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Taylor Marsh has been writing on line since 1996, with the archives provided here a representation of that work.

Tag Archives | voting

Chris Matthews: ‘There’s nothing to root for.’

“I’m like everybody, I want more action. But I understand that [Pres. Obama's] trying not to piss off a lot of people. But I believe wholeheartedly if he’s back in, he’s going to do some gangsta sh—.” – Chris Rock, Politico

Thanksgiving week began with a rhetorical explosion of Democratic, progressive and liberal disgust met with defensiveness, which was a continuation of what’s been building throughout Pres. Obama’s first term. The latest defense comes from the estimable Nicolas Kristoff and joins the list of equally unimpressive efforts, which culminates with this all being about “grumpiness toward the incumbent during a difficult time.” That is another wishfully lame assessment of an American electorate who passed “grumpiness” some time ago.

The quote above from Chris Rock came in early November, but it follows the current mood, as well as what I’ve written many times before about Mr. Obama and entitlements, for instance. Somebody’s going to “reform” entitlements, so everyone needs to decide which is better to get the blame, Democratic or Republican politicians. It’s a fitting end, because the big two parties have gotten us into this mess, which has led to a political system long overdue for upheaval and realignment, which has begun, the completion of which will take years and several election cycles.

Chris Matthews finally let his frustrations out with Alex Witt recently as well. It was one of the more extraordinary events from the notorious career Clinton hater, someone who earned a significant role in my book.

Coming on MSNBC made Matthews’ grousing more amazing, because there isn’t much political reality to be seen from MSNBC’s primetime coterie of hosts. The entire network has taken a dive into Democratic denial, which could be driven by the lack of sanity on the Republican side and betting it’s the smart move, but which is actually decidedly out of sync with most Americans, who are sick of both big two parties. Being the bookend for Fox News Channel might have seemed like a good idea once, but now just comes off as equally unwatchable.

From the interview with Matthews:

“There’s nothing to root for. What are we trying to do in this administration? Why does he want a second term? Would he tell us? What’s he going to do in his second term, more of this? Is this it? Is this as good as it gets? Where are we going?” – Chris Matthews with Alex Witt

What Mr. Matthews still doesn’t understand, though he’s certainly got a lot of company, as Mr. Kristoff proves today, is that even if Pres. Obama answered his questions it wouldn’t mean anything, because it’s coming from a man with no internal compass and people now realize it. Pres. Obama’s style is not moored in leading people to consensus from his own foundational principles that would give us something firm to grasp, but instead is predicated on culling consensus from what’s presented from others, which can change with the wind.

Of course, this in no way means he can’t win reelection. However, there’s a reason Dan Baltz points to the Center for American Progress recent report that states 2012 will be “no election for the faint-hearted.” The uncertainty is also why the news that Democrats are out fundraising Republicans for House races is so important to Democrats, in case Obama loses.

Last week a video circulating had one Obama supporter give a flatly delivered, unenthusiastic case on why he wasn’t disappointed by Pres. Obama, which I rebutted easily with Obama’s history, while simultaneously you had Jonthan Chait give a long-winded whine about liberals. From Chait’s piece:

Harry Truman has become the patron saint of dispirited Democrats, the fighting populist whose example is invariably cited in glum contrast to whatever bumbling congenital compromiser happens to hold office at any given time. In fact, liberals spent the entire Truman presidency in a state of near-constant despair. Republicans took control of Congress in the 1946 elections and bottled up Truman’s domestic agenda, rendering him powerless to expand the New Deal, as liberals had hoped he would after the war had ended. Liberal columnist Max Lerner decried Truman’s mania for “cooperation” and his eagerness “to blink [past] the real social cleavage and struggles,” attributing this pathological eagerness to avoid conflict to his “middle-class mentality.” (Some contemporary critics have reached the same psychoanalysis of Obama, substituting his bi-racial background as the cause.) The New Republic’s Richard Strout lamented how “little evidence he has shown of being able to lift up and inspire the masses.” The historian Richard Pells has written that in the eyes of liberals at the time, “the president remained an incorrigible mediocrity.”

An exception to this trend, but only a partial exception, is Franklin Roosevelt, the most esteemed of the historical Democratic president-saints. Roosevelt is hard to compare to anybody, because his achievements were so enormous, and his failures so large as well (court-packing, interning Japanese-Americans). But even his triumphs, gleaming monuments to liberalism when viewed from the historical distance, appear, at closer inspection, to be riddled with the same tribulations, reversals, compromises, dysfunctions, and failures as any other. Roosevelt did not run for office promising to boost deficit spending in order to stimulate the economy. He ran castigating Herbert Hoover for permitting high deficits, then immediately passed an austerity budget in his first year. Roosevelt did come around to Keynesian stimulus, but he never seemed to understand it, and in 1937 he reversed himself again by cutting spending, helping plunge the economy into a second depression eventually mitigated only by war spending.

I’ve written, as Chait did this past week, on J.F.K. being dragged to civil rights by Martin Luther King, Jr. In my book, in a chapter titled “Blaming Bill” that makes a similar case on liberal schizophrenia, I also write about Bill Clinton’s mistake on derivatives, his help campaigning and electing Blue Dog Democrats while making labor the villain, not to mention Clinton’s free trade penchant, which is being channeled by Pres. Obama, as the former president’s economic policies make the latter’s possible. It’s juxtaposed against the pastime of progressives to blame Bill Clinton for everything, which is often cited by Obama fans as what’s happening to our current president, though I also lay out a conclusive case of just how different the situations were for these two men entering the presidency.

See, contrary to my “die hard Clintonite” mantle (given to me by the Washington Post, no less), I’m no stranger to Democratic discontent. It’s why my recovering partisan present is a natural. In fact, anyone paying attention to my history of writing going back into the ’90s will see that it’s the one constant in my life, seen best in my vote for Reagan in ’80.

Chait resurrects a beauty from the history books on that one:

The Times’ editorial board captured the liberal view of the era when it relayed the joke of a voter with a gun to his head who’s asked to choose between Carter and Ronald Reagan and replies, “Shoot.”

So furious was I at Carter, a combination born out of waiting in gas lines in New York City, a place in decline at the time, while watching the hostage crisis play out, with Teddy Kennedy’s hopes going up in smoke with Roger Mudd, it made voting for Reagan easy. Anger’s like that at the voting booth; emotion a powerfully irrational catalyst.

Who can forget candidate Obama hoisting Ronald Reagan up as an example over William Jefferson Clinton time and again? Chait does it as well. However, Mr. Chait ends his attempt at defending Pres. Obama with a thank you to his critics. Oh, the irony, which he misses completely, making his own defense of the President schizophrenic.

Republican Reagan-worship is a product of a pro-authority mind-set that liberals, who inflate past heroes only to criticize their contemporaries, cannot match. If recent history is any guide, they are simply not capable of having that kind of relationship with a president. They are going to question their leader, not deify him, and search for signs of betrayal in any act of compromise he or she may commit. This exhausting psychological torment is no way to live. Then again, the current state of the Republican Party suggests it may be healthier than the alternative.

It brings me back to a place I know well. Not so much looking for an ideological leader, as a human being with an unflinching compass and undeniable character to stand up against Congress and politicians of both parties. A lightning rod of a person who rails at the injustices and isn’t afraid of anything, including outcome. An individual outside of the corporate and political systems that has brought us to the brink.

However, even though this person no doubt exists somewhere it won’t matter as things stand today. Because the system our founders put together wasn’t driven by two locked in ideological political parties that after two hundred years have reached the only ending they could: stalemate.

In the end our American democratic republic wasn’t made from political parties, but from a diverse group of leaders standing on their own principles, as well as self interest, with compromise and deals made possible out of necessity, not ideology. There is no necessity to compromise today because the political parties to which our politicians belong won’t allow this natural occurrence to manifest. The only thing that can alter that fact is more political individuals elected outside the system.

But first we have to tear the two party system down, which is what the Tea Party began doing, with Occupy Wall Street offering another angle, which holds more hope, because there is not party alliance at its hub, though it’s clear there are more similarities with Democratic principles at its core.

As an side, Libertarianism, as seen through politicians like Ron Paul, the only person talking war and peace in real terms, offers an alliance for Democrats and even Republicans sick to death of the militancy of their own conservative wings, which has gained more ground under Pres. Obama. But again, this can only happen with more independent minded and not beholden to party politicians getting elected.

It won’t be done completely in 2012, but the system has already begun to shake. The bad news is that we are going to elect a few more weak leaders before it’s over. That’s the case whether Barack Obama gets reelected or Mitt Romney takes the presidency, though the case for Mitt with some will lie in what might be possible from him, which comes coupled with what is known not to work already with Pres. Obama.

The likelihood that the American electorate will just keep throwing the bums out until we reach a moment when the person we’re electing means more than the party he or she represents is where American politics is being pushed today.

Voting for a Democratic or Republican politician simply because of their brand simply isn’t working anymore. Certainly we can all at least agree on that.

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CREAMED! Voters Repeal Gov. John Kasich’s Anti-Labor Law: 63% – 37%

MISSISSIPPI VOTERS REJECT OFFENSIVE
ANTI-WOMEN ‘personhood’ AMENDMENT



It’s been called, SB5 goes down.

This is bipartisanship I can dig, baby. Republicans joining Democrats to take down the most onerous anti-labor, anti-worker, anti-middle class law in the country.

Huge victory for Ohio that sends a message across the country.

A lot of other news, which you might have noticed through the hilarious video above. It’s for San Francisco mayoral candidate Ed Lee, who faced over a dozen opponents.

As for Virginia, I’m keeping an eye out to see if Adam Ebbin wins locally. It would be a good thing.

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Gloria Steinem to Headline Obama Park Avenue Fundraiser

“… Without the women’s vote — because women comprise the majority of the electorate — it’s virtually impossible for a candidate to win the election.” – Jennifer Lawless, director of the Women and Politics Institute at American University

This is the alternate, political version of why buy the milk if the cow is free?, with the biggest feminist names in Democratic politics giving away their power for a President who not only served up women’s freedoms and codified the Hyde Amendment, but also put entitlements on the table, which keep women out of poverty in old age. …and I guess everyone forgot the debt ceiling debate began without one single woman in the room.

