the film touting conservative female politicians this cycle. Bosse’s Clinton derangement over all the years finally paid off when the Supreme Court rendered a decision that changed the midterms back to an unfettered cash free for all.

Boehner’s the ring leader of this crew, which gives you a foreshadowing of what could happen come November 3rd.

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Your Sunday News Round-Up

Good morning! I’m getting a late start today, sorry ’bout that!

On the left is a picture of a British Tiny Owl battling a worm to feed to her baby owls. The owl wins, by the way, and if you are interested, here are more pictures of Momma Owl vs. The Worm and also the aftermath- taking the worm and feeding it to her really cute tiny baby owls. I have a thing for owls.

On this day in history, August 8, 1974, President Richard Nixon announced he would resign due to the Watergate scandal.

Some links to go with your coffee/tea:

~Historian and author Tony Judt died on Friday of complications of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS or Lou Gehrig’s Disease) at the age of 62. His brilliance and refusal to be silenced by his critics will sorely be missed.

~Now that the oil well has apparently stopped gushing, the evidence-gathering stage of the criminal investigation will begin and guess who will be gathering some of the evidence? BP and Transocean! Of course, they’ve been handling, mismanaging and covering up the evidence all along- why do you think they dumped so much dispersant into the water?

~Apparently some in Israel think the Clinton-Mezvinsky wedding was an affront to Judaism. And then there is this, which is just a bridge too far.

~Elena Kagan was sworn in as the 112th Supreme Court Justice on Saturday.

~The U.S. seems to be making some slight diplomatic overtures to Iran. Is it me or does our policy seem a bit disjointed? I understand the whole “dual track” idea but it seems like domestic politics is undermining any constructive attempts at real diplomacy.

~The Russian government is being tested by a series of serious wildfires approximately 50 miles outside of Moscow and according to many Russians, the government response has been deplorable.

~Speaking of Russia, they are in a war of words with the U.S. over allegations of violating numerous older nuclear and chemical weapons treaties. The U.S. has alleged the same of Russia. Tit for tat.

~McClatchy has done more brilliant journalism- they’ve been studying the effects of the economic stimulus package in different parts of the U.S. in addition to tracking down where the money went, and why, and the results are surprising. Not in a good way.

~The Taliban have killed 10 members of a foreign medical team. It is believed that six of the people were Americans. Because the attacks took place in Badakhshan province in northern Afghanistan, there are growing concerns that the Taliban has extended its reach.

~Chris Dodd made a statement that could well serve as the campaign slogan (or epitaph) of the current Democratic Party- “What you don’t need to have is an eight-month battle for who the director or the head or chairperson of this new consumer financial protection bureau will be.” He’s referring, of course, to Elizabeth Warren. In other words, meaningful change is simply “not worth the fight” even though Warren could play a key role in helping to prevent the abusive practices which Wall Street reform supposedly sought to rectify. The question is, is Dodd speaking for Dodd or is he speaking for the administration? As an aside, it’s interesting that Obama thinks that progressives are frustrated with the “pace of change”- ie. it’s not happening fast enough. However this issue with whether or not Warren will head the CFPA is the perfect example of why Obama does not understand progressive anger- this is not about change “not happening fast enough” but rather “change not happening at all.”

~Today on Fareed Zakaria’s GPS, he will apparently go into more detail as to why he returned the award and honorarium he received from the ADL.

~Representative Anthony Weiner, a man known for speaking his mind, and often very LOUDLY, is remaining rather coy over the “how dare a Mosque be built anywhere near the hallowed site of Ground Zero” controversy. You can read the letter here. If ‘brevity is the soul of wit’, then Weiner gets the prize. If anyone can decode that last paragraph, let me know. Contrast his statement with that of Jarrold Nadler, who takes a clear, unequivocal stand against religious intolerance.

~If you missed this earlier in the week, Glenn Greenwald has a great commentary about how the U.S. military/Defense Department continues to use the journalist embed process to propagandize about the war. Greenwald wrote the article in response to the news that Rolling Stone’s Michael Hastings had his previous embed-approval reversed in the wake of the Stanley McChrystal article.

~A new, huge encrypted file has appeared on WikiLeaks with the tag “Insurance,” which some are saying could indicate that if the government tries to tamper with the site or go after people who work for it, WikiLeaks will release the Insurance files. In other words, WikiLeaks is sending a signal to the U.S. and other governments that they had better think twice before trying to bring down the site. I went to the website and could not find the encrypted file.