So, to review where women have been in the Democratic debt ceiling debacle. Pres. Obama’s debt ceiling meeting started with not one single woman in the room.

At Blair House, the old boys club meeting has consisted of Republican House Majority Leader Eric Cantor (R-VA), U.S. Senators John Kyl (R-AZ), Daniel Inouye (D-HI), Max Baucus (D-MT), Reps. Jim Clyburn (D-SC), and Chris Van Hollen (D-MD), who have convened for the budget negotiations with Vice President Biden, Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner, Budget Director Jack Lew, and economic adviser Gene Sperling. Where are the women? – National Council of Women’s Organization

Amanda Terkel’s report on Gloria Steinem headlining a huge fundraiser for Pres. Obama’s reelection is conclusive proof that today’s establishment women do not take their power or purpose in politics seriously anymore. Instead of taking a page from Richard Trumka, the Democratic girls are all in, succumbing to practical politics, because if they take on Democrats and Republicans win things will only get worse, or so the lunacy goes.

Women elect presidents, but this is the best progressive and Democratic women in positions of power can do?

These ladies have gotten comfortable with their titles, power and access, so they’ve gotten lazy and we’re all going to pay.

Ms. Steinem made her name by standing up against the odds women faced. With no one close to her power in place to take on what’s been happening in the Democratic Party, Steinem is left as a historic figurehead at the top of a fundraiser that means very little to most women today.

But it does represent the lowered value of Democratic ideals, with all that’s left is a show, with very little substance being represented. Now even the most powerful women on the Left have been suckered by the lure of money, while becoming part of the embarrassment of the elite machine without utilizing the power they’ve earned to get something better for women from the establishment they support.

First Lady Michelle Obama, longtime feminist activist Gloria Steinem and several other prominent Democratic women will be the featured guests at a fundraiser in New York City next month for President Barack Obama’s reelection campaign, in an effort to mobilize and energize Democratic women for 2012. The Park Avenue fundraiser on Sept. 20 will also feature EMILY’s List President Stephanie Schriock, Planned Parenthood Federation of America President Cecile Richards and Democratic National Committee Chair Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D-Fla.). – Gloria Steinem To Headline Obama Fundraiser In New York City

A Park Avenue fundraiser, oh, it’s just so perfect for the current Democratic Party image, but especially for the women who wield power in it.

Never have Democrats been so far removed from the working man and woman.

Attending Democratic women may not all be part of the fan politics brigade of Pres. Obama’s He Can Do No Wrong Crowd, instead driven by practicalities in politics when looking at the Tea Party crowd, but hitching a ride on the Obama reelect bandwagon that has little luster and no connection to the average woman or her plight makes this crowd look Republican, the old school version.

Gloria Steinem, First Lady Michele Obama, Debbie Wasserman Schultz, Stephanie Schriock, Cecile Richards and other Democratic women participating in this fundraising event don’t remotely represent the majority of women who’ll vote in 2012.

We’re mad as hell and don’t see any benefits to supporting a system that has locked our issues out and put our lives in economic jeopardy.

From a recent AP-GFK poll:

Women no longer are a bright spot for Obama.

At the 100-day mark of his presidency, they gave him significantly higher approval ratings than did men, 68 percent to 60 percent. That’s since fallen dramatically.

In the latest AP-GfK survey, less than half of all women and less than half of all men approve of the job Obama is doing. Just 50 percent of women said Obama deserves re-election.

Predictably, Clinton’s bundlers are all in too. The establishment is nothing if not a cozy click.

Perhaps the thought of Rick Perry taking Obama’s place is already doing the job, starting with revving up the insiders femmes, because a Tea Party takeover is a harrowing thought.

But since women have the power to elect the next president it’s interesting high profile Democratic women are using theirs to reelect Barack Obama, instead of leveraging the power we do have to make all the presidential wannabes court us.

What are women going to get for all this Park Avenue partying?

What are poor women going to get?

I wish I could say this whole spectacle surprises me, but practical politics is easier than waging a fight against elite Democrats you need to keep your organization afloat, especially since you have no intention of organizing women to do something monumental, like demand these corporate jackals tell us what they’re going to do to make our lives freer, our economic lives more secure, and our retirement security intact.

You don’t give away your vote or your money on the promise of something not quantified in policy specifics or a record that guarantees your getting your money’s worth.

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Another Tantrum from Obama’s Team

There’s been quite a kerfuffle about an email from OFA taking out after Paul Krugman and “firebaggers.” Ezra Klein has the most useful quick take about it:

Paul Krugman is one op-ed columnist. Firedog Lake is one Web site. They have readers. But they are not the state of Ohio. Time and again, however, we see evidence that they have gotten deep inside the White House’s head. In letters, in offhand comments, in outbursts at press conferences, in my personal reporting, members of the Obama administration and members of the Obama reelection campaign will let slip that they are dwelling and worrying over these arguments. They may not agree with them. They may not think they’re fair, or sophisticated, or useful. But they’re thinking about them. And if you’re the “professional left,” that’s exactly what you want.

The Obama White House is a poll-driven universe. Now that liberal dissatisfaction with Pres. Obama has risen so high he’s getting negative numbers in New York, what’s being written on the big movement progressive blogs like Jane Hamsher’s Firedoglake matters.

As for Paul Krugman, he’s hitting the President and his team where they deserve to be eviscerated: economics. This also happens to be where Obama has plummeted the farthest, down to 26%, which is a reelection killer.

Greg Sargent asked the typical Beltway question that also coincides with what Obama fan boys insist is smart: Does Obama camp see upside in pissing off the left? This goes on the theory that Obama can afford to lose his activist base, because rank and file Democrats are still behind Obama, though 72% isn’t something to trumpet, because that number keeps falling.

Over at Digby’s place, part of movement progressive central, David Atkins answers the question about why this thinking is so dangerous for Pres. Obama and his reelection team.

I have crazy Republicans in my own backyard who terrify me, too–and getting rid of them will actually make a more immediate impact in my county, my state, and my personal life. I don’t have to lift a finger to help the President in order to help the Democratic Party, and neither do folks like Marta. I won’t be traveling to Nevada or Arizona for the President’s re-election campaign like I did in 2008. I’ll be sticking in my own California backyard, helping local progressive Democrats win office. People whose positions and negotiation styles I know I can count on. People who can make progressive dreams come true in California, since it has become abundantly clear they will not come true in Washington, D.C. Not even with 60 Democratic Senators and a big majority in the House.

And I know I’m not alone in this. If the Administration wants to take a bet that there aren’t enough people like me and Marta out there to make a difference to their field campaign, they’re free to do so.

But it would be a bad bet.

Whether it’s Perry or Romney, you can bet Republicans will come out in 2012, because there’s nothing they want more than to make Obama a one-term president. In the end they’ll have all hands on deck.

The way things look today, Pres. Obama will not. But not because of some juvenile OFA fan mimicking what Obama’s fans always do, which is to tick off the very people who make the difference in a tough election fight. Obama won’t have many movement progressives on his side, because they’ve finally figured out that there’s very little difference to them and the issues they care about if Pres. Obama is reelected or not.

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PPP: ‘Obama in Perilous Shape’

President Barack Obama talks with Counsel to the President Kathryn Ruemmler in the Oval Office, July 19, 2011. (Official White House Photo by Pete Souza)

From Public Policy Polling comes evidence that the conventional wisdom among Republicans about Mitt Romney isn’t all that smart:

For the first time since last July Barack Obama does not lead Mitt Romney in PPP’s monthly national poll on the 2012 Presidential race. Romney has now pulled into a tie with the President at 45%.

Obama’s approval rating this month is 46% with 48% of voters disapproving of him. There are 2 things particularly troubling in his numbers: independents split against him by a 44/49 margin, and 16% of Democrats are unhappy with the job he’s doing while only 10% of Republicans give him good marks. Republicans dislike him at this point to a greater extent than Democrats like him and that will be a problem for him moving forward if it persists.

Here’s an important note on all of this early 2012 polling though: Obama’s numbers are worse than they appear to be on the surface. The vast majority of the undecideds in all of these match ups disapprove of the job Obama’s doing but aren’t committing to a candidate yet while they wait to see how the Republican field shakes out. Here’s an idea of where these various match ups might stand once all voters have made up their minds: …

But the paragraph from PPP on Obama versus Bachmann will blow your mind.

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Fundraising Truthiness from Obama Reelect

Multiply 680,000 by $69 and you get about $46.9 million. Messina’s appears to want things both ways–a record-breaking money haul AND the appearance of being a campaign “owned” by ordinary people. That may be the case to the extent that you think maxing-out donors from Wall Street, Silicon Valley and Hollywood are “ordinary people.”- Micah L. Sifry

The New York Times runs a piece today, which was actually broken last week by Micah L. Sifry at Tech President after Obama reelect’s fundraising numbers leaked.

Interestingly, it also tells us something else–of the approximately 3 million individual donors who gave to Obama for his 2008 run, so far less than 10 percent have re-upped. You can spin that two ways: either it’s a reminder that many 2008 Obama supporters have lost their enthusiasm for him (and the PCCC has garnered the names of nearly 200,000 former Obama supporters who donated $17 million and gave 2 million volunteer hours in 2008 who have pledged not one iota if he makes cuts to Social Security, Medicare or Medicaid), or it’s a big fat juicy target pool for the president’s campaign team to mine for the months ahead. Undoubtedly it is both.

But if you want to know why there’s not a primary challenge to Obama or why an Independent bid for president is impossible, Sifry notes, after Joe Raspars responded to Jim Messina’s latest fundraising announcement, which was indeed huge, the reality: Both sides have Super PACs that will be exploiting the latest loopholes in the law to raise and spend hundreds of millions of dollars, and the bulk of that money is going to come from rich people, corporations and labor unions, not small individual donors.

That’s the truth about “hope and change” 2.0 and how the U.S. presidency is bought.

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Grading the Electoral College

Joyce Arnold is a liberal Independent activist whose weekly column “Queer Talk” appears on Saturday.