~Wall Street reform seems to have ignored two major players in the mortgage crisis, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, which is kind of like performing surgery on a cancer patient and only removing half of the tumor. Some have opined that Congress is loathe to take on the issue because it would mean revealing their role in enabling Fannie and Freddie’s self-dealing and corporate shenanigans.

~You made it all the way to the end. This is for you.

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Spy Novel Plot Under Our Noses

I’d like to introduce you to “Richard Murphy,” “Cynthia Murphy,” “Donald Howard Heathfield,” “Tracey Lee Ann Foley,” “Michael Zottoli,” Patricia Mills,” “Juan Lazaro,” and “Vicky Pelaez.” One alleged Canadian citizen is still at large, “Christopher R. Metsos.” They’re all on the hot seat for felony violations of the Foreign Agents Registration Act of 1938, and what looks like money laundering on the side. From the 37-page complaint:

9. Upon completion of their training, Russian illegal agents are generally provided with new — false — identities; and illegal’s false identity is referred to as his “legend.” The cornerstone of an illegal’s “legend” are false documents. These false documents concern, among other things, the identity and citizenship of the illegal. Through the use of these fraudulent documents, illegals assume identities as citizens or legal residents of the countries to which they are deployed, including the United States. Illegals will sometimes pursue degrees in target-country universities, obtain employment, and join relevant professional associations; these activities deepen an illegal’s “legend.” Illegals often operate in pairts — being placed together by Moscow Center while in Russia, so that they can live together and work together in a host country, under the guise of a married couple. Illegals who are placed together and co-habit in the country to which they are assigned will often have children together; this further deepens an illegal’s “legend.”

10. The FBI’s investigation has revealed that a network of illegals (the “Illegals”) is now living and operating in the United States in the service of one primary, long-term goal: to become sufficiently “Americanized”such that they can gather information about the United States for Russia, and can successfully recruit sources who are in, or are able to infiltrate, United States policy-making circles.

…and on it goes.

I’m reminded of A.G. John Ashcroft, as well as Republicans in the late 1990s. If Ashcroft hadn’t been chasing hookers in New Orleans during Bush’s first months, and the Republican House during Clinton less concerned with his extramarital sex life, all of which lands on FBI Director Louis Freeh’s doorstep, something Secret Service Director Lew Merletti, head of the detail over Clinton, acknowledges in Ken Gormley’s “Death of American Virtue,” who knows what may have been uncovered before 9/11.  Priorities matter.  But I digress…

Espionage, it’s something out of the Cold War era. Nice-looking, ordinary couple living in Cambridge, and as Jeff Stein writes in Spy Talk, “Perfect location, too: ground zero of the area’s academic-industrial-scientific-government complex.”

The desire for other nations to know what we’re doing in areas of foreign policy remains. From the New York Times, the story having broke late yesterday:

… An F.B.I. investigation that began at least seven years ago culminated with the arrest on Sunday of 10 people in Yonkers, Boston and northern Virginia. The documents detailed what the authorities called the “Illegals Program,” an ambitious, long-term effort by the S.V.R., the successor to the Soviet K.G.B., to plant Russian spies in the United States to gather information and recruit more agents.

The alleged agents were directed to gather information on nuclear weapons, American policy toward Iran, C.I.A. leadership, Congressional politics and many other topics, prosecutors say. The Russian spies made contact with a former high-ranking American national security official and a nuclear weapons researcher, among others. But the charges did not include espionage, and it was unclear what secrets the suspected spy ring — which included five couples — actually managed to collect. [...]

One of the alleged Russian spies on Linked-in, Don Healthfield (via Jeff Stein), was doing very well and getting exemplary ratings from people with whom he worked. But take a look at all of the associations on his Linked-in page. They guy was taking his “legend” to the max. And don’t you just love the look on his face?

It’s obvious that America agreed with the spies.

Point to Mother Russia on resuscitating cold war ingenuity, but if you’re keeping score, we got you.

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Obama Administration Reacts to Iran ‘Fuel Swap’ Deal

“Of course they are not thrilled,” Leslie Gelb, president emeritus of the Council on Foreign Relations and a former Pentagon official, said of the administration. “They thought [the Brazilian-Turkish diplomatic effort with Tehran] was going to fail and didn’t stop it, or couldn’t stop it. It looks like it undercut their diplomacy. – President Obama’s nuclear headache

They had to act, so they did.

“Today, I am pleased to announce to this committee we have reached agreement on a strong draft with the cooperation of both Russia and China,” Clinton told the Senate Foreign Relations Committee today. “We plan to circulate that draft resolution to the entire Security Council today.” … “I think this announcement is as convincing an answer to the efforts undertaken in Tehran over the last few days as any we could provide,” Clinton said. – The New York Times

China welcomed Iran’s “fuel swap” deal with Turkey, which brought the issue of sanctions against Iran into question by some. They went even further in a statement: “I think this will slow down talk of sanctions,” said a former Chinese diplomat to Iran.

China and Iran got the answer today, though now Turkey and Brazil, non-permanent members of the Security Council, will undoubtedly vote against sanctions. Nine members are needed to pass the sanction agreement, which shouldn’t be hard to get.

Whether sanctions will have the intended outcome is another story entirely.

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They Came from Around the World

It was just an ordinary Wednesday night for many people in Washington, D.C., but not for the young women chosen by the U.S. Embassy in their home country to be part of Fortune Magazine and the U.S. State Depts. Most Powerful Women mentor program.

A very windy, chilly day in D.C. turned into an evening of women’s celebration, which began on the terrace offering a spectacular view of Washington, with the Capitol in the one direction, the Air Force monument easily seen in the distance on a very crisp night.

When I was invited to the event, I wasn’t sure what to expect or if there would be anything worth noting in a report. However, that changed very quickly, which is evidenced by my tweets during the festivities.

The young women bounded out on to the terrace as Frank Sinatra played, wine, water, soft drinks and hors devours were served, with excited conversation beginning the evening. Among those I met were Josephine Kairaba from Rwanda, Aicholpon Jorupbekova from Kyrgyz Republic, and Anna Grishchenkova Russia who will spend her month in the United States being mentored by JP Morgan in New York City, and Jin Yan from China. Later sitting next to Thailand’s Sirinatda Panichapong, she handed several of us a pin with her country’s flag melded to the U.S. flag, while inviting everyone to come visit her country, requesting we call her to let her know we are coming. Every conversation was charming and inspiring. The Hill, in “Washington Scene”, has photos of many who attended, including business mentors and women in the media (myself included).

So, amidst the biodynamic wines from Quivira, Dry Creek Valley, Bergstrom, De Lancellotti Valley, Newburg; after the truffled goat cheese appetizer, the pesto crusted Halibut and creamed Yukon golds, and fresh berries with crème fraiche (though it was the ginger crisps that stole the dessert show), one thing stood out.

It was seeing my country through these young women’s eyes. It quite simply blew me away.

The irony of 10,000 Women being one of the many sponsors didn’t go unnoticed. This is Goldman Sachs’ program, in association with education institutions from around the world, launched in 2008 under Lloyd Blankfein, to provide 10,000 “deserving” women from all over the globe with a business and management education. Considering the current firestorm surrounding Goldman Sachs, no one is going to sing their praises even on something as worthy as this program.

As an aside, Fortune has an amusing article reporting that the Brits are making a wager whether Mr. Blankfein will leave Goldman Sachs by the end of the year. You can make your wager on Intrade.

Economic politics wasn’t in the room last night as economic justice took on a different look and meaning with the Fortune/State Dept. mentor program being celebrated, which started under Pres. George W. Bush and continues under Pres. Barack Obama. Melanne Verveer, Ambassador-at-Large
Global Women’s Issues, the first position of its kind, was there representing State.

The young women brought to the U.S. State Dept. to celebrate the program, but also their good fortune, represented Ghana, Jordan, South Africa, Pakistan, Argentina, Palestinian Territory (Gaza), Egypt, Nigeria, Russia, Kyrgyz Republic, Rwanda, Tanzania, Zimbabwe, India, Uganda, Brazil, Kenya, Thailand, Haiti, China, Afghanistan, Morocco.

Senators Susan Collins (R-MN) and Diane Feinstein (D-CA) were also at the event, as was Rep. Melissa Bean (D-IL), with Sen. Feinstein being interviewed about the importance of “paying it forward” to help young women. She said of Collins, she “is what her party is supposed to be.” Advice from the California Senator: You have to be twice as good as the men, so develop a portfolio of expertise, something that you can write and give speeches about; expertise that works to your long suit, not your short suit. Feinstein said the real key is to never give up and “be like the Phoenix,” citing Shirley Chisholm, someone Feinstein admired, but who she felt gave up. Failures will come, but you must just keep going.

Former mentee Rehmah Kasabe from Uganda closed the evening’s remarks by simply saying, “Get rid of the dream takers, only have dream makers” around you.