Every four years, at some point in the presidential election cycle, and on a slow news day, stories and explanations about the Electoral College show up. This is probably a bit early in the current cycle, but it’s something I’ve been following, primarily through Fair Vote. There is a huge amount of material and research available at Fair Vote. I’m primarily going to focus here on their take on the Electoral College, but that’s not their only issue. For some context, Fair Vote describes itself as “a catalyst for reforming our elections to respect every vote and every voice through bold approaches to increase voter turnout, meaningful ballot choices and fair representation.”

I’m one of those who thinks we need some fundamental changes in our two party front for the monopoly political, and election, systems. The projects at Fair Vote at least provide a way to think about what that could mean.

One key project, directly related to the Electoral College, is the National Popular Vote Plan Legislation. The NPV plan

is legislation to guarantee that the winner of the national popular vote in all 50 states and the District of Columbia will be elected president. Once enacted by enough states, the NPV plan will govern our next presidential election. It will ensure every vote is equal no matter where it is cast (no more talk of ‘swing states’ and ‘safe states’) and will always elect the candidate with the most popular votes.

To this point, eight states have passed the NPV plan legislation: Arizona, California, Michigan, Rhode Island, Washington, Maryland, Delaware and New York.

Electoral College

Fair Vote supports a direct election for the president – one person, one vote – and wants to abolish the Electoral College. “Preferably a replacement system would require a candidate to gain an outright majority of votes cast (50%+1) and have an instant runoff mechanism to be sure the leader with majority support is elected.”

You can find details about all of these, but here are some of the key arguments made by Fair Vote, for ending the EC:

– Grossly unequal distribution of campaign resources
– Unequal voting power depending on where you live
– The winner-take-all method of distributing electoral votes
– Unbound electors
– House of Representatives can choose the president
– Enforcement of a two-party system — A bit of detail about this one:

Because of our two-party system, voters often find themselves voting for the ‘lesser of two evils,’ rather than a candidate they really feel would do the best job. The Electoral College inadvertently reinforces this two party system, where third parties cannot enter the race without being tagged as ‘spoilers.’

– Presidency can be won without a majority of the popular vote
– Most votes don’t count – A few details / examples:

To win the Electoral College in 2000, Bush needed only 21,835,615 votes out of a total of 105,396,641 votes.

To win the Electoral College in 2008, Obama needed only 39,908,351 votes out of a total of 131,338,626 votes.

Percentage of votes that did not factor in determining the winner in their respective years:
79.28% in 2000
70.39% in 2008

The idea of Electoral College reform is, of course, not new. According to Fair Vote, “there have been at least 700 proposed amendments to modify or abolish the Electoral College – more than any other subject of Constitutional reform.”

Recent examples:

1969: This proposal came to be after the 1968 Presidential election, in which American Independent candidate George Wallace managed to obtain 46 electoral votes, generating concern over the possibilities of contingent elections and electoral vote-trading for political concessions. …

1979: After the close election between Jimmy Carter and Gerald Ford in

1976, Senator Birch Bayh (D-IN) introduced a proposal in the 96th Congress to abolish the Electoral College and replace it with direct election. The measure failed the Senate by a vote of 51-48 in 1979. ..

2004: Rep. Jesse Jackson, Jr. (D-IL) introduces a proposal for Electoral College reform. HJR 109 proposes a majority direct election of president, and is currently residing in the House Judiciary Committee. …

This is a very cursory overview, but I figure if you want more, you can check it out. I agree with abolishing the Electoral College, as I am convinced of the need for third parties. It’s the up-mountain kind of climb I’ve mentioned before, but to this point, I see no other way to break out of the two party stranglehold. So I started climbing. Playing by the rules imposed by the current system and structure, at least to this point, is mostly getting us more and more “stuck.” I’d guess both Republican and Democratic Party Electeds and Elites are quite happy with the “nowhere else to go” framing.

( “Coporate Flag of America” via Watching Frogs Boil )

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Trumka Thanks Walker, Republicans Reeling

“We probably should have invited him here today to receive the Mobilizer of the Year Award.”Richard Trumka

Today on Rush Limbaugh’s radio show he admitted Republicans lost the “headline war” in Wisconsin. That’s an understatement.

Greg Sargent writes that a recent poll reveals majorities support two Republican senators, Dan Kapanke and Randy Hopper, being recalled.

Republican overreach and bad faith has also resulted in huge fundraising for the Left, including MoveOn.org, which raised $350,000, which makes the total for recall $850,000. From Politico:

Combined with last night’s take, the Progressive Change Campaign Committee and Democracy for America have raised $750,000 since the standoff in Wisconsin began for a television campaign against GOP state senators facing recall elections.

“After what they pulled last night, these Republican senators are toast. The energy on the ground is higher than it’s ever been — and our ads are providing the air cover, making clear to local Wisconsinites that the Republican class warfare on behalf of big corporations against working families has got to end,” said PCCC’s Adam Green. DFA’s Charles Chamberlain said “Republicans have awoken a sleeping giant.”

Last night on Sean Hannity’s fact free Fox show, Ann Coulter had him sputtering to get a word in edge wise as she eviscerated Republicans in Wisconsin, particularly Scott Walker. Coulter said that before Walker got punk’d in the Koch call she’s pegged him for vice presidential material, but not anymore.

Then Coulter practically screamed, If this was Chris Christie he’d be on the air every night! There’s no doubt about it.

I’d like to see a debate between Christie and Trumka. Perhaps we could even get Michael “Let’s get ready to rumble” Buffer to call it to order.

RICHARD TRUMKA: Of course, but you have to have quality employees.

Take John Kasich. He says everybody has to share. When he came in, he gave his senior staff a 30 percent increase in wages, and then he turns around to public employees and says, now, I want to strip you, not only of the pensions you have been promised and the health care that you have been promised, but I want to take away your ability to negotiate for those.

Look, in a modern society, in a global economy, the companies that succeed are the companies that sit down with their employees, and they say, we have a problem. Let’s solve it. The old way of doing things, the Kasich way, the Walker way, is saying, employees, you have nothing to offer. Shut up and sit down and accept what we give you.

And the last point I would make about that, Judy, is that, remember something. Public employees are taxpayers as well.

(via PBS)

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Your Sunday News Round-Up: Fall Back

Good morning! I hope everyone enjoyed their extra hour of sleep this morning. I know I won’t be enjoying the darkness at 4:30p.m. every afternoon.

On this day in history, November 7,1944, President Franklin D. Roosevelt won a fourth term in office, defeating Thomas E. Dewey.

Some links to go with your morning coffee/tea:

~I mentioned this in the comment section of Wonk’s fabulous post yesterday but I thought I’d bring it up here- the Democrats are starting to have a gay problem. Exit polls showed that 31% of voters who self-identified as glbt cast their lot for the GOP.

~Strange but true. A professional couple (read upper income) wanted to buy a unique, energy-efficient home outside of Washington D.C. but couldn’t get a mortgage lender- not because they were at risk of default or had bad credit but because the house was…round. I’d live in this house in a NY minute.

~I wanted Zenyatta to win the Breeder’s Cup. So did millions of other people.

~After the election, Peggy Noonan took aim not only at Barack Obama, but at Sarah Palin for comparing herself to Reagan. You know how ‘ole Peggy gets about Reagan! After all, she knew Ronald Reagan and she wants Palin and her fellow Tea Partiers to know “honey, you’re no Ronald Reagan!” (my words, not Peggy’s).

~In today’s WaPo Frank Luntz gives a self-serving interpretation of What Voters Want.

~In case you missed it, on Friday’s ‘Morning Joe” Lawrence O’Donnell and Glenn Greenwald went at each other with such ferocity I thought they either needed to take it outside or in the alternative, get a room. You can see the video here. No fighting!

~~Hey, in case you were vacationing in a cave for the past week, Keith Olbermann got sent to his room for a time out after it was revealed he gave money to Democratic candidates without getting permission from mom and dad Phil Griffin! Then MSNBC tapped Chris Hayes, editor of ‘The Nation,’ to be the fill-in for an unspecified period of time. You know Hayes…he always fills in for everybody- Maddow, Olbermann, etc. But it turns out Hayes has contributed to Democrats too so he was pulled! But here’s the funny thing, CNBC’s right-wing crank Larry Kudlow gave money to a Republican candidate in 2009- did heget permission from NBC prior to doing so? In fact, most of the CNBC line-up gave political contributions to candidates. So now the question is, do these NBC rules even apply to MSNBC? And if so, do they also apply to CNBC? Murky, no doubt about it. But inquiring minds want to know!

~Nancy Pelosi wants another bite at the apple.

~Obama is in India as part of a ridiculously long trip to Asia which will surely backfire politically. Why? Because even though the trip has been planned for forever and has nothing to do with the midterm election results, that won’t matter to his more vociferous critics on the right. Also, given underwhelming press conference the day after the “shallacking” it does sort of leave the impression, even if untrue, that he’s high-tailing it out of DC at a time when he should be rolling up his sleeves and figuring out what the hell he’s going to do now that those car keys he didn’t want to give to the Republicans, are now in the hands of… the Republicans. The White House is stressing this trip is all about jobs, jobs, jobs. On Saturday he announced $10 billion in new contracts for U.S. exports to India.

~China has put it’s most famous artist under house arrest for criticizing the government. If China wants to call attention to it’s ruthless authoritarian regime, this is a fantastic way to do it. The artist is Ai Weiwei and he happens to be a co-designer of the 2008 Beijing olympic stadium (aka the Bird’s Nest).

~While speaking to Indian college students today Obama said he needs to make some “midcourse corrections” but he didn’t go into specifics.

~Charles Ferguson, writing over at Foreign Policy, argues that Obama needs to get rid of his economic team. I concur. He has an interesting take on it though and the article is a good read.

~Israel is ratcheting up its rhetoric against Iran. It’s clear Israel wants either a) a green light to attack Iran or b) the U.S. to do it for them. The problem is, it would not solve the problem of a potentially nuclear Iran and worse, it could totally backfire and strengthen Iran’s position in the region.

~Along those lines, ~If you think a GOP controlled House won’t change or undermine Obama’s foreign policy, think again.