What an evening it was. Highlighted by the beaming faces of these young women from around the world who are living their dream awake in the United States, compliments of the Fortune/State Dept. program that endeavors to make new entrepreneurs out of women from around the globe, along with some hefty lifting from U.S. corporations who make it all possible.

It hits on a constant theme in all the work and writing I do about women around the world. You simply cannot have stable, thriving and peaceful countries if half of the population is uneducated and untrained, either because of cultural prejudice, gender discrimination, or reality in a land of poverty.

Women can change the world, but only if we all pitch in to help.



TM NOTE:Photograph above of me (and Candace Kendle, of Kendle International) at the event is from The Hill, taken by Kate Ozcypok. The full shot below the table shot above — notice the place cards, the whole execution flawless — is of the Benjamin Franklin Room where the event was held and dinner was served. Additional shots at the end include Thomas Jefferson’s desk, and the Paris Treaty that ended the Revolutionary war, pictured to the right, with the John Quincy Adams Room below, which is across from the Benjamin Franklin Room, all of which are in the main building of the State Department.

The John Quincy Adams Room @ State


cross-posted at Huffington Post

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Obama Takes On Palin – Sarah Responds at SRLC

“In foreign policy now we’ve got the makings of the Obama doctrine, which is coddling enemies and alienating allies.” – Sarah Palin

He just couldn’t help himself.

George Stephanopoulos knew he’d bite.

Never mind she doesn’t hold an official title.

She isn’t running for office.

She isn’t even in Barack Obama’s playing field.

Yet Sarah Palin has provoked the White House yet again, which made for good material during her Southern Republican Leadership Council speech that just concluded, with Randy Scheunemann at his best.

“The president, with all the vast nuclear experience as a community organizer.” – Sarah Palin

Palin took on critics saying, “Don’t retreat – reload, and that’s not a call for violence.” Sarah Palin was also the first Republican to mention Katrina, so she obviously got my memo (and my morning tweet). After “drill, baby, drill, not stall, baby, stall,” from the crowd, a lone voice chanted… “Run, Sarah, run.”

Pres. Obama, fresh from signing a historic treaty with Russia on reducing nuclear weaponry, gets asked about Palin’s attack, drawn out by the press to take on Palin, which provided Sarah with the final word today.

Reuters immediately picked up the Obama v. Palin story that started rolling yesterday:

Palin, the former vice presidential candidate, has not been shy about criticizing Obama’s policies and this week weighed in on his revamped nuclear strategy, saying it was like a child in a playground who says ‘punch me in the face, I’m not going to retaliate.’

“I really have no response to that. The last I checked, Sarah Palin is not much of an expert on nuclear issues,” Obama said in an interview with ABC News.

Pressed further on Republican criticism that his strategy restricts the use of nuclear weapons too much, Obama added:

“What I would say to them is, is that if the secretary of defense and the chairman of the joint chiefs of staff are comfortable with it, I’m probably going to take my advice from them and not from Sarah Palin.”

In fact, even after Obama’s initial comment, Stephanopolous goes back for more by invoking other Republicans beyond Palin who have said his new nuclear policy is wrong. Pres. Obama responds, then goes out of his way to take a direct shot across Palin’s bow, while acting a bit miffed that he’s having to talk about her. (You’re the President, you don’t have to, sir.)

He should have stopped with “I really have no response to that.” But his ego wouldn’t let him. So, he goes on, refusing to leave it at the advice of his SecDef and Joint Chiefs being enough. The bit about taking “advice from them and not from Sarah Palin” an unnecessary acknowledgment that her opinion means anything in the rarefied realm of the presidency.

Mr. Obama needs better impulse control.

Besides, he should be punching up, never down, as you only elevate the person you give your focus, which clearly offered her an even bigger opportunity today.

There is just something about Mrs. Palin that makes Democrats take her bait, including the President of the United States, and the press just eats it up, and so does Sarah.

This post has been updated.

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Obama and Medvedev Sign Treaty to Cut Nuclear Reserves by a Third

This is a live Twitter feed.



10:30:37 AM: Power outage edition. Coming to you via BlackBerry.

10:42:33 AM: @markknoller RT Picture of Obama-Medvedev after signing. http://twitpic.com/1e25tt

10:42:33 AM: 10:49:28 AM: Headline news: @politicalticker RT Palin hails Michael Steele as independent outsider http://bit.ly/9YLIbV

10:53:21 AM: Text of new START treaty via @markknoller http://bit.ly/b7zQKx

10:57:42 AM: For those reading tweets on site, these updates are via Twitter.