~In an unbelievable turn of events that clearly portends trouble ahead for the repeal of DADT, the new Marine Corps commandant Gen. James Amos told the media that DADT shouldn’t be repealed. Amos has a major role in the Defense Department’s review of the policy change and in justifying his position he falls back on stupid stereotypes and reinforces the military’s obsession with sleeping quarters and housing (and showers). The timing of these comments is interesting given the GOP now controls the House. Gen. Amos also talked to the press about Afghanistan and makes it very clear he that doesn’t give a damn about any namsy-pamsy timetable for withdrawal because the Marines are staying dammit! I continue to be amazed at how the top brass shows absolutely no respect for the Commander in Chief. Whenever they don’t like Obama’s policies they run to the media and run their mouth or they leak memos in an attempt, usually successful, to paint him into a corner (see Afghanistan). I would respectfully argue that the military becomes emboldened when wars drag on and on- their power increases and they start to openly rebel against the civilian leadership. And when that happens, they need to be reigned in quickly and decisively.

~I highly recommend reading this 2010 report which looked at how the 25 nations which allow gay people to serve openly have fared after the laws/policies banning gays were overturned. I’ll give you the short version- Many actually believe morale has increased and the best results were achieved when the policy reversal was implemented quickly and consistently (read: with minimal drama, second guessing, attempts to undermine the policy change and hand-wringing).

~Myanmar held civilian elections for the first time in 20 years. It’s too bad they were sham elections and nobody can do anything about it.

~Nick Kristoff has a commentary over at the NYT which basically points out that the GOP economic “plan” of extending all of the Bush tax cuts, makes no economic sense. It didn’t work before and it isn’t going to work now.

~Haiti was thankfully not hit as hard by Hurricane Tomas as some feared it would be, but they were still hit hard enough to to cause even more suffering in a country that has had more than it’s share of disaster and heartbreak. The situation is going from bad to worse as cholera continues to spread and the living situation for millions of Haitians is just simply not improving. It’s a great credit to their character that large-scale violence hasn’t broken out.

~I don’t want to ruin your Sunday (if I haven’t already), but Rep. Joe Barton could be poised to take over as Chairman of the House Energy and Commerce Committee although some are saying he is going about it the wrong way. If you want to see an example of just how badly the GOP wants to reward Wall Street and Big Business for their malfeasance, look no further than this article which describes the letter Barton sent to his colleagues, begging for their support.

~Lion Man.

~Here is how the GOP plans to undermine health reform and keep the issue in play for 2012.

~And here are a few more details about what the GOP plans to do in terms of spending cuts. Keep in mind that behind all this talk of spending cuts and numbers and percentages and debt ceilings, there are real human beings who will bear the brunt of this. It’s not some abstraction. That obvious fact seems to have been lost in all the heated rhetoric and lousy messaging leading up to the midterms. The more I read, the angrier I get at the Democrats.

The End.

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Your Sunday Link Dump

Abstract leaf by M. Boddy Evans

Good morning TMers!




On this day in history October 24, 1537, Jane Seymour, the third wife of King Henry VIII, died 12 days after giving birth to Prince Edward, later King Edward VI. And so it goes.

Here are some links to go with your coffee:

~Wikileaks has done another document dump and as predicted, it’s a doozy. Both the Defense Department and the State Department have condemned the leak but given there are serious allegations of government coverups and wrongdoing it raises the question of how exactly are We The People to hold government accountable if they hide their wrongdoing behind state secrets and claims of harm to national security? Reasonable people can disagree about whether or not Wikileaks is performing a valuable service for democracy but at the very least, it’s a discussion worth having. Interestingly, it’s that very aspect of the discussion that the mainstream media ignores. For an example of what the media finds important, see here.

Despite the documents detailing torture, murder and rape taking place for years after the bombshell disclosure of Abu Ghraib, many in the media are once again reacting with the “ho hum, nothing new here” line. That is a pretty stunning reaction because actually, from what I have seen so far, there is a great deal we didn’t know- or atleast we didn’t know the extent of some of what was going on, for example, with private contractors. Here is a google map of Iraqi casualties. One thing that is immediately apparent is that it would seem that the U.S. grossly underestimated civilian deaths. And yes, that’s news.

~Abe Foxman of the ADL continues to destroy his organization’s long, respected history of fighting defamation of all stripes by aligning with right wing interests and issuing a list of 10 American groups which the ADL has defined as dangerously “anti-Israel”- take a look at the list, it’s truly stunning. Essentially, anyone who doesn’t conform to Abe Foxman’s rule of never criticizing Israeli policies ever, has been defined as dangerously anti-Israel. In other absurd ADL news, they recently gave Rupert Murdoch a prestigious award for his commitment to Israel- that’s all well and good but has Abe Foxman actually watched Fox News recently? Fox News is second only to hate-monger Pamela Geller in spreading the Fear of a Muslim Planet. Does Foxman and the ADL really want “being pro-Israel” to be aligned with “being rabidly anti-Muslim?” Given the ADL charter, I would think not. Jonathan Chait over at The New Republic (TNR) (of all places) takes on this latest nonsense and when the ADL is being called out by The New Republic, it’s clear Foxman has crossed a line.

~There is water on the moon. Lots of it.

~This has been bouncing around the internets so I might as well mention it- claims that Meg Whitman’s son may have had a helping hand in making rape allegations disappear.

~General McChrystal has spoken publicly for the first time since being relieved of his duties.

~This is a kind of street battle we should have more of. Much better than gun or knife battles.

~Oh good, it’s not just the gays and the Muslims who are getting beat up by the GOP- now it’s also our ally, France! Freedom fries anyone?

~So, Christine O’Donnell used campaign cash to pay half her rent in Delaware. You just can’t make this stuff up. This means she’ll be a PERFECT Senator because she thinks the rules don’t apply to her- just to the rest of us.

~So, are the super-short-lived Mideast negotiations dead in the water? It sure seems like it reading this WaPo piece.

~Scott Horton over at Harpers looks into the secret prison in Afghanistan on the periphery of Bagram, known as “Tor Jail.” It sounds a rather lot like a continuation of the policy of Black Sites run during the Bush years.

~The global edition of the NYT magazine has an interesting profile of Liberian president Ellen Johnson Sirleaf. It’s worth a read.

~Everyone is talking about the massive spending/budget cuts (or austerity measures) taking place in the U.K. The immediate reaction from the administration (in particular the DoD and State Dept.) last week was “oh no, don’t cut so much defense spending!” and in my humble opinion, this shows just how much the U.S. doesn’t get it. The idea that defense spending is the sacred cow, the idea that “fiscal conservatism” by definition excludes any meaningful consideration of defense cuts, the idea that we don’t want to admit the role that throwing trillions of dollars at unnecessary wars has played in undermining our economy, the total refusal to acknowledge that perhaps Great Britain in particular is tired of chasing the U.S. down each and every military rabbit hole- it was all on display this past week. And yes, I know Secretary Gates has said he wants defense cuts, but being as I am not a Gates fan and being as I know Gates knows Congress likely won’t play along, this could be a win-win for him- he plays the role of defense pragmatist during a time of economic uncertainty but still gets everything he wants anyway.

~Nick Kristoff has an interesting opinion piece about Afghan women and the Taliban. I couldn’t help but wonder as I was reading it “why do we deal with some terrorists and not others?” The taliban is ok, but not Hamas? What factors play into our decisions? Are they purely pragmatic decisions or are they more political?

~~The cholera death toll is rising in Haiti.

~If I ever saw this in real life I’d have a heart attack. Seriously.

~However I did run across one of these in the wild while hiking through Venezuela. Hey, at least it wasn’t a giant spider!

~Is the tea party as large a movement as the publicity suggests?

~Uh oh, Joe Miller has to pony up his personnel records! He’s been trying so hard to keep these private, it makes ‘ya wonder…

The End.

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Revenge of the Bitter Clingers

–bumped–

Nobody knows what the hell is happening right now. Chaos politics is reaching full steam less than two weeks out. Well, Pew has it boiled down: Democrats Stirring But Are No Match for Energized Republicans. Beyond this reality awaits even more dangerous political signs for Democrats, but also Pres. Obama.

Sen. Claire McCaskill, one of Pres. Obama’s strongest advocates, even to a fault, called his challenge with blue collar voters a “tragedy.” “It’s becoming a crisis,” said one unnamed Democratic House member who was cited in Politico’s “President Obama’s white working-class problem.” Some ’08 minefields are coming back to haunt Pres. Obama as the midterms approach, foreshadowing some tough roads ahead.

It’s been seen in the ridiculous notion that foreign companies “stealing” the election would rally young people, but also women, who have been left until last, to his side. Women a much forgotten loyal group of Democrats that the Obama White House is trying very belatedly to court, which is stunning since they can’t win without us. One article described the effort like this: “From blunt TV ads to friendlier backyard chats, they’re straining to persuade women that it’s the Democrats who are on their side.” Stunning that Democrats under Obama are now “straining to persuade women.” It’s just another item in a long line of Democratic political bumbling.

One reason why FPOTUS Bill Clinton is on the campaign trail working his own lines. From today’s Washington Post article, “Former president Clinton on mission to rescue Democratic Party in fall elections.” Unfortunately, not even the master can save Obama or the Democrats from themselves.

Bill Clinton is baffled. The former president’s friends say he is in disbelief that in the closing weeks of the midterm campaigns Democrats have failed to articulate a coherent message on the economy and, worse, have allowed themselves to become “human pinatas.” …

If there was any doubt that Clinton remains the Democratic Party’s North Star, it has been erased over the past few weeks as he has packed legions of supporters into basketball arenas, college quads and airport hangars. He is the Democrats’ most in-demand messenger and, unlike Obama, he is summoned everywhere – no matter how hostile the territory. [...]

It was then, McAuliffe said, that Clinton confided that he has been frustrated with the Democrats’ message.

“He is just baffled and bewildered about why there has not been a more coherent message talking about what the party has done, why we allowed ourselves to become human pinatas,” McAuliffe said. “I think he is agitated that Democrats haven’t put their best foot forward in explaining to the American public what they’ve actually done.” …

Pres. Obama doesn’t like retail politics.

FPOTUS Bill Clinton thrives on it.

After every speech, he flings off his suit jacket and works the crowd. He wraps his arms around folks and listens for cues about what ails America. (source)

At a time of America’s economic freak out people simply don’t want to hear innumerable word salads. They want the touch of someone who understands what they’re going through, can speak to it, and makes them feel that he or she can be trusted to guide them through the dark.

Obama’s political home is rhetorical grandstanding, which was so effective in 2008. But in 2008, Obama avoided the working-class contingent like the plague, especially Appalachia. For his reelection bid, this strategy just won’t cut it. As the old saying goes adding a twist, the voters have been there, seen that and as things stand today they’re not buying his spiels anymore.

That goes double in working-class white neighborhoods that have never been Barack Obama’s strong suit. In some instances there is absolutely a discomfort level still with an African American president, which at worst is blatant racism. But a bigger problem is that this African American president still hasn’t learned to speak their language. What makes it worse is Pres. Obama hasn’t even tried since winning the presidency, which happened because working-class white voters took a leap of faith.

The analysis at Politico is spot on and backed by the numbers, not to mention the anecdotal evidence:

But by necessity, they have taken a back seat to Obama’s central strategy in 2010 of pumping up turnout among blacks, Latinos, urban voters, union members and educated whites.

Apart from a last-ditch effort to energize women voters, there’s been no equivalent push to regain lost white independents and conservative Democrats, who flocked to Obama in 2008 – only to abandon him over huge spending bills and the sputtering recovery.

Twice as many non-college educated whites (60 percent) now plan to vote for a Republican this year than a Democrat (31 percent). And approval of Obama’s handling of the economy has tanked by 20 percentage points among white Democrats since April, according to a Washington Post/ABC News poll taken earlier this month.

Looking out to 2012, the states that were friendly to a newcomer in 2008, a man whose high-flying rhetoric, promise, mixed with his beautiful personal profile, including his gorgeous wife and family, are all going to be much tougher for Pres. Obama.

The long-term danger for Obama is that if his approval ratings among whites stay low, the revolt takes root – shredding a 2008 map that included single-digit wins in Pennsylvania, Indiana, Virginia, Michigan, Florida and all-important Ohio, which Obama won by three percentage points with the political wind at his back.

The only oasis for Pres. Obama is that among the Republican Tea Party crowd, a party people trust even less than Democrats, there isn’t any belief that anyone on the Right can win over a broad enough electorate to beat Obama’s personal approval among Americans.

If you add the likelihood of Tea Party Republicans holding power in the House, plus others getting airtime when they win their races and go to the Senate, the novelty of some of these unpolished politicians could wear thin very quickly.

The foundation of a reverse wave after this year’s midterms could rebound in Obama’s favor.

But that’s the possibles, with this year’s reality for Democrats and Obama stark.

“Right now, he couldn’t sell ice water in hell,” says Dee Davis, who runs a Kentucky nonprofit that studies voting patterns in the Appalachian belt, which encompasses southern Ohio, western Pennsylvania, western Virginia, West Virginia and Kentucky. (from Politico)

Remember who the White House sent to help Jack Conway in Kentucky this year? It wasn’t Barack Obama.

Pres. Obama needs a working-class tutor.

Former Pres. Bill Clinton has been out there showing Obama how it’s done for months. But Pres. Obama just doesn’t get it. Case in point was the woman at the CNBC town hall who said she was “exhausted” defending Pres. Obama. His response was wooden and non-relating.

The White House is now scrambling. They went after the youth vote recently, but not only ignored The Gays but stuck a fist in their eye, gave an education bone to Hispanics, and in a “last ditch effort” they’re trotting out their bona fides with women. “Last ditch” being the operative words.

Obama and the Democrats have made so many political mistakes at a time when they could least afford them.

There’s a reason FPOTUS Bill Clinton is taking out on his own to help Democratic candidates. The current Democrats in charge are politically incompetent.

TM Note: Sen. Claire McCaskill’s quote was originally attributed to Huffington Post, but was the Politico, which has been changed above.

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Sick of Polls Yet?



The latest takeaway from the NBC/WSJ poll (larger version of the graphic above is at the link):

In the broader category of registered voters, 46% favor a Democratic-controlled Congress, compared with 44% who want Republican control. But in the 92 House districts considered most competitive, the GOP’s lead among registered voters is 14 points, underscoring the Democrats’ challenge in maintaining their hold on the House. The poll of 1,000 registered voters was taken Oct. 14-18.

See results from The Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll, including Obama’s approval rating since the start of his term.

“It’s hard to say Democrats are facing anything less than a category four hurricane,” said Peter Hart, the Democratic pollster who conducts the Journal poll with Republican pollster Bill McInturff. “And it’s unlikely the Democratic House will be left standing.”

Among likely voters, Republicans hold a 50% to 43% edge, up from a three-percentage-point lead a month ago.

There is also a 10-point gender gap, which is very bad news for Democrats.

Whatever positive news has been gleaned from the last few weeks as Democratic likely voters “come home” has been eclipsed by the reality that the voters who are getting ready to flood the polls prefer Republicans take control of Congress, besting Dems by 7 points.

However, since the White House has gotten Pres. Obama back on the campaign trail his numbers have improved. It’s part of the “glimmer of hope” that the NBC/WSJ poll reveals.

However, there are glimmers of hope for Democrats in the poll. For starters, President Barack Obama’s numbers have improved slightly. His job-approval rating among registered voters stands at 47 percent, up one point from last month and three points from August.

The rest is up to Democratic voters and how many will actually get out and vote. Obama’s strongest support, young people and African Americans, are not expected to come out in near the numbers of 2008.

Meanwhile, the Tea Party crowd is gnashing at the bit to cast their votes. There’s nothing like this excitement on the Left.

Democrats that find themselves within the margin of error in their race are in for a tough election night, as far as I can tell. It is unlikely to be enough to stave off what’s coming their way.

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Your Sunday News Round-Up

Good morning! I hope everyone is having a good autumn weekend.

On this day in history, October 17 1610, King Louis XIII of France, age 9, was crowned at Reims, five months after the assassination of his father, Henry IV.

Here are some links to go with your morning coffee or tea:

~More WikiLeaks whistleblowing, this time about the Iraq War. I have a feeling this could be a doozy. I wish WikiLeaks had been a bit more responsible about keeping names and information about some informants, confidential, but at the end of the day, given both Democrats and Republicans insist on maintaining shadow governments which operate with minimal oversight and under the auspice of “State Secrets,” we do need whistleblowers now more than ever. Sad, but true. Secretary Gates has said the leaks haven’t done much damage but at the same time they continue to claim they are a threat to national security.

~This is a fantastic idea, but it’s a little late in the game in terms of messaging. Ending the tax breaks that entice large corporations to send our jobs overseas should be considered a patriotic litmus test as far as I’m concerned- any yahoo can stick a flag pin on their lapel or a yellow ribbon on their gas-guzzling car but to me, patriotism should be, in part, about keeping our economy viable for the long-term. And for that to happen, we need to actually start manufacturing things again.

~So, who wants to touch this political-social-religious hot potato? Is there a media double-standard when it comes to news personalities making stupid comments that are offensive to large groups of people, particularly when it comes to religion? Over at Salon’s War Room, they are asking why Rick Sanchez was gone in 60 seconds while Fox News’ Brian Kilmeade can say outrageously offensive things about Muslims and still keep his job. Raw Story has more.

~Condi Rice is doing her best to whitewash the lies that led to the Iraq War. Sorry, Condi, it was more than poor execution. Glenn Greenwald makes some very good points about how we Americans live in a political culture that promotes zero accountability. Obama met with Ms. Rice to talk about foreign policy issues. And the circle is complete…

~Oh, and speaking of zero accountability, the NYT is reporting that Iraqi Sunnis who had originally worked with US troops have switched sides and joined Al Qaeda, dealing a significant blow to our efforts there.

~Apparently crime pays. At least if you are the former CEO of Countrywide. A $67 million fine sounds like a lot, until you realize he made about $140 million in 2007 alone.

~Tony Blair gets a literary award he’d probably pass on if he had his say. It’s for bad erotic fiction- in his memoir.

~Ethan Bronner is still trying to convince us that the whole Israeli settlement snafu is actually not so black and white because after all, the U.S. and Japan consider them legal. Except Japan really doesn’t and the U.S.’ policy towards settlements has been so politicized over the years that it’s difficult to make any sense of it. I had a conversation with Bronner about this about two weeks ago and he’s been called out by Phillip Weiss, among others, for harping on the “the US thinks the settlements are illegal” meme. This recent article of his seems to be an attempt to hit back at the people and groups who are constantly reminding him that settlement expansion is not only an obstacle to peace, but a violation of international law. I did some research and it turns out that Ronald Reagan in 1981 changed how we spoke about settlements and he unilaterally declared them no longer illegal. There was no legal basis for this change and as far as I can tell there was no formal process that was involved. In fact, it smacks of pure politics as it was during the time of the rise of the Evangelical Right (many of whom were Christian Zionists because of their belief about the role Israel played in”the Rapture”) and also the expanding influence of some pro-Israel groups like AIPAC. In other words, the change in how we referred to the settlements had nothing to do with a brand-spanking new legal interpretation or belief that the Geneva Conventions’ articles dealing with land expansion by an occupying power suddenly was no longer relevant, but rather it had everything to do with short term political expedience.

~The U.S. had been warned about about the terrorist links of one of the people involved in the terrorist attack in Mumbai, India. It appears that the US may have been hesitant to delve too deeply into the double life of David C. Headley because he was also a Pakistani informant for the U.S. DEA. The situation also may represent another stunning breakdown in communications between our different intelligence agencies. It’s all well and good to have us all take off our shoes at airport security but if the massive intelligence bureaucracy can’t communicate with each other when they have actionable intelligence, then what’s the point?

~The dems have come to the earth-shattering conclusion that voter turnout among African Americans is key. Like I said, earth-shattering. They may want to consider focusing on turnout with every other group that has traditionally been key to Democratic success in elections- women, gay folks, white people, the base, independents. Is it me or are the Democrats just looking for excuses for their inability to unite the party behind any person or message other than “vote for us because we’re not them?”