10:59:54 AM: Other news: Coal miner rescue team forced out by dangerous gases. http://huff.to/cavahb

Okay, power’s back in my office. If not for Twitter I’d have been offline all morning.

This live Twitter entry has been edited.

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Russian Terrorism Delivered by 2 Female Suicide Bombers

–updated–

Senior lawyers in the Obama administration are deeply divided over some of the counterterrorism powers they inherited from former President George W. Bush, according to interviews and a review of legal briefs. The rift has been most pronounced between top lawyers in the State Department and the Pentagon, though it has also involved conflicts among career Justice Department lawyers and political appointees throughout the national security agencies. – Obama Team Is Divided on Tactics Against Terrorism

As blasts ripped through a Russian subway station today, we’re finding out some interesting details about the Administration’s battles over fighting terrorism, including how or whether Pres. Obama will utilize former Pres. Bush’s unlimited scope definition of commander in chief. But first, the news out of Russia, which is immediate and reveals the continuing fractious violence all leaders face today.

The BBC is liveblogging their report, which is quite interesting. Bill Rogio writing that they were “Black Widow” female suicide bombers.

From CNN:

Russian investigators combing two subway stations attacked by female suicide bombers think Chechen rebels may have been behind the rush-hour strike that killed dozens of people.

“Our preliminary assessment is that this act of terror was committed by a terrorist group from the North Caucasus region,” said Alexander Bortnikov of the Federal Security Service, in reference to the investigation at one of the blast sites.

“We consider this the most likely scenario, based on investigations conducted at the site of the blast,” Bortnikov said. “Fragments of the suicide bombers’ body found at the blast, according to preliminary findings, indicate that the bombers were from the North Caucasus region.”

Two female suicide bombers set off explosions that rocked the two subway stations in central Moscow during rush hour Monday morning, killing at least 38 people and wounded more than 60 others, officials said. [...]

Here at home, even though Pres. Obama has clearly altered some of the techniques utilized in fighting terrorism, there is still a very vigorous debate going on, according to a report today in the New York Times:

[...] But behind closed doors, the debate flared again that summer, when the Obama administration confronted the case of Belkacem Bensayah, an Algerian man who had been arrested in Bosnia — far from the active combat zone — and was being held without trial by the United States at Guantánamo. Mr. Bensayah was accused of facilitating the travel of people who wanted to go to Afghanistan to join Al Qaeda. A judge found that such “direct support” was enough to hold him as a wartime prisoner, and the Justice Department asked an appeals court to uphold that ruling.

… That view was amplified after Harold Koh, a former human-rights official and Yale Law School dean who had been a leading critic of the Bush administration’s detainee policies, became the State Department’s top lawyer in late June. Mr. Koh produced a lengthy, secret memo contending that there was no support in the laws of war for the United States’ position in the Bensayah case.

Mr. Koh found himself in immediate conflict with the Pentagon’s top lawyer, Jeh C. Johnson, a former Air Force general counsel and trial lawyer who had been an adviser to Mr. Obama during the presidential campaign. Mr. Johnson produced his own secret memorandum arguing for a more flexible interpretation of who could be detained under the laws of war — now or in the future.

… “I think the change in tone has been important and has helped internationally,” said John B. Bellinger III, a top Bush era National Security Council and State Department lawyer. “But the change in law has been largely cosmetic. And of course there has been no change in outcome.”

Enter targeted killings using drone strikes, which Mr. Koh spoke on last week, via the Times: His remarks, however, focused on issues like whether it was lawful to single out specific enemy figures for killing — not defining the limits of who may be deemed an enemy.

But Mr. Feldman, the Harvard professor, said the detention debate also had “serious consequences” for the targeted killings policy because, “If we’re at war with you, then we can detain you — but we can also try to kill you.”

That said, he cautioned, additional factors complicate the analysis of selecting lawful targets. Among them, it is not clear whether Mr. Obama is more willing in classified settings to assert that, as commander in chief, he can use drone strikes to defend the country against perceived threats that cannot be linked to the Congressionally authorized war against Al Qaeda.

Non-state threats continue to put our democratic republic, but also countries like Russia, in a constant state of deliberation about freedoms, government control, and the reality that the world is getting more complex for leaders to navigate every day. It’s also obvious that uncontrollable violence from zealots, including females, who are willing to die for their cause is unstoppable.