~These guys sort of defy gravity.

~The NYT has called out the Obama administration for using a totally disingenuous argument for appealing the injunction issued by the Federal court in California which found that DADT is unconstitutional. Essentially, the court ordered the military to stop enforcing DADT. The NYT points out that the arguments made by the administration are the same anti-gay, fear-mongering arguments made by the anti-gay right. The problem is that if and when the administration ever gets around to actually doing something about DADT, the GOP and conservative democrats will use the Obama administration’s own arguments against overturning the ban. Obama is trying to claim that the only way DADT can be stopped is via Congress. This is patently untrue. It is well within the rights of the federal courts to strike down laws deemed unconstitutional. It is becoming more clear every day that despite Obama’s lofty promises of ending this policy, he has absolutely no intention of doing so.

~A 50 seat gain for the GOP in the House? Obama and the Democrats have no one to blame but themselves.

~Quite a few people are perplexed about the disconnect between Obama’s stated foreign policy goals (prior to taking office) and how he has actually conducted his foreign policy. Reasonable people can disagree, but I think there is a strong argument that Obama set expectations way too high in certain parts of the world like South America and the Middle East, and it has actually made things worse. As soon as he gets the slightest pushback from any quarter, he immediately back-tracks and looks weak.

~Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito is upset about the increasingly political tenor of the political speech know as The State of the Union. So, in protest, he’s not showing up this year. In other words, he’s playing politics.

~It’s official. Rupert Murdoch is not only a jerk to those with whom he disagrees politically, but apparently also to his own shareholders. Why on earth the mainstream media continues to pretend Fox News is a legitimate news organization, is beyond me.

~Can we please put to rest this notion that the Tea Party fanatics actually have legitimate political concerns when a) they were totally silent during the eight years when the GOP were spending like a bunch of drunken sailors; b) they did nothing constructive with health care or illegal immigration during that time, and c) they can’t seem to name one actual program they would cut? It’s all well and good to say taxes are evil, the government is intrusive and the national debt is too high but I haven’t heard a single one of them offer a realistic plan for anything. All they seem obsessed with is ensuring that all of us white people understand that it’s the people with dark skin who are causing all of our economic problems. That’s original.

~German Chancellor Angela Merkel has announced that multiculturalism in Germany has been a failure. Her comments are pointed, seem to be directed at the nation’s Muslims and could increase tensions.

~These politicians simply have to stop the verbal gay-bashing. It’s unacceptable irrespective of how one views the issue.

~If these guys are the next iteration of the national Democratic party, count me out.

~The Obama administration punts again on the issue of China’s manipulation of their currency. Got backbone?

The End.

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Dems Still In It, Because the Alternative Is Frightening

Once-despondent Democrats now believe that they may be able to avert a total midterm wipeout, as a series of important states now appears to be trending in their direction or growing more competitive. The bad news: In a sign of how hostile the election environment remains for the party, the cautious optimism is largely due to the view that the impending political hurricane could be downgraded from category 5 to category 4. … – Democrats seize on signs of hope



The One Nation rally and the latest Newsweek poll, coming after the NBC/WSJ poll, offers more hope for Democrats, even as the underlying challenge stays the same.

The midterms has been all about the Tea Party up until now. We’re just beginning to head into the pay attention period of the election season. This will be the most dangerous time for the Tea Party and the far right, which is already being proven, because as people tune in the contrast between Democrats and people running on the Republican right is as real as it is frightening.

Rush Limbaugh, Sean Hannity and the right-wing radio crew, along with Fox News, are all going full tilt to back the extremists. Rush saying these “regular people” have simply lived “real lives.” One can only imagine what the wingnut radio crew would be squealing if Ms. O’Donnell was a Democrat claiming to have practiced witchcraft. Rush calling Mr. Paladino “Trumanesque” when he threatened to take out New York Post State Editor Fred Dicker. This election season has turned Limbaugh’s analysis into a parody parade of not to be believed propaganda that I haven’t heard from him since he speculated on air that Pres. Bill Clinton was a murderer.

The race that most defines the midterms is Sen. Harry Reid versus Sharron Angle. Reid is disliked by many Nevadans, but also gets low marks in just about every national poll. However, when you look at Sharron Angle there is real danger in being so cavalier as to think she’s a sober choice for the Senate. This race is a microcosm of what’s happening in other places across the country, with the Tea Party candidates that are succeeding revealing their inner adult, which has been Marco Rubio’s strength, no matter his far right reach. Still, the bottom line is that for many likely voters the choice remains none of the above or the lesser of two evils, which actually is the only thing standing between the Democrats and oblivion.

Meanwhile, Thomas Friedman made the case Sunday for an independent candidacy for 2012, which spun Steve Benen and others into a hissy fit over it. Granted, Mr. Friedman doesn’t get much right (see Iraq), with Benen saying Friedman is simply part of a “long list of centrist media figures to call for a third party to offer a sensible alternative to Democrats and Republicans.” Benen finds Friedman’s argument “unpersuasive.” But if Benen is going to grumble about “unpersuasive” he should check his own argument, though he’s got a lot of company on this one.

There’s a reason people aren’t crazy about both parties, even if they like Democrats more, including what they say they stand for, with Republicans coming in second to Democrats. Campaigning on the public option then killing it without a fight isn’t inspiring. Republicans killing everything is even worse. Speaker Pelosi inviting the Catholic Church to help write health care was an outrage. Republicans killing any hope of expanding health care even worse. It’s the type of leaders that rise in both big parties, which many believe has gotten us in the mess we’re in, but is also keeping us stuck. Likely voters are turning to outsiders, while longing for a choice beyond the big two, for a reason.

It’s a problem when Rand Paul and Jack Conway, clearly the better choice for Kentuckians, both say they think the Bush tax cuts should be extended. Both afraid to upset the tax cart, because someone might run a negative ad saying they’re raising taxes. Bill Clinton raised taxes in the 1990s, but that didn’t work out too badly, now did it? But of course, Bubba could sell it.

Now, it wouldn’t be a shocker, since Friedman is a New Yorker, that he’s secretly hoping for a Michael Bloomberg run in 2012. That’s not the issue and neither is the Donald Trump fantasy candidacy. The issue is that people are sick of the same old political formula with the same types of creatures the big two parties churn out, which now includes Barack Obama for many likely voters, because people feel the campaign marketing hasn’t lived up to the man’s actions. It’s why the number one issue in the midterms is outsider status.

Take Linda McMahon in Connecticut. She’s left her wrestling wildness in the dust and is coming off as a serious businesswoman who wants to go to Washington to change what’s been happening. She’s also got the outsider, independent quotient, which is the number one identifying element for all candidates who are rising to the top, including being a woman, something that makes her the ultimate political outsider. As an aside, Charlie Crist going conveniently Independent has been clearly seen as perfunctory, with Florida voters knowing an insider pol when they see one, rejecting Crist for Rubio. McMahon’s opponent, Mr. Blumenthal, is as insider as you get in Connecticut, so with McMahon’s sober campaign countering the crazy of other right-wing candidates, she’s moved into striking distance. Whether she can win is another matter, which is still the question haunting all the outsider types who have come a long way, but still have to get elected.

As for Democrats, they’ve got real problems, which are making people restless and looking elsewhere. With Pres. Obama the instigator of the “Debt Commission” that is targeting fundamental changes to Social Security, with Democrats going along so far, why shouldn’t voters be questioning the loss of their political soul? When Democrats won’t fight for middle class tax cuts and make the case before an election, why shouldn’t people look for an Independent who will?

What will put the outsiders in office is that Democrats may come out for candidates as they would in normal midterms, but Tea Party, Independents and Republican numbers will likely be much greater. What shakes out in the balance is the election, but also the House, with the Senate remaining safe for Democrats, though considering their weak leadership it hardly matters.

Looking forward, what the chaos politics of the midterms continues to unleash is a further acting out of voters showing their dissatisfaction with both Democrats and Republicans. It won’t go away after November no matter how much partisans want to ignore it and whether Tea Party candidates win or lose.

This post has been updated.

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The Sunday News Round-Up: Autumn Edition

Good morning! I hope everyone is having a good weekend. Here in Boston it is a beautiful Autumn weekend- this is my favorite time of year here with the leaves turning, it’s absolutely beautiful.

On this day in history, October 2, 1942 President Franklin D. Roosevelt established the Office of Economic Stabilization.

Here are some links to go with your morning coffee. Feel free to drop links you recommend in the comments:

~The One Nation rally took place in DC yesterday. The rally featured progressive, labor and civil rights groups and some coverage can be found here.

~Too Big To Fail? TARP Part 2? Yup. So much for financial reform getting to the root of the problem which causes the collapse of the largest financial institutions. It’s this sort of thing that Obama doesn’t seem to understand when people criticize his great legislative victories.

~The media seems to be selectively ignoring the news that the State Dept. has given a lucrative contract to the Defense Contractor Formerly Known As Blackwater. Taylor wrote about it here and if you missed it, check it out because it’s galling. In fact, don’t just check it out, email the State Dept. and the White House and and ask why U.S. taxpayers will be funding this mercenary army of criminals.

~Glenn Greenwald was one of a small cadre of people who drew attention to the just-released UN report finding that Israel used excessive force in its handling of the boarding of the flotilla the Mavi Marmara. While Israel has declared the report “biased” some of the forensic findings raise serious questions about whether the Justice Department has a responsibility to investigate further. In particular, it appears that U.S. citizen Furkan Dogan may have been shot several times at a distance when he was filming what was taking place on deck and then shot again while lying on the ground at very close range. Silence from the US government and most in the mainstream media.

~Can the Nevada Senate race get any more bizarre? Yes it can.

~19 year-old Tyler Clementi posted these words on Facebook via his cell phone before jumping off a bridge and ending his life: ““Going to jump off the gw bridge sorry.” As everyone now knows the reason for his suicide was that his Rutgers college roommate put hidden cameras in the room to videotape Clementi and a male schoolmate engaging in sexual activity. This is the fourth suicide of a gay teen in three weeks. Clearly, despite all our gains in the area of gay rights and tolerance, we have to stop and reflect on the fact that we still have not come nearly far enough. Dharun Ravi and Molly Wei have been arrested and face a maximum of 5 years in prison for invasion of privacy. Somehow that seems inadequate and apparently the prosecutor agrees as they are now considering hate crimes charges.

~And how has the right wing responded to these horrible acts of bullying? With compassion? With a sense of spiritual giving and offers of comfort and support? Nah, this is how they responded.

~Hey, Democrats and Republicans are working together on something- they have agreed to block Obama’s ability to use the Congressional hiatus to make recess appointments.

~Why is the Michigan Assistant Attorney General Andrew Shirvell stalking a gay U. of Michigan student? Have people lost their minds?

~Did we declare war on Pakistan and someone forgot to tell us? Things are really heating up in Pakistan as they continue to bar NATO convoys from entering Afghanistan through the Khyber Pass after the death of several Pakistani soldiers who they claim were killed by NATO (ie. US) helicopter fire.

~See ‘ya later Rahm.

~Right wing Karl Rove wannabe Jame’s O’Keefe’s plan to try to seduce a CNN reporter and videotape it, not only shows that O’Keefe wouldn’t know investigative journalism if it bit him in the ass, but it also likely demonstrates that the kid may very well be not right in the head. I’m serious about that now.

~And when Andrew Breitbart speaks out against O’Keefe’s latest stunt, then you know how twisted it must be.

~Osama Bin Laden is back in a new audiotape and uh, he’s talking about climate change and flood/disaster relief.

~Another Harry Potter book? Maybe? Possibly? Please?

~Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is urging the Palestinians to continue direct negotiations despite continued illegal settlement construction beyond the Green Line. Much will depend on the results of the Arab League meeting later this week.

~Salon disses Bob Woodward’s tactics in getting high-profile government and military officials to let him listen in on their high-level conversations/deliberations for his latest book Obama’s Wars. In return for access, he flatters them not only in person, but in his books. That raises some questions though- exactly how objective is Woodward if in order to maintain access, he must flatter those who are the subject of his writing?

~Staff changes in the White House seem to bode unwell for progressives. There is nothing bold or energizing about the new people replacing the old ones. This raises the question of whether Obama is too insulated by those he knows and trusts. Like so many other Presidents he seems to prize loyalty and status quo ideas over those who might express bold, diverse opinions. Don’t get me wrong, I don’t begrudge anyone who wants a few loyal advisers around, but had Obama thrown out some of the names of these folks (Summers, Emanuel, Goolsbee) during the 2008 election season, it likely would have caused many progressives to go “huh?” Pete Rouse will replace Emanuel, at least for the short term.

~And who exactly is Pete Rouse? The Washington Post did a slavishly flattering profile of him which resulted in Slate dissing both the WaPo and NYT for their shameless and quite transparent efforts to kiss both Rouse and Emanuel’s you-know-what for the purpose of maintaining top level White House access. It would be quite a funny read were it not for the fact that it displays how the MSM are really just stenographers for the powerful.

~GOP Senator Jim DeMint seems to be a wee bit drunk on Tea Party power and it may anger some Republican senators as much as it does Democrats.

~Speaking of Senator DeMint, he recently opined that gay people and unmarried women who sleep with their boyfriends (but not unmarried men who sleep with their girlfriends?) should NOT be teaching our children! And when confronted with his draconian bigotry (and sexism) he actually made HIMSELF the victim by claiming his views were being targeted by people intolerant of his religious beliefs. Or something like that. *sigh*

~Robert Gibbs for DNC Chair? Now, I’m not a Beltway person but I was wondering, does anyone like Robert Gibbs except Robert Gibbs and Barack Obama? Because it always seems to me that his sarcastic, arrogant style of communication rubs a lot of people the wrong way.

~Rupert Murdoch’s News Corp. throws another million dollars at conservatives, this time through the Chamber of Commerce.

~How can anyone take Jan Brewer seriously?

~So, who is the big winner in the Iraqi elections after months of being unable to form a government? Iran! [per Professor Juan Cole over at Informed Comment]

~Brazilian candidate Dilma Rousseff may be headed for the presidency pending the results of today’s voting in Brazil.

~Frank Rich has a provocative opinion piece in today’s NYT about Christine O’Donnell being the GOP’s useful idiot and how her detractors may not have the last laugh in November. According to Rich, one of the functions she serves is to provide faux populism to a party entrenched in corporate protectionism. Whether one agrees or disagrees, it’s an interesting read.

~I was surprised to read this opinion piece in the WaPo because it’s not often that I agree with their views on foreign policy and national security/defense as they tend to lean in a quite hawkish direction. But today they have a column about how when Defense Secretary Gates retires, President Obama could do the Democratic Party a big favor and break with precedent and appoint an actual Democrat to that position. The Democrats’ constant need to fill the post with Republican scions of the defense establishment suggests an appalling lack of self confidence and it also sets the stage for rifts in the administration when it comes to defense policy, something we now see has plagued the Obama administration since day one.

The End.

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Sunday News Round-Up

Good morning! I hope everyone is having a good weekend.

On this day in history, September 19, 1777, during the Revolutionary War, American soldiers won the first Battle of Saratoga.

Here are some links to go with your coffee:

~ It’s being reported this morning that seven US troops have allegedly been detained by Iran as they crossed the Iranian border.

~Speaking of Iran, President Ahmadinejad will be in NY for the upcoming UN General Assembly- naturally he will speaking. He said in an interview on Iranian television that he is hoping that the U.S. releases several Iranian prisoners as a result of the release of US citizen Sarah Shourd, who just returned to the U.S. this morning.

~And speaking of the upcoming UN General Assembly, guess who will be representing Israel at the podium? Far-right wing foreign minister Avigdor Lieberman. He will be the first Israeli FM to address the General Assembly and given his unhelpful comments last week that peace/a two state solution “will not be achieved in the next year, the timetable for the negotiations, or in the next generation,” one has to wonder what in the world Bibi Netanyahu was thinking given direct negotiations with the Palestinians are still ongoing (and the main reason why Bibi himself will not be speaking at the UN).

~Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas seems to be backing off his threat to walk out of direct negotiations if the partial moratorium on illegal settlement construction isn’t renewed.

~McClatchy is at it again, doing actual journalism! They are reporting that contrary to the administration’s triumphant announcement that combat operations in Iraq have ended, Iraqi forces have called on U.S. troops to engage in quite a bit of combat. According to the GAO the US taxpayer has spent upwards of 24 billion dollars training Iraqi forces and Iraqis apparently have little trust in the ability of the Iraqi forces to protect them.

~Here is a list of the Democrats who want to preserve tax cuts for the rich. And here is a helpful Q&A about the debate over extending the Bush tax cuts.

~Mike Huckabee comes out against insurance for people with pre-existing conditions. Notice his argument where he compares human beings to real estate and health insurance to property insurance. The Democrats should be scratching their heads saying “I can’t believe we are losing to these guys.”

~The NYT editorial page calls on the Pentagon to stop its enforcement of DADT until the issues are resolved in the courts (and ultimately the law is repeated by Congress). Checkmate. Your move Obama.

~Did Tony Blair just endorse preventative war with Iran?

~Suddenly Marty Peretz’ hateful anti-Muslim views have garnered much more attention than they usually have in the past, now that Nick Kristoff has called him out on his most recent outburst over at the National Review. Of course, Peretz has been saying similar things for almost two decades now, so why anyone is shocked is beyond me. The question is, will Harvard still bestow this major honor upon him? Apparently Harvard is feeling the heat.

~Speaking of Kristoff, he has done more in the last several weeks to shine a light on America’s irrational fear of A Muslim Planet than almost anyone. Here is his commentary today.

~At the Values Voter Summit, the religious right anointed Indiana Rep. Mike Pence to be their 2012 candidate (along with Palin) in a straw poll.

~Also at the Values Voter Summit, Gingrich called for a federal ban on Sharia law. You know, because Sharia law is a huge problem here in the U.S. Kind of like flag burning was when they called for a ban on that.

~Good lord this story is depressing (after you read the hopeful title of the article and then the very first sentence, I think you’ll see what I mean).

~Alaska Senator Lisa Murkowski isn’t going to give up her Senate seat without a fight- she’s announced she’s going to be a write-in candidate in November.

~You are getting very sleepy….

~Here is a story that really makes the U.S. government look incompetent and sloppy. It seems like U.S. politics trumped sound judgment and due diligence and as a result, we may have endangered the very Iranian protesters and activists we were supposedly trying to help in the aftermath of the Iranian elections.

~Every American (including Obama’s foreign policy/defense team) should read this story about these rogue soldiers who went on a civilian killing spree in Afghanistan, keeping skulls and other human bones as mementos. We Americans who are not in the military are far removed from the effects of war and its about time that we ask ourselves what perpetual war will do to our soldiers, their families and even us. I’m not making excuses for what these soldiers did, but for every story we read about alleged war crimes, how many incidents has the Department of Defense covered up?

~Damon Linker, writing in the Washington Post, argues that all political candidates should have to take a religious test and answer particular questions about the role their faith may play in their decision-making. Notice that this implies that all candidates for high office will be followers of an organized religion. In other words, agnostics and atheists need not apply?

~Guess who wants China’s currency to remain undervalued even though it hurts the US economy in a multitude of ways? Bingo. Wall Street. It’s time we call out Wall Street for their lack of economic patriotism. Yes, class warfare all the way.

~Here’s a refreshing change of pace- after Elizabeth Warren was named as the interim head (and Presidential adviser) of the CFPA guess who she reached out to first? Progressive bloggers! It’s nice to have someone in the administration who not only doesn’t treat us progressives like last nights one night stand, but who actually values our views and input.

~One state’s GOP has taken a brief break from scapegoating Muslims so that they can go back to scapegoating the tried and true standby- gays!

~Senate democrats are hoping to slip a long-stalled immigration provision known as the DREAM Act into the upcoming defense appropriations bill. They can expect exactly zero republicans to sign on.

~Parliamentary elections in Afghanistan were marked by Taliban violence, fraud and very light voter turnout.