One wonders how long it will be before the United States becomes part of the world chaos; the militia raids hardly in the same league. We’ve not been hit since 9/11, and before that never in the way Russian experienced today, as Timothy McVeigh struck a government facility not a populated civilian hub, the U.S. far away from understanding what Israel has experienced over decades.

On a side note regarding Israel, which ties into the general national security theme of Pres. Obama; turns out what many of us have been writing about Netanyahu is manifesting. Via Palestine Note (and Twitter):

These last figures are very telling. Contrary to what the PM and his supporters want us to believe, applying pressure on an extreme Israeli government does bring results. Until the recent confrontation with the US Netanyahu and Barak were riding high in the polls and Kadima was losing ground and getting torn by internal politics; but now the public is concerned by the idea of losing American support (48 percent saying that “Israel’s international statue is deteriorating”) and is not happy with the road Netanyahu is leading this country.

More important, even though most of the public still thinks there is no partner for peace on the other side, 46.2 of Israelis are now accepting the idea of splitting Jerusalem between Israel and Palestine (that’s more than those objecting it) – not at all the consensus around the idea of a “united Jerusalem” like Netanyahu and AIPAC would like us to believe.

President Obama might not be very popular with Israelis these days, but they are certainly listening to what he has to say.

Subtle, but certainly change, because anyone can ascertain that what’s currently being done by the Netanyahu government isn’t working.

This concludes a rather wide-ranging foreign policy brief this Passover Monday. Thanks for following the thread, assuming you did.

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Brennan, and ‘Bomb Iran’ is Back

Some news that’s surfacing slowly is Iran’s new bluster on refining higher grade uranium. Russia and Israel seem to be talking the same language, while China still isn’t willing to sign on to harsh sanctions, something SecDef Gates is promising will come sooner rather than later. Even as it will take some time to reconfigure the Natanz facility to handle higher grade enrichment. Let’s call this one developing

Meanwhile, landing in front of hotel rooms across the nation, Brennan’s USA Today op-ed, as excerpted below. Brennan continues the campaign he began over the weekend on “Meet the Press.”

I have no idea why Scott over at Powerline has decided to channel Daniel Pipes in rebutting Brennan. Well, actually I do, it’s just it’s hard to take anyone seriously who believes hitting Iran is good for the U.S. That is what matters, right? Not to the right. Anyway, if you don’t know, he was the inspiration for Sarah Palin’s “declare war on Iran” (see video) advice to Obama on how he could “save” his presidency, with an Iran bombing also supposed to illustrate his “support for Israel.” Pipes going to great lengths in his article to illustrate the effectiveness of Obama hitting Iran.

And, no, these people aren’t kidding.

Now to Brennan:

Immediately after the failed Christmas Day attack, Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab was thoroughly interrogated and provided important information. Senior counterterrorism officials from the White House, the intelligence community and the military were all actively discussing this case before he was Mirandized and supported the decision to charge him in criminal court.

The most important breakthrough occurred after Abdulmutallab was read his rights, which the FBI made standard policy under Michael Mukasey, President Bush’s attorney general. The critics who want the FBI to ignore this long-established practice also ignore the lessons we have learned in waging this war: Terrorists such as Jose Padilla and Saleh al-Mari did not cooperate when transferred to military custody, which can harden one’s determination to resist cooperation.

It’s naive to think that transferring Abdulmutallab to military custody would have caused an outpouring of information. There is little difference between military and civilian custody, other than an interrogator with a uniform. The suspect gets access to a lawyer, and interrogation rules are nearly identical.

Would-be shoe bomber Richard Reid was read his Miranda rights five minutes after being taken off a plane he tried to blow up. The same people who criticize the president today were silent back then.

Pres. Obama’s approval rating on foreign affairs is high, even according to Gallup, is compared to Bush. Even without any real progress in the Middle East, the world thinks anything is better than Bush-Cheney.

Perceptions of U.S. leadership worldwide improved significantly from 2008 to 2009. The U.S.-Global Leadership Project, a partnership between the Meridian International Center and Gallup, finds that a median of 51% of the world approves of the job performance of the current leadership of the U.S., up from a median of 34% in 2008.

Unfortunately, not everyone is like me and votes on foreign affairs. It’s on the economy that Obama’s getting creamed (h/t Laura Rozen), which is what moves most voters. See Bob Herbert, an Obama loyalist who is not very happy anymore.

Obama_econdown
graph via Gallup

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