~This upcoming Thursday, Teresa Lewis will be the first woman executed in Virginia in 100 years.

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Sarah Palin, Rush on NY-23

Via Facebook, naturally:

… The race for New York’s 23rd District is not over, just postponed until 2010. The issues of this election have always centered on the economy – on the need for fiscal restraint, smaller government, and policies that encourage jobs. In 2010, these issues will be even more crucial to the electorate. I commend Doug Hoffman and all the other under-dog candidates who have the courage to put themselves out there and run against the odds. …

ScreenHunter_04 Nov. 04 13.36

Rush was on fire today, which I tweeted here, here, here and here.

Chris Kelly offers the CW on Hoffman’s loss, though he’s by no means alone on his opinion. It’s shallow and shortsighted.

What Mr. Kelly misses in his exuberance, which I appreciate because there wasn’t much to be found for Dems last night, is the miracle that Hoffman got so far in the first place. I saw a tape of part of his concession speech, played on the midnight edition of “Hardball.” The man has NO POLITICAL TALENT WHATSOEVER. Emotion and sharing stark conservative views fueled this candidacy, with Hoffman representing the Palin Party line. Conservatives came out & almost pulled it off, plus showed the GOP establishment they could do it. You can bet Charlie Crist isn’t laughing. Blue Dogs aren’t either.

But Owens is still the first Democrat to hold the seat since Ulysses S. Grant, according to Axelrod, who thought last night’s election disasters were important enough that he even appeared on Andrea Mitchell’s show, which isn’t exactly ratings central.

Hey, I’ll take the Owens win, gladly. But no one should be deluded into thinking it will stop Palin and her tea party pals.

4. With Bill Owens ‘ (D) victory in the New York 23rd district special election that makes five straight wins in contested specials over the past two years for the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee. In 2008, the DCCC won in Illinois’ 14th, Louisiana’s 6th and Mississippi’s 1st. This year, Rep. Scott Murphy (D) won in New York’s 20th. A very impressive record in tough-to-figure-out specials. – Chris Cilizza

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Party’s Over

hoffman_ny23

Everybody is an independent. Obama’s non-ideological penchant has spread. It’s the antidote to tea partyism.

Dan Baltz has the traditional view:

The most significant change came among independent voters, who solidly backed Democrats in 2006 and 2008 but moved decisively to the Republicans on Tuesday, according to exit polls. In Virginia, independents strongly supported Republican Robert F. McDonnell in his victory over Democrat R. Creigh Deeds, while in New Jersey, they supported Republican Chris Christie in his win over Democratic Gov. Jon S. Corzine.

For months, polls have shown that independents were increasingly disaffected with some of Obama’s domestic policies. They have expressed reservations about the president’s health-care efforts and have shown concerns about the growth in government spending and the federal deficit under his leadership. …

Obama’s bailout was a disaster, but as far as “health-care efforts”, you can argue that too little has been done leaving voters empty, while they wonder why Wall Street is flying high, with health care unfortunately now part of that mix.

The model win for the night was Bob McDonnell in Virginia who didn’t run ads identifying himself as a Republican even though he’s farther to the right than most on the national scene.

In other words, in the age of Obama, it’s now more about personality power over party ideology even more than it was before. However, when you have someone like Deeds who isn’t as talented as Obama, and send them out into an election without core principles on which to campaign and fight, they’re going to get shellacked.

It’s not for amateurs.

After watching a brief clip of Mr. Hoffman on the late night version of “Hardball” last night, all I could think of was how in the world did he get this far? Worst politician I’ve seen on camera at this level in a very long time. But he and his tea party friends managed to knock off Scozzafava, even as she helped knock him off. We Democrats, salute you.

The New Jersey loss is the big one, which will likely send shockwaves through the Blue Dogs, as well as the Bayh, Lincoln, Nelson and Lieberman coalition in the Senate. This bodes ill for real health care reform and big accomplishments, which is the only way Dems can make the case in 2010, because Obama won’t be on the ballot next year either.

Hey, but a least we’re not Republicans, who are in the throes of a political war. Democrats don’t have that kind of passion to worry about at this point. We’re all hoped out. See Maine.

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Obama Not a Factor, But Independents Flood to GOP

multiple updates below
(Post originally logged @ 8:38 pm)

Earthquake in New Jersey, according to Fox News and CNN. On top of the independent voter news, this is huge. But in NY-23, the tea party activist candidate Hoffman is on his way to a loss, with the Dem possibly winning in a district we haven’t won in 200 years, though final tallies won’t be ready until tomorrow. Tea party activists came close, but maybe not enough. Though not long ago a Hoffman supporter said, “it’s over.” To tea party activists it will be a disappointment, but it won’t matter. It was about more than winning for them. It was about backing people they want in office, no matter the costs, even if they lose. Message sent. For Republicans, the civil war continues.

christiewins

Health care freezes now. Blue Dogs and other Dems won’t budge on big legislation. All this with the Republican brand in tatters.

ScreenHunter_05 Nov. 03 20.56

Via CNN:

In Virginia, where 30 percent of voters identify themselves as independent; 65 percent cast their ballots for CNN’s projected winner, Republican Bob McDonnell. That’s according to early CNN Exit Poll data. Democrat Creigh Deeds earned the votes of 34 percent of independents.

In New Jersey, Republican Chris Christie took 58 percent of the independent vote while incumbent Gov. Jon Corzine, a Democrat, got only 31 percent. Independent candidate Chris Daggett got just 9 percent of the independent vote. Independents made up 28 percent of the voters in New Jersey race.

Christie leading huge in early returns.

Polls over the last couple of months have revealed a trend away from Democrats. It now seems to have manifested. We shall see as the night deepens.

Six in 10 New Jersey voters said Tuesday that President Obama had no effect on their vote in this off-year gubernatorial election, according to early CNN Exit Poll data. – CNN

Except on Fox, where Bill O’Reilly and Karl Rove said the opposite. I know, you’re shocked.

As for Creigh Deeds, standing for nothing has consequences, as does running as a Blue Dog in a state that likes strong. Deeds saying he would “opt-out” of the public option was the end for Democrats. See conversation with my friend Mash (a Virginian) @ Facebook.

What’s on voters’ minds? Via CBS:

A majority of voters in both states said they are worried about the direction of the nation’s economy over the next year. 85 percent of Virginia voters said they are worried, as are 90 percent of voters in New Jersey. These percentages were similar on Election Day in 2008.

In both states the economy topped the list of issues that mattered most to voters in their choice for governor – in Virginia health care was second, while in New Jersey the second choice was property taxes.

… Still, majorities of voters in both states (55 percent in Virginia and 60 percent in New Jersey) said President Obama was not a factor in their vote today. Those who said Mr. Obama was a factor in New Jersey divided as to whether their vote was a vote for the president (19 percent) or against him (20 percent). In Virginia, slightly fewer voters said their vote was for Mr. Obama (18 percent) than against him (24 percent).

…and I want to take you back to the National Journal’s new media poll from last week. What are the two big issues for 2010? I said economy, but also added my own category to include GOTV. Tonight I’ve been proved correct on both. From ABC:

Vast economic discontent marked the mood of Tuesday’s off-year voters, portending potential trouble for incumbents generally and Democrats in particular in 2010. …

Yep, it’s still “the economy, stupid.”

ScreenHunter_06 Nov. 03 21.29

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Lawyers in Jersey, Smooth Talking Aliens on TV

updated

Christie to Sean Hannity earlier today: “I’ve got 300 lawyers” ready and waiting, so Gov. Corzine better beware.

TPMMuckaker’s Zachary Roth sets it up perfectly: Another election, another boatload of evidence-free Republican claims of voter fraud…

Hannity was doing his best to stir the post on this one, with Christie joining in. The proof? Non-existent. It’s just what these guys do to preemptively excuse a close loss. At least, let’s hope it’s a loss, because if Corzine loses the reverberations will freeze health care in place until the pols shake the chill. Who knows how long that could take.

TO ADD… If this story had broken before today Dems would have been in real trouble.

In a blow to the White House, the Senate’s top Democrat signaled Tuesday that Congress may fail to meet a year-end deadline for passing health care legislation, leaving the measure’s fate to the uncertainties of the 2010 election season. …

As for Virginia, McDonnell’s people were everywhere, with people at the polling station in Alexandria saying turn-out had been steady all day. I bet they’re Republicans, because Deeds hasn’t had a chance for weeks. Maybe if he’d run proudly with Democratic issues leading the way, instead of a Blue Dog Dem trying to compromise to look moderate, he’d have had a chance. But it’s going to be grim in Virginia tonight.

NY-23 is a win for conservatives (or is it?), as well as Sarah Palin, which will stoke the enthusiasm for 2010, as well as foreshadow what’s ahead for Gov. Crist in Florida. The tea party activists are going to go after him with a vengeance.

Meanwhile, back in the real world, ABC’s “V” premiers tonight. It’s been quite the talk among some, myself included, due to it’s not so subtle shots at, as the Chicago Tribune reviews it, “Obamamania.” As for tinsel town, the LA Times doesn’t touch that one. From the Chicago Tribune:

Imagine this. At a time of political turmoil, a charismatic, telegenic new leader arrives virtually out of nowhere. He offers a message of hope and reconciliation based on compromise and promises to marshal technology for a better future that will include universal health care.

The news media swoons in admiration — one simpering anchorman even shouts at a reporter who asks a tough question: “Why don’t you show some respect?!” The public is likewise smitten, except for a few nut cases who circulate batty rumors on the Internet about the leader’s origins and intentions. The leader, undismayed, offers assurances that are soothing, if also just a tiny bit condescending: “Embracing change is never easy.”

So, does that sound like anyone you know? Oh, wait — did I mention the leader is secretly a totalitarian space lizard who’s come here to eat us? … ..

As a TV tivo-ing fiend, I can’t wait to see this one.

The counter programming for this Election Night comes from HBO. “By The People: The Election of Barack Obama” comes out one year after Barack Obama’s historic presidential election.

Election Day politics, “V”, and a documentary on Obama’s presidential win. The only thing that could top it is another Brooks Brothers’ brawl in New Jersey. Stay tuned.

